比特币（BTC）价格预测：技术指标信号上涨，交换供应收缩

比特币价格目前的交易高于98,000美元，并受到强大的技术指标和著名的比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）流入的推动。

Bitcoin price showed signs of bullish continuation on February 6, 2025, as recent data highlighted strong inflows into United States-based spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) and a reduction in BTC held on centralized exchanges.

比特币的价格显示了2025年2月6日的看涨迹象，因为最近的数据强调了向美国现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的强劲流入以及在集中交易所举行的BTC减少。

Bitcoin price attempts to hold above $98,000 amid a bullish technical outlook and notable ETF inflows. Here's an interesting take on recent Bitcoin price prediction models.

在看涨的技术前景和著名的ETF流入中，比特币价格试图持有98,000美元以上的价格。这是对最近比特币价格预测模型的有趣看法。

Recent market data showed that despite occasional drops below the $98,000 mark since early November 2024, BTC price has largely maintained a bullish trend, sparking rallies that pushed its price to new highs.

最近的市场数据显示，尽管自2024年11月初以来偶尔下降了98,000美元，但BTC的价格在很大程度上保持了看涨的趋势，这引发了集会，这将其价格推向了新高。

Bitcoin exchange supply shrinks

比特币交换供应收缩

One factor contributing to the bullish outlook is a reduction in Bitcoin held on centralized exchanges. Data from Coinglass shows that BTC balances on exchanges have fallen by 13% over the past six months.

促成看涨前景的一个因素是减少了在集中交流的比特币。 Coinglass的数据表明，在过去六个月中，交流的BTC余额下降了13％。

On Aug. 9, 2024, exchanges held 3.1 million BTC, but by Feb. 5, 2025, this number had dropped to 2.67 million BTC — a six-year low. This decline comes even as the Bitcoin price increased by over 60% during the same period.

2024年8月9日，交易所持有310万BTC，但到2025年2月5日，这一数字已降至267万BTC，这是六年低点。这种下降即使比特币价格在同一时期上涨了60％以上。

Investors appear to be moving their holdings to self-custody wallets, which could indicate a long-term view rather than an immediate readiness to sell their BTC holdings.

投资者似乎正在将自己的持股转移到自我顾客钱包上，这可能表明长期观点，而不是立即准备出售其BTC持股。

On Feb. 5 alone, data from Santiment showed that over 17,000 BTC were withdrawn from exchanges, with 15,000 BTC leaving Coinbase in the United States.

仅在2月5日，Santiment的数据表明，超过17,000 BTC从交易所撤回，而15,000 BTC在美国离开Coinbase。

These figures underscore a growing trend where holders are removing Bitcoin from exchanges, reducing the available supply and potentially supporting higher prices.

这些数字强调了一个增长的趋势，持有人从交易所中删除比特币，减少了可用的供应并可能支持更高的价格。

Institutional inflows bolster market confidence

机构流入增强市场信心

Another key factor in the bullish outlook is the continued institutional interest, especially with the strong inflows into U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs. Over the past two weeks, these ETFs have attracted around $2.5 billion in fresh capital.

看涨前景的另一个关键因素是持续的机构兴趣，尤其是在美国基于美国的比特币ETF的强劲流入。在过去的两个星期中，这些ETF吸引了大约25亿美元的新资本。

Since their launch on Jan. 11, 2024, these investment vehicles have accumulated nearly $40 billion in assets. Data from Farside Investors confirms this substantial ETF capital influx, which has contributed to Bitcoin's rising price.

自2024年1月11日推出以来，这些投资工具已积累了近400亿美元的资产。 Farside Investors的数据证实了这种大量的ETF资本涌入，这导致了比特币的上涨。

Additionally, the Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report from CoinShares noted net inflows of $486 million into BTC investment funds for the week ending Jan. 31, 2024.

此外，Coinshares的数字资产基金每周报告报告说，截至2024年1月31日的一周中，BTC投资基金的净流入为4.86亿美元。

This steady stream of institutional investment is a crucial element of the current bullish sentiment in the crypto market, which is also being influenced by other factors.

这种稳定的机构投资是加密货币市场当前看涨情绪的关键因素，这也受到其他因素的影响。

Weakening dollar adds bullish case to Bitcoin price prediction

削弱美元将看涨案例添加到比特币价格预测中

Market dynamics are also favoring Bitcoin as the U.S. dollar index (DXY) declines. The DXY, which measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against major global currencies, dropped 1.7% from a high of 109.5 on Feb. 3, 2024, to 107.6.

由于美元指数（DXY）下降，市场动态也赞成比特币。 DXY衡量美元对全球主要货币的强度，从2024年2月3日的109.5下降1.7％，至107.6。

The index hit a low of 106.91 on Feb. 5 before recovering slightly, but a weakening dollar is generally supportive of risk assets like Bitcoin.

该指数在2月5日恢复略有恢复之前，在2月5日达到106.91，但美元较弱通常支持像比特币这样的风险资产。

According to crypto influencer Lark Davis, a declining DXY coupled with ongoing bullish catalysts such as ETF inflows and institutional activity could pave the way for the next crypto market upswing.

根据加密影响者拉克·戴维斯（Lark Davis）的说法，DXY的下降，加上正在进行的看涨催化剂（例如ETF流入和机构活动）可能为下一个加密市场增长铺平道路。

These comments align with data and analysis from Cointelegraph, TradingView and Santiment.

这些评论与Cointelegraph，TradingView和Santiment的数据和分析保持一致。

Bitcoin price prediction: Technical indicators signal upside

比特币价格预测：技术指标信号上升空间

Bitcoin price action is drawing attention. Trading at $98,086, the BTC daily chart on TradingView reveals a bull flag formation — a pattern many analysts view as a precursor to further upward movement.

比特币价格动作引起了人们的注意。 BTC每日图表的交易价格为98,086美元，揭示了公牛旗的形成 - 许多分析师将这种模式视为进一步向上移动的先驱。

A key level to watch is $101,800. A weekly candlestick close above this figure could confirm the formation and set the stage for a significant rally, with projections reaching above $16,000, representing roughly a 70% increase from current levels.

观看的关键水平为$ 101,800。该数字上方的每周烛台都可以确认地层并为重大集会奠定了基础，预测达到了16,000美元以上，比目前的水平增长了约70％。

The relative strength index (RSI) is at 63, indicating that the current momentum favors buyers.

相对强度指数（RSI）为63，表明当前的动量有利于买家。