比特幣（BTC）價格預測：技術指標信號上漲，交換供應收縮

比特幣價格目前的交易高於98,000美元，並受到強大的技術指標和著名的比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）流入的推動。

Bitcoin price showed signs of bullish continuation on February 6, 2025, as recent data highlighted strong inflows into United States-based spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) and a reduction in BTC held on centralized exchanges.

比特幣的價格顯示了2025年2月6日的看漲跡象，因為最近的數據強調了向美國現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的強勁流入以及在集中交易所舉行的BTC減少。

Bitcoin price attempts to hold above $98,000 amid a bullish technical outlook and notable ETF inflows. Here's an interesting take on recent Bitcoin price prediction models.

在看漲的技術前景和著名的ETF流入中，比特幣價格試圖持有98,000美元以上的價格。這是對最近比特幣價格預測模型的有趣看法。

Recent market data showed that despite occasional drops below the $98,000 mark since early November 2024, BTC price has largely maintained a bullish trend, sparking rallies that pushed its price to new highs.

最近的市場數據顯示，儘管自2024年11月初以來偶爾下降了98,000美元，但BTC的價格在很大程度上保持了看漲的趨勢，這引發了集會，這將其價格推向了新高。

Bitcoin exchange supply shrinks

比特幣交換供應收縮

One factor contributing to the bullish outlook is a reduction in Bitcoin held on centralized exchanges. Data from Coinglass shows that BTC balances on exchanges have fallen by 13% over the past six months.

促成看漲前景的一個因素是減少了在集中交流的比特幣。 Coinglass的數據表明，在過去六個月中，交流的BTC餘額下降了13％。

On Aug. 9, 2024, exchanges held 3.1 million BTC, but by Feb. 5, 2025, this number had dropped to 2.67 million BTC — a six-year low. This decline comes even as the Bitcoin price increased by over 60% during the same period.

2024年8月9日，交易所持有310萬BTC，但到2025年2月5日，這一數字已降至267萬BTC，這是六年低點。這種下降即使比特幣價格在同一時期上漲了60％以上。

Investors appear to be moving their holdings to self-custody wallets, which could indicate a long-term view rather than an immediate readiness to sell their BTC holdings.

投資者似乎正在將自己的持股轉移到自我顧客錢包上，這可能表明長期觀點，而不是立即準備出售其BTC持股。

On Feb. 5 alone, data from Santiment showed that over 17,000 BTC were withdrawn from exchanges, with 15,000 BTC leaving Coinbase in the United States.

僅在2月5日，Santiment的數據表明，超過17,000 BTC從交易所撤回，而15,000 BTC在美國離開Coinbase。

These figures underscore a growing trend where holders are removing Bitcoin from exchanges, reducing the available supply and potentially supporting higher prices.

這些數字強調了一個增長的趨勢，持有人從交易所中刪除比特幣，減少了可用的供應並可能支持更高的價格。

Institutional inflows bolster market confidence

機構流入增強市場信心

Another key factor in the bullish outlook is the continued institutional interest, especially with the strong inflows into U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs. Over the past two weeks, these ETFs have attracted around $2.5 billion in fresh capital.

看漲前景的另一個關鍵因素是持續的機構興趣，尤其是在美國基於美國的比特幣ETF的強勁流入。在過去的兩個星期中，這些ETF吸引了大約25億美元的新資本。

Since their launch on Jan. 11, 2024, these investment vehicles have accumulated nearly $40 billion in assets. Data from Farside Investors confirms this substantial ETF capital influx, which has contributed to Bitcoin's rising price.

自2024年1月11日推出以來，這些投資工具已積累了近400億美元的資產。 Farside Investors的數據證實了這種大量的ETF資本湧入，這導致了比特幣的上漲。

Additionally, the Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report from CoinShares noted net inflows of $486 million into BTC investment funds for the week ending Jan. 31, 2024.

此外，Coinshares的數字資產基金每週報告報告說，截至2024年1月31日的一周中，BTC投資基金的淨流入為4.86億美元。

This steady stream of institutional investment is a crucial element of the current bullish sentiment in the crypto market, which is also being influenced by other factors.

這種穩定的機構投資是加密貨幣市場當前看漲情緒的關鍵因素，這也受到其他因素的影響。

Weakening dollar adds bullish case to Bitcoin price prediction

削弱美元將看漲案例添加到比特幣價格預測中

Market dynamics are also favoring Bitcoin as the U.S. dollar index (DXY) declines. The DXY, which measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against major global currencies, dropped 1.7% from a high of 109.5 on Feb. 3, 2024, to 107.6.

由於美元指數（DXY）下降，市場動態也贊成比特幣。 DXY衡量美元對全球主要貨幣的強度，從2024年2月3日的109.5下降1.7％，至107.6。

The index hit a low of 106.91 on Feb. 5 before recovering slightly, but a weakening dollar is generally supportive of risk assets like Bitcoin.

該指數在2月5日的低點達到106.91，然後稍微恢復，但美元較弱通常支持像比特幣這樣的風險資產。

According to crypto influencer Lark Davis, a declining DXY coupled with ongoing bullish catalysts such as ETF inflows and institutional activity could pave the way for the next crypto market upswing.

根據加密影響者拉克·戴維斯（Lark Davis）的說法，DXY的下降，加上正在進行的看漲催化劑（例如ETF流入和機構活動）可能為下一個加密市場增長鋪平道路。

These comments align with data and analysis from Cointelegraph, TradingView and Santiment.

這些評論與Cointelegraph，TradingView和Santiment的數據和分析保持一致。

Bitcoin price prediction: Technical indicators signal upside

比特幣價格預測：技術指標信號上升空間

Bitcoin price action is drawing attention. Trading at $98,086, the BTC daily chart on TradingView reveals a bull flag formation — a pattern many analysts view as a precursor to further upward movement.

比特幣價格動作引起了人們的注意。 BTC每日圖表的交易價格為98,086美元，揭示了公牛旗的形成 - 許多分析師將這種模式視為進一步向上移動的先驅。

A key level to watch is $101,800. A weekly candlestick close above this figure could confirm the formation and set the stage for a significant rally, with projections reaching above $16,000, representing roughly a 70% increase from current levels.

觀看的關鍵水平為$ 101,800。該數字上方的每週燭台都可以確認地層並為重大集會奠定了基礎，預測達到了16,000美元以上，比目前的水平增長了約70％。

The relative strength index (RSI) is at 63, indicating that the current momentum favors buyers.

相對強度指數（RSI）為63，表明當前的動量有利於買家。