比特币（BTC）价格预测：承诺将有百万美元的未来。到2029年，比特币会达到100万美元吗？

前面的比特币道路看起来很有希望。至少，这是位首席投资官马特·霍根（Matt Hougan）的预测。

As one of the most popular cryptocurrencies on the market, Bitcoin has seen its fair share of price fluctuations throughout its history.

作为市场上最受欢迎的加密货币之一，比特币在整个历史上都看到了其价格波动的相当多的份额。

Despite its recent lackluster performance, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan is still optimistic about Bitcoin's future and claims that it could hit $1 million by 2029.

尽管最近表现不佳，但Bitwise首席投资官Matt Hougan仍然对比特币的未来保持乐观，并声称到2029年可能会达到100万美元。

During a presentation at the 2025 Spring Impact Conference, Hougan discussed Bitcoin's response to economic uncertainty.

在2025年春季影响会议上的演讲中，霍根讨论了比特币对经济不确定性的反应。

He noted that the cryptocurrency doesn't always behave as a crisis hedge, as many buyers might expect. Instead, Bitcoin sometimes moves in correlation with the broader US stock market during periods of major economic news.

他指出，正如许多买家可能期望的那样，加密货币并不总是作为危机对冲。取而代之的是，在重大经济新闻时期，比特币有时会与更广泛的美国股票市场相关。

This pattern seems to be unfolding again as markets anticipate the impact of the 2025 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting this month.

随着市场预期2025年联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议的影响，这种模式似乎再次发生。

The Bitwise executive is advising investors to hold onto their crypto investment in spite of the current uncertainty. He pointed out past data that shows Bitcoin price increases of more than 190% in the years following notable declines—a "dip then rip" trend that may continue in the coming weeks or months.

尽管当前的不确定性，但位高管仍建议投资者坚持其加密货币投资。他指出了过去的数据显示，在显着下降的几年中，比特币价格上涨超过190％，这是一种“下降到RIP”趋势，可能在未来几周或几个月内持续。

Using the Discounted Cashflow Analysis (DCA) to estimate a $1 million BTC price in 2029 yields a present value of $218,604 with a 50% discount factor. This aligns with Bitwise's long-term price forecast, which ranges up to $1.1 million per coin.

使用折扣现金流分析（DCA）估算2029年的100万美元BTC价格，其现值为218,604美元，折扣系数为50％。这与Bitwise的长期价格预测相吻合，每枚硬币的价格高达110万美元。

In recent trading, the cryptocurrency has encountered resistance at the $84,340 level, encountering support at $81,180. As the price hovers within a limited band, it showcases a lack of significant momentum in either direction.

在最近的交易中，加密货币以84,340美元的水平遇到了阻力，遇到了81,180美元的支持。随着价格徘徊在有限的频段内，它表明了这两个方向都缺乏明显的动力。

However, analysts like Ark Invest's Cathie Wood have expressed optimism, predicting a "deflationary boom" that would propel Bitcoin to realize its full potential.

但是，像ARK Invest的Cathie Wood这样的分析师表达了乐观，预测了“放气繁荣”，这将推动比特币发挥其全部潜力。

Reports also highlight possible US government actions that could have a major bearing on the long-term future of Bitcoin.

报告还强调了美国政府的行动，这可能与比特币的长期未来有关。

The proposed creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the administration signals an official interest in the world’s leading cryptocurrency.

政府提议创建战略比特币储备，这表明对世界领先的加密货币具有正式兴趣。

Furthermore, Senator Cynthia Lummis has announced the reintroduction of the Bitcoin Act Bill, an initiative that appears to be boosting institutional investor confidence in cryptocurrencies.

此外，参议员辛西娅·卢米斯（Cynthia Lummis）宣布重新引入《比特币法案法案》，这项倡议似乎增强了机构投资者对加密货币的信心。

The potential impact of regulatory changes on Bitcoin is also extending to other digital assets, particularly stablecoins.

监管变化对比特币的潜在影响也扩展到其他数字资产，尤其是稳定的资产。

According to Bitwise's analysis, the success of Bitcoin is also linked to the US tariff wars. A main reason for Bitcoin's price changes is that it isn't as liquid as standard markets.

根据Bitwise的分析，比特币的成功也与美国关税战争有关。比特币价格变化的主要原因是它不如标准市场那么流动。

In the short term, Hougan said that geopolitical tariff conflicts might make the market more liquid. If this trend continues, it could be good for Bitcoin because buyers are seeking safety from economic uncertainty.

霍根（Hougan）在短期内表示，地缘政治关税冲突可能会使市场变得更加流动。如果这种趋势持续下去，那对比特币可能是有益的，因为买家正在寻求经济不确定性的安全。