比特幣（BTC）價格預測：承諾將有百萬美元的未來。到2029年，比特幣會達到100萬美元嗎？

前面的比特幣道路看起來很有希望。至少，這是位首席投資官馬特·霍根（Matt Hougan）的預測。

As one of the most popular cryptocurrencies on the market, Bitcoin has seen its fair share of price fluctuations throughout its history.

作為市場上最受歡迎的加密貨幣之一，比特幣在整個歷史上都看到了其價格波動的相當多的份額。

Despite its recent lackluster performance, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan is still optimistic about Bitcoin's future and claims that it could hit $1 million by 2029.

儘管最近表現不佳，但Bitwise首席投資官Matt Hougan仍然對比特幣的未來保持樂觀，並聲稱到2029年可能會達到100萬美元。

During a presentation at the 2025 Spring Impact Conference, Hougan discussed Bitcoin's response to economic uncertainty.

在2025年春季影響會議上的演講中，霍根討論了比特幣對經濟不確定性的反應。

He noted that the cryptocurrency doesn't always behave as a crisis hedge, as many buyers might expect. Instead, Bitcoin sometimes moves in correlation with the broader US stock market during periods of major economic news.

他指出，正如許多買家可能期望的那樣，加密貨幣並不總是作為危機對沖。取而代之的是，在重大經濟新聞時期，比特幣有時會與更廣泛的美國股票市場相關。

This pattern seems to be unfolding again as markets anticipate the impact of the 2025 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting this month.

隨著市場預期2025年聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議的影響，這種模式似乎再次發生。

The Bitwise executive is advising investors to hold onto their crypto investment in spite of the current uncertainty. He pointed out past data that shows Bitcoin price increases of more than 190% in the years following notable declines—a "dip then rip" trend that may continue in the coming weeks or months.

儘管當前的不確定性，但位高管仍建議投資者堅持其加密貨幣投資。他指出了過去的數據顯示，在顯著下降的幾年中，比特幣價格上漲超過190％，這是一種“下降到RIP”趨勢，可能在未來幾週或幾個月內持續。

Using the Discounted Cashflow Analysis (DCA) to estimate a $1 million BTC price in 2029 yields a present value of $218,604 with a 50% discount factor. This aligns with Bitwise's long-term price forecast, which ranges up to $1.1 million per coin.

使用折扣現金流分析（DCA）估算2029年的100萬美元BTC價格，其現值為218,604美元，折扣係數為50％。這與Bitwise的長期價格預測相吻合，每枚硬幣的價格高達110萬美元。

In recent trading, the cryptocurrency has encountered resistance at the $84,340 level, encountering support at $81,180. As the price hovers within a limited band, it showcases a lack of significant momentum in either direction.

在最近的交易中，加密貨幣以84,340美元的水平遇到了阻力，遇到了81,180美元的支持。隨著價格徘徊在有限的頻段內，它表明了這兩個方向都缺乏明顯的動力。

However, analysts like Ark Invest's Cathie Wood have expressed optimism, predicting a "deflationary boom" that would propel Bitcoin to realize its full potential.

但是，像ARK Invest的Cathie Wood這樣的分析師表達了樂觀，預測了“放氣繁榮”，這將推動比特幣發揮其全部潛力。

Reports also highlight possible US government actions that could have a major bearing on the long-term future of Bitcoin.

報告還強調了美國政府的行動，這可能與比特幣的長期未來有關。

The proposed creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the administration signals an official interest in the world’s leading cryptocurrency.

政府提議創建戰略比特幣儲備，這表明對世界領先的加密貨幣具有正式興趣。

Furthermore, Senator Cynthia Lummis has announced the reintroduction of the Bitcoin Act Bill, an initiative that appears to be boosting institutional investor confidence in cryptocurrencies.

此外，參議員辛西婭·盧米斯（Cynthia Lummis）宣布重新引入《比特幣法案法案》，這項倡議似乎增強了機構投資者對加密貨幣的信心。

The potential impact of regulatory changes on Bitcoin is also extending to other digital assets, particularly stablecoins.

監管變化對比特幣的潛在影響也擴展到其他數字資產，尤其是穩定的資產。

According to Bitwise's analysis, the success of Bitcoin is also linked to the US tariff wars. A main reason for Bitcoin's price changes is that it isn't as liquid as standard markets.

根據Bitwise的分析，比特幣的成功也與美國關稅戰爭有關。比特幣價格變化的主要原因是它不如標準市場那麼流動。

In the short term, Hougan said that geopolitical tariff conflicts might make the market more liquid. If this trend continues, it could be good for Bitcoin because buyers are seeking safety from economic uncertainty.

霍根（Hougan）在短期內表示，地緣政治關稅衝突可能會使市場變得更加流動。如果這種趨勢持續下去，那對比特幣可能是有益的，因為買家正在尋求經濟不確定性的安全。