比特币（BTC）价格预测：死亡交叉迫在眉睫吗？

比特币最近的价格动作显示了一些有关迹象的信息。加密货币王未能突破关键阻力水平，因此很容易进一步下降。

Bitcoin (BTC) price has shown some concerning signs recently as it continues to face difficulties breaking through key resistance levels, leaving it vulnerable to further declines.

比特币（BTC）的价格最近显示出一些有关迹象的问题，因为它继续遇到困难，突破了关键的阻力水平，因此很容易受到进一步下降的影响。

As the world's leading cryptocurrency edges closer to retesting the $80,000 support, the potential for a Death Cross looms, adding to the bearish sentiment.

随着世界领先的加密货币边缘更接近重新测试80,000美元的支持，死亡交叉织机的潜力增加了看跌的情绪。

In the last few weeks, Short-Term Holders (STHs) have been primarily responsible for the ongoing losses. These investors, known for buying at higher prices, are now exiting positions at a net loss.

在过去的几周中，短期持有人（STH）主要负责持续的损失。这些以更高价格购买的投资者现在正在以净亏损退出头寸。

In contrast, Long-Term Holders (LTHs), who typically hold coins for longer periods and often at lower prices, are managing to realize some profits. However, despite LTHs' gains, new capital inflows seem to be slowing down.

相比之下，通常会长期持有硬币并且通常以较低价格持有硬币的长期持有人（LTHS）设法实现了一些利润。然而，尽管LTHS的收益增长，但新的资本流入似乎仍在放缓。

This lack of fresh capital is impacting the market's ability to generate stronger demand and break through the strong resistance levels that have been preventing Bitcoin's price from soaring higher.

缺乏新的资本会影响市场产生强劲需求并突破强烈的抵抗水平的能力，这阻止了比特币的价格飙升。

Usually, to maintain a bullish market structure, there needs to be a constant flow of capital fueling the crypto's price rally. However, currently, the market seems to be lacking that crucial support.

通常，为了维持看涨的市场结构，需要持续的资本流动，以加剧加密货币的价格集会。但是，目前，市场似乎缺乏至关重要的支持。

Overall, the market sentiment is reflecting a neutral stance as both profit-taking and loss-realization activities appear to be balancing each other out. This signals that neither bullish nor bearish preferences are being overwhelmingly favored by the market participants.

总体而言，市场情绪反映了中立的立场，因为获利和实现损失的活动似乎都在互相平衡。这表明市场参与者都不是看涨和看跌的偏好受到压倒性的青睐。

But the crypto king’s macro momentum is showing additional signs of bearish pressure, particularly with the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The 200-day EMA is less than 3% away from crossing the 50-day EMA, which would result in a Death Cross. This technical pattern has historically signaled significant corrections in price, marking a potential end to Bitcoin's 18-month-long Golden Cross.

但是加密王王的宏观动量显示出其他看跌压力的迹象，尤其是在指数式移动平均值（EMAS）的情况下。 200天EMA距离越过50天EMA的EMA不到3％，这将导致死亡十字架。这种技术模式在历史上表明了价格的重大校正，这标志着比特币长达18个月的金十字架的潜在结束。

As the EMAs approach this critical point, traders and investors are closely watching for any signs of a correction. The fear of a Death Cross brings further concern to Bitcoin's price stability. If the 50-day EMA crosses below the 200-day EMA, it could trigger more sell-offs, intensifying the bearish sentiment in the market.

随着EMA的接近，交易者和投资者正在密切关注任何更正的迹象。对死亡十字架的恐惧给比特币的价格稳定带来了进一步的关注。如果50天EMA越过200天EMA，它可能会引发更多的抛售，从而增强市场上的看跌感。

Is BTC Price Primed For Further Decline?

BTC价格是否为进一步下降进行了准备？

Bitcoin is currently trading at $82,248, moving closer to the key psychological support level of $80,000. After several attempts to breakout, Bitcoin has failed to move beyond the two-month-long broadening descending wedge pattern, which suggests that Bitcoin could be on the brink of further decline.

比特币目前的交易价格为82,248美元，更靠近80,000美元的关键心理支持水平。经过几次突破性的尝试，比特币未能超越两个月的延伸楔形模式，这表明比特币可能处于进一步下降的边缘。

If the downward momentum persists, Bitcoin is likely to fall through the $80,000 support level and approach $76,741. This scenario would reinforce the bearish outlook, especially considering the technical indicators and the lack of strong buying support. A breakdown below these levels could signal a deeper correction, with the potential for further declines.

如果向下势头持续存在，则比特币可能会跌入80,000美元的支持水平，并接近$ 76,741。这种情况将加强看跌前景，特别是考虑到技术指标以及缺乏强大的购买支持。低于这些水平的分解可能标志着更深层的校正，并有可能进一步下降。

However, this short-term bearish thesis can be invalidated if Bitcoin's price manages to reclaim $82,761 as support.

但是，如果比特币的价格设法回收82,761美元作为支持，则该短期看跌论文可能会无效。

If Bitcoin breaks through the $85,000 barrier, it could breakout out of the current pattern, signaling a potential reversal. A strong rally above $86,822 would suggest a resumption of the bullish trend, invalidating the bearish momentum that currently dominates the market.

如果比特币突破了$ 85,000的障碍，它可能会从当前模式中分解，这表明潜在的逆转。高于86,822美元的强劲集会将表明对看涨趋势的恢复，这使目前在市场上占主导地位的看跌势头无效。