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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)價格預測:死亡交叉迫在眉睫嗎?

2025/03/31 15:05

比特幣最近的價格動作顯示了一些有關跡象的信息。加密貨幣王未能突破關鍵阻力水平,因此很容易進一步下降。

比特幣(BTC)價格預測:死亡交叉迫在眉睫嗎?

Bitcoin (BTC) price has shown some concerning signs recently as it continues to face difficulties breaking through key resistance levels, leaving it vulnerable to further declines.

比特幣(BTC)的價格最近顯示出一些有關跡象的問題,因為它繼續遇到困難,突破了關鍵的阻力水平,因此很容易受到進一步下降的影響。

As the world's leading cryptocurrency edges closer to retesting the $80,000 support, the potential for a Death Cross looms, adding to the bearish sentiment.

隨著世界領先的加密貨幣邊緣更接近重新測試80,000美元的支持,死亡交叉織機的潛力增加了看跌的情緒。

In the last few weeks, Short-Term Holders (STHs) have been primarily responsible for the ongoing losses. These investors, known for buying at higher prices, are now exiting positions at a net loss.

在過去的幾周中,短期持有人(STH)主要負責持續的損失。這些以更高價格購買的投資者現在正在以淨虧損退出頭寸。

In contrast, Long-Term Holders (LTHs), who typically hold coins for longer periods and often at lower prices, are managing to realize some profits. However, despite LTHs' gains, new capital inflows seem to be slowing down.

相比之下,通常會長期持有硬幣並且通常以較低價格持有硬幣的長期持有人(LTHS)設法實現了一些利潤。然而,儘管LTHS的收益增長,但新的資本流入似乎仍在放緩。

This lack of fresh capital is impacting the market's ability to generate stronger demand and break through the strong resistance levels that have been preventing Bitcoin's price from soaring higher.

缺乏新的資本會影響市場產生強勁需求並突破強烈的抵抗水平的能力,這阻止了比特幣的價格飆升。

Usually, to maintain a bullish market structure, there needs to be a constant flow of capital fueling the crypto's price rally. However, currently, the market seems to be lacking that crucial support.

通常,為了維持看漲的市場結構,需要持續的資本流動,以加劇加密貨幣的價格集會。但是,目前,市場似乎缺乏至關重要的支持。

Overall, the market sentiment is reflecting a neutral stance as both profit-taking and loss-realization activities appear to be balancing each other out. This signals that neither bullish nor bearish preferences are being overwhelmingly favored by the market participants.

總體而言,市場情緒反映了中立的立場,因為獲利和實現損失的活動似乎都在互相平衡。這表明市場參與者都不是看漲和看跌的偏好受到壓倒性的青睞。

But the crypto king’s macro momentum is showing additional signs of bearish pressure, particularly with the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The 200-day EMA is less than 3% away from crossing the 50-day EMA, which would result in a Death Cross. This technical pattern has historically signaled significant corrections in price, marking a potential end to Bitcoin's 18-month-long Golden Cross.

但是加密王王的宏觀動量顯示出其他看跌壓力的跡象,尤其是在指數式移動平均值(EMAS)的情況下。 200天EMA距離越過50天EMA的EMA不到3%,這將導致死亡十字架。這種技術模式在歷史上表明了價格的重大校正,這標誌著比特幣長達18個月的金十字架的潛在結束。

As the EMAs approach this critical point, traders and investors are closely watching for any signs of a correction. The fear of a Death Cross brings further concern to Bitcoin's price stability. If the 50-day EMA crosses below the 200-day EMA, it could trigger more sell-offs, intensifying the bearish sentiment in the market.

隨著EMA的接近,交易者和投資者正在密切關注任何更正的跡象。對死亡十字架的恐懼給比特幣的價格穩定帶來了進一步的關注。如果50天EMA越過200天EMA,它可能會引發更多的拋售,從而增強市場上的看跌感。

Is BTC Price Primed For Further Decline?

BTC價格是否為進一步下降進行了準備?

Bitcoin is currently trading at $82,248, moving closer to the key psychological support level of $80,000. After several attempts to breakout, Bitcoin has failed to move beyond the two-month-long broadening descending wedge pattern, which suggests that Bitcoin could be on the brink of further decline.

比特幣目前的交易價格為82,248美元,更靠近80,000美元的關鍵心理支持水平。經過幾次突破性的嘗試,比特幣未能超越兩個月的延伸楔形模式,這表明比特幣可能處於進一步下降的邊緣。

If the downward momentum persists, Bitcoin is likely to fall through the $80,000 support level and approach $76,741. This scenario would reinforce the bearish outlook, especially considering the technical indicators and the lack of strong buying support. A breakdown below these levels could signal a deeper correction, with the potential for further declines.

如果向下勢頭持續存在,則比特幣可能會跌入80,000美元的支持水平,並接近$ 76,741。這種情況將加強看跌前景,特別是考慮到技術指標以及缺乏強大的購買支持。低於這些水平的分解可能標誌著更深層的校正,並有可能進一步下降。

However, this short-term bearish thesis can be invalidated if Bitcoin's price manages to reclaim $82,761 as support.

但是,如果比特幣的價格設法回收82,761美元作為支持,則該短期看跌論文可能會無效。

If Bitcoin breaks through the $85,000 barrier, it could breakout out of the current pattern, signaling a potential reversal. A strong rally above $86,822 would suggest a resumption of the bullish trend, invalidating the bearish momentum that currently dominates the market.

如果比特幣突破了$ 85,000的障礙,它可能會從當前模式中分解,這表明潛在的逆轉。高於86,822美元的強勁集會將表明對看漲趨勢的恢復,這使目前在市場上占主導地位的看跌勢頭無效。

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