比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：加密货币会再次跌破 60,000 美元吗？

经济学家 Alex Krüger 预测比特币可能永远不会再跌破 60,000 美元，并在最近的一篇文章中指出这一预测的可能性为 50%。

Economist Alex Krüger has predicted that Bitcoin may never fall below $60,000 again, assigning a 50% probability to this forecast in a recent post. Currently, BTC is trading around $69,577, with the prediction emerging amidst heightened attention on cryptocurrency during the U.S. election.

经济学家 Alex Krüger 预测比特币可能永远不会再跌破 60,000 美元，并在最近的一篇文章中为这一预测分配了 50% 的概率。目前，BTC 的交易价格约为 69,577 美元，这一预测是在美国大选期间对加密货币的高度关注中出现的。

According to Krüger's analysis, the $60,000 level could establish a new psychological and economic floor for Bitcoin (BTC).

根据 Krüger 的分析，60,000 美元的水平可能会为比特币（BTC）建立一个新的心理和经济底线。

Other analysts, such as Adam Back, co-founder and CEO of Blockstream, have highlighted technical indicators like the 200-week moving average to determine Bitcoin's long-term floor price. This metric recently crossed $40,000, which, by filtering out daily volatility, typically indicates a minimal price level for Bitcoin (BTC). Back noted that this indicator has historically served as a reliable floor, suggesting that long-term support for Bitcoin may now be above $40,000.

Blockstream 联合创始人兼首席执行官 Adam Back 等其他分析师强调了 200 周移动平均线等技术指标，以确定比特币的长期底价。该指标最近突破了 40,000 美元，通过过滤每日波动，该指标通常表明比特币 (BTC) 的最低价格水平。 Back 指出，该指标历来都是可靠的下限，表明比特币的长期支撑位现在可能高于 40,000 美元。

Many analysts are predicting a potential breakout to new all-time highs for Bitcoin in the post-election climate. Bitfinex analysts anticipate that Bitcoin could rally to $80,000 by the end of 2024, largely driven by the structure of the options market and a possible Republican presidential victory. This market optimism highlights Bitcoin's increasing resilience and the optimism of investors.

许多分析师预测，在选举后的环境下，比特币可能会突破历史新高。 Bitfinex 分析师预计，到 2024 年底，比特币可能会上涨至 80,000 美元，这主要受到期权市场结构和共和党总统可能获胜的推动。这种市场乐观情绪凸显了比特币日益增强的弹性和投资者的乐观情绪。

Some experts suggest Bitcoin's cumulative value coin days destroyed (CVDD) provides a lower boundary for floor price, distinct from the 200-week moving average. According to TradingView, Bitcoin's CVDD currently stands at $26,520. While CVDD suggests a lower floor, the broader consensus among analysts is that Bitcoin's fair value is rising, with stronger support levels now forming above $40,000.

一些专家认为，比特币的累计价值币销毁天数（CVDD）为底价提供了下限，与 200 周移动平均线不同。根据 TradingView 的数据，比特币的 CVDD 目前为 26,520 美元。虽然 CVDD 建议较低的下限，但分析师更广泛的共识是，比特币的公允价值正在上涨，目前在 40,000 美元上方形成了更强的支撑位。

With multiple indicators converging to support a higher floor price for Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency appears poised for sustained growth, minimizing the potential for significant declines below key psychological thresholds.

随着多个指标汇聚在一起支持比特币更高的底价，这种加密货币似乎有望持续增长，从而最大限度地减少大幅下跌至关键心理阈值以下的可能性。