比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：加密貨幣會再次跌破 60,000 美元嗎？

經濟學家 Alex Krüger 預測比特幣可能永遠不會再跌破 6 萬美元，並在最近的一篇文章中指出這項預測的可能性為 50%。

Economist Alex Krüger has predicted that Bitcoin may never fall below $60,000 again, assigning a 50% probability to this forecast in a recent post. Currently, BTC is trading around $69,577, with the prediction emerging amidst heightened attention on cryptocurrency during the U.S. election.

經濟學家 Alex Krüger 預測比特幣可能永遠不會再跌破 60,000 美元，並在最近的一篇文章中為這一預測分配了 50% 的機率。目前，BTC 的交易價格約為 69,577 美元，這項預測是在美國大選期間對加密貨幣的高度關注中出現的。

According to Krüger's analysis, the $60,000 level could establish a new psychological and economic floor for Bitcoin (BTC).

根據 Krüger 的分析，60,000 美元的水平可能會為比特幣（BTC）建立一個新的心理和經濟底線。

Other analysts, such as Adam Back, co-founder and CEO of Blockstream, have highlighted technical indicators like the 200-week moving average to determine Bitcoin's long-term floor price. This metric recently crossed $40,000, which, by filtering out daily volatility, typically indicates a minimal price level for Bitcoin (BTC). Back noted that this indicator has historically served as a reliable floor, suggesting that long-term support for Bitcoin may now be above $40,000.

Blockstream 聯合創始人兼執行長 Adam Back 等其他分析師強調了 200 週移動平均線等技術指標，以確定比特幣的長期底價。該指標最近突破了 40,000 美元，透過過濾每日波動，該指標通常表明比特幣 (BTC) 的最低價格水平。 Back 指出，該指標歷來都是可靠的下限，顯示比特幣的長期支撐位現在可能高於 40,000 美元。

Many analysts are predicting a potential breakout to new all-time highs for Bitcoin in the post-election climate. Bitfinex analysts anticipate that Bitcoin could rally to $80,000 by the end of 2024, largely driven by the structure of the options market and a possible Republican presidential victory. This market optimism highlights Bitcoin's increasing resilience and the optimism of investors.

許多分析師預測，在選舉後的環境下，比特幣可能會突破歷史新高。 Bitfinex 分析師預計，到 2024 年底，比特幣可能會上漲至 8 萬美元，這主要受到選擇權市場結構和共和黨總統可能獲勝的推動。這種市場樂觀情緒凸顯了比特幣日益增強的彈性和投資者的樂觀情緒。

Some experts suggest Bitcoin's cumulative value coin days destroyed (CVDD) provides a lower boundary for floor price, distinct from the 200-week moving average. According to TradingView, Bitcoin's CVDD currently stands at $26,520. While CVDD suggests a lower floor, the broader consensus among analysts is that Bitcoin's fair value is rising, with stronger support levels now forming above $40,000.

一些專家認為，比特幣的累積價值幣銷毀天數（CVDD）為底價提供了下限，與 200 週移動平均線不同。根據 TradingView 的數據，比特幣的 CVDD 目前為 26,520 美元。雖然 CVDD 建議較低的下限，但分析師更廣泛的共識是，比特幣的公允價值正在上漲，目前在 40,000 美元上方形成了更強的支撐位。

With multiple indicators converging to support a higher floor price for Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency appears poised for sustained growth, minimizing the potential for significant declines below key psychological thresholds.

隨著多個指標匯聚在一起支持比特幣更高的底價，這種加密貨幣似乎有望持續成長，從而最大限度地減少大幅下跌至關鍵心理閾值以下的可能性。