比特币 (BTC) 价格预测 – 随着支持加密货币的当选总统唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼临近，在波动的交易中，比特币是否会突破历史新高？

最大的加密货币比特币的价格从周一低于 90,000 美元的低点上涨了 11%。过去24小时暴涨近3%

Crypto traders are optimistic again, anticipating bitcoin (BTC) will surpass record highs amid volatile trading as pro-crypto President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 nears.

加密货币交易者再次乐观，预计随着支持加密货币的当选总统唐纳德·特朗普 1 月 20 日就职典礼的临近，比特币 (BTC) 将在波动的交易中突破历史新高。

The price of bitcoin, the biggest cryptocurrency, has risen 11% from Monday's lows under $90,000. It has jumped nearly 3% in the past 24 hours, topping $100,000 at one point, CoinDesk data show.

最大的加密货币比特币的价格从周一低于 90,000 美元的低点上涨了 11%。 CoinDesk 数据显示，过去 24 小时内，其价格上涨了近 3%，一度突破 10 万美元。

The move into the six figures that spurred risk-taking in the broader market followed a softer-than-expected core CPI report, which alleviated hawkish Fed fears that had driven prices lower. Instead, markets are focusing on Trump's swearing-in and a potential pro-crypto announcement on the first day of the office.

在核心消费者物价指数报告低于预期之后，价格升至六位数，刺激了更广泛市场的风险承担，这缓解了导致价格下跌的美联储鹰派担忧。相反，市场正在关注特朗普的宣誓就职以及上任第一天可能发布的支持加密货币的声明。

"The removal of inflation fears clears the way for bitcoin to break through the strong $100,000 resistance level before Trump’s inauguration," said Matt Mena, a crypto research strategist at 21Shares, in an email. "Such a milestone would not only be psychologically significant but also technical, setting up bitcoin to surpass its $108,000 all-time high and establish new record levels as market optimism builds." 21Shares is one of the world’s largest crypto-native issuers of exchange-traded products (ETPs).

21Shares 的加密货币研究策略师 Matt Mena 在一封电子邮件中表示：“通胀担忧的消除为比特币在特朗普就职前突破 10 万美元的强劲阻力位扫清了道路。” “这样的里程碑不仅在心理上具有重要意义，而且在技术上也具有重要意义，它将使比特币突破 108,000 美元的历史高点，并随着市场乐观情绪的建立而创下新的纪录水平。” 21Shares 是全球最大的交易所交易产品 (ETP) 加密原生发行商之一。

“Trump’s well-documented support for pro-growth policies and his track record of favoring asset price appreciation further reinforces the bullish outlook for bitcoin and risk assets more broadly," Mena wrote.

梅纳写道：“特朗普对促增长政策的支持有据可查，而且他支持资产价格升值的记录进一步强化了比特币和风险资产更广泛的看涨前景。”

The bullish forecast is consistent with a rally in traditional assets, especially the Nasdaq 100, which surged over 2% Wednesday. BTC has recently strengthened its positive correlation with the tech-heavy index to a two-year high.

看涨预测与传统资产的反弹一致，尤其是纳斯达克 100 指数，该指数周三飙升超过 2%。比特币最近与科技股指数的正相关性增强至两年高点。

Meanwhile, the rally in the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's value against major fiat currencies, has stalled, offering a lifeline to risk assets, and the S&P 500 has neared the key level of 6,000.

与此同时，衡量美元兑主要法定货币价值的美元指数的涨势已陷入停滞，为风险资产提供了生命线，而标准普尔 500 指数已接近 6,000 点的关键水平。

According to Mena, a break above 6,000 "could set the stage for the next leg of the global asset bull market."

Mena 表示，突破 6,000 点“可能为全球资产牛市的下一阶段奠定基础”。

Once a skeptic of digital assets, Trump courted the crypto community in months leading up to the November election, pledging to create a national strategic bitcoin stockpile. His victory helped propel BTC to over $108,000 from over $70,000 to over $108,000.

特朗普曾经对数字资产持怀疑态度，但在 11 月大选前的几个月里，他向加密社区示好，承诺建立国家战略比特币储备。他的胜利帮助比特币从 70,000 美元以上升至 108,000 美元以上，超过 108,000 美元。

"If Trump indicates on day one that he will be creating the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, even if he doesn't sign it on day one, expect price discovery to be asymmetric," said Nathan Cox, the chief investment officer at Two Prime, in an email. "Once through the previous highs of $108,000, there is no limit to how fast it could expand given the unparalleled demand a bitcoin reserve strategy could have globally."

Two Prime 首席投资官内森·考克斯 (Nathan Cox) 表示：“如果特朗普在第一天表示他将建立战略比特币储备，即使他没有在第一天签署，预计价格发现将是不对称的。”一封电子邮件。 “一旦突破之前的高点 108,000 美元，考虑到比特币储备策略在全球范围内可能拥有的无与伦比的需求，其扩张速度将是无限的。”

Two Prime is an SEC-regulated registered investment adviser specializing in digital asset derivatives.

Two Prime 是一家受 SEC 监管的注册投资顾问，专注于数字资产衍生品。

Anticipating Trump's crypto announcements, traders are expecting a volatile week with large price movements.

交易员预计特朗普将宣布加密货币，预计本周将出现波动，价格将出现大幅波动。

"We are positioned for a volatile week ahead with the change of administration in the U.S. Expect to see some +/-10% moves across the majors such as BTC, SOL, ETH, and XRP," said Paul Howard, a senior director at crypto market-making firm Wincent, in an email. "Pricing will reflect outcomes of announcements by the incoming President, so opportunities, likely not everything, are baked into the current price."

“随着美国政府的更迭，我们预计未来一周将出现波动，预计 BTC、SOL、ETH 和 XRP 等主要货币将出现+/-10%的波动，”高级总监 Paul Howard 表示。加密货币做市公司 Wincent，在一封电子邮件中。 “定价将反映即将上任的总统宣布的结果，因此机会（可能不是全部）都会纳入当前价格。”