比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測 – 隨著支持加密貨幣的當選總統唐納德·川普就職典禮臨近，在波動的交易中，比特幣是否會突破歷史新高？

最大的加密貨幣比特幣的價格從週一低於 9 萬美元的低點上漲了 11%。過去24小時暴漲近3%

Crypto traders are optimistic again, anticipating bitcoin (BTC) will surpass record highs amid volatile trading as pro-crypto President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 nears.

加密貨幣交易者再次樂觀，預計隨著支持加密貨幣的當選總統唐納德·川普 1 月 20 日就職典禮的臨近，比特幣 (BTC) 將在波動的交易中突破歷史新高。

The price of bitcoin, the biggest cryptocurrency, has risen 11% from Monday's lows under $90,000. It has jumped nearly 3% in the past 24 hours, topping $100,000 at one point, CoinDesk data show.

最大的加密貨幣比特幣的價格從週一低於 9 萬美元的低點上漲了 11%。 CoinDesk 數據顯示，過去 24 小時內，其價格上漲了近 3%，一度突破 10 萬美元。

The move into the six figures that spurred risk-taking in the broader market followed a softer-than-expected core CPI report, which alleviated hawkish Fed fears that had driven prices lower. Instead, markets are focusing on Trump's swearing-in and a potential pro-crypto announcement on the first day of the office.

在核心消費者物價指數報告低於預期之後，價格升至六位數，刺激了更廣泛市場的風險承擔，這緩解了導致價格下跌的聯準會鷹派擔憂。相反，市場正在關注川普的宣誓就職以及上任第一天可能發布的支持加密貨幣的聲明。

"The removal of inflation fears clears the way for bitcoin to break through the strong $100,000 resistance level before Trump’s inauguration," said Matt Mena, a crypto research strategist at 21Shares, in an email. "Such a milestone would not only be psychologically significant but also technical, setting up bitcoin to surpass its $108,000 all-time high and establish new record levels as market optimism builds." 21Shares is one of the world’s largest crypto-native issuers of exchange-traded products (ETPs).

21Shares 的加密貨幣研究策略師 Matt Mena 在一封電子郵件中表示：“通膨擔憂的消除為比特幣在川普就職前突破 10 萬美元的強勁阻力位掃清了道路。” 「這樣的里程碑不僅在心理上具有重要意義，而且在技術上也具有重要意義，它將使比特幣突破 108,000 美元的歷史高點，並隨著市場樂觀情緒的建立而創下新的紀錄水平。” 21Shares 是全球最大的交易所交易產品 (ETP) 加密原生發行商之一。

“Trump’s well-documented support for pro-growth policies and his track record of favoring asset price appreciation further reinforces the bullish outlook for bitcoin and risk assets more broadly," Mena wrote.

梅納寫道：“川普對促增長政策的支持有據可查，而且他支持資產價格升值的記錄進一步強化了比特幣和風險資產更廣泛的看漲前景。”

The bullish forecast is consistent with a rally in traditional assets, especially the Nasdaq 100, which surged over 2% Wednesday. BTC has recently strengthened its positive correlation with the tech-heavy index to a two-year high.

看漲預測與傳統資產的反彈一致，尤其是那斯達克 100 指數，該指數週三飆升超過 2%。比特幣最近與科技股指數的正相關性增強至兩年高點。

Meanwhile, the rally in the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's value against major fiat currencies, has stalled, offering a lifeline to risk assets, and the S&P 500 has neared the key level of 6,000.

同時，衡量美元兌主要法定貨幣價值的美元指數的漲勢已陷入停滯，為風險資產提供了生命線，而標準普爾 500 指數已接近 6,000 點的關鍵水平。

According to Mena, a break above 6,000 "could set the stage for the next leg of the global asset bull market."

Mena 表示，突破 6,000 點「可能為全球資產牛市的下一階段奠定基礎」。

Once a skeptic of digital assets, Trump courted the crypto community in months leading up to the November election, pledging to create a national strategic bitcoin stockpile. His victory helped propel BTC to over $108,000 from over $70,000 to over $108,000.

川普曾經對數位資產持懷疑態度，但在 11 月大選前的幾個月裡，他向加密社群示好，承諾建立國家戰略比特幣儲備。他的勝利幫助比特幣從 70,000 美元以上升至 108,000 美元以上，超過 108,000 美元。

"If Trump indicates on day one that he will be creating the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, even if he doesn't sign it on day one, expect price discovery to be asymmetric," said Nathan Cox, the chief investment officer at Two Prime, in an email. "Once through the previous highs of $108,000, there is no limit to how fast it could expand given the unparalleled demand a bitcoin reserve strategy could have globally."

Two Prime 首席投資長內森·考克斯(Nathan Cox) 表示：「如果川普在第一天表示他將建立戰略比特幣儲備，即使他沒有在第一天簽署，預計價格發現將是不對稱的。 “一旦突破之前的高點 108,000 美元，考慮到比特幣儲備策略在全球範圍內可能擁有的無與倫比的需求，其擴張速度將是無限的。”

Two Prime is an SEC-regulated registered investment adviser specializing in digital asset derivatives.

Two Prime 是一家受 SEC 監管的註冊投資顧問，專注於數位資產衍生性商品。

Anticipating Trump's crypto announcements, traders are expecting a volatile week with large price movements.

交易員預計川普將宣布加密貨幣，預計本週將出現波動，價格將大幅波動。

"We are positioned for a volatile week ahead with the change of administration in the U.S. Expect to see some +/-10% moves across the majors such as BTC, SOL, ETH, and XRP," said Paul Howard, a senior director at crypto market-making firm Wincent, in an email. "Pricing will reflect outcomes of announcements by the incoming President, so opportunities, likely not everything, are baked into the current price."

「隨著美國政府的更迭，我們預計未來一周將出現波動，預計 BTC、SOL、ETH 和 XRP 等主要貨幣將出現+/-10%的波動，」高級總監 Paul Howard 表示。 ，在一封電子郵件中。 “定價將反映即將上任的總統宣布的結果，因此機會（可能不是全部）都會納入當前價格。”