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截至发稿时,比特币 [BTC] 交易价格为 95,646 美元,较上周高点下跌 7.89%。虽然日跌幅小幅为 0.52%
Bitcoin [BTC] began the new year of trading at a high of $96,833, following a 7.89% gain over the past week. However, at press time, the asset was trading at $95,646, reflecting a minimal daily loss of 0.52%.
比特币 [BTC] 在过去一周上涨 7.89% 后,以 96,833 美元的高点开始了新的一年的交易。然而,截至发稿时,该资产的交易价格为 95,646 美元,每日最低跌幅为 0.52%。
This slight pullback from Monday’s highs signaled easing selling pressure, which could pave the way for further gains.
从周一高点的小幅回调表明抛售压力有所缓解,这可能为进一步上涨铺平道路。
Bitcoin price prediction: BTC set for a rally to $168,000
比特币价格预测:BTC 将上涨至 168,000 美元
Despite the recent price decline, Bitcoin’s overall bullish trajectory remained intact, especially within the $90,000 range, as highlighted by AMBCrypto.
正如 AMBCrypto 所强调的那样,尽管最近价格下跌,但比特币的整体看涨轨迹仍然完好无损,尤其是在 90,000 美元的范围内。
This observation aligns with the asset’s broader bullish trend, suggesting further potential for upward price movements.
这一观察结果与该资产更广泛的看涨趋势一致,表明价格进一步上涨的潜力。
Moreover, analyst Ali Charts noted that Bitcoin remained bullish despite the recent price decline. This current price correction is viewed as part of a larger market structure that could propel the cryptocurrency to $168,000 region—a potential peak derived using the Mayer Multiple (MM).
此外,分析师 Ali Charts 指出,尽管最近价格下跌,但比特币仍然看涨。当前的价格调整被视为更大市场结构的一部分,可能将加密货币推升至 168,000 美元区域——这是使用梅耶倍数 (MM) 得出的潜在峰值。
The Mayer Multiple, an indicator available on Glassnode, calculates potential market tops and bottoms by dividing BTC’s current price by its 200-day moving average.
Mayer Multiple 是 Glassnode 上提供的一个指标,通过将 BTC 的当前价格除以 200 天移动平均线来计算潜在的市场顶部和底部。
Based on this metric, the market’s potential top is indicated at an MM of 2.4 (red line), corresponding to approximately $168,494. Meanwhile, the bottom is defined at 0.8 MM (green line), or $56,141.
根据这一指标,市场的潜在顶部以 MM 2.4(红线)表示,相当于约 168,494 美元。同时,底部定义为 0.8 MM(绿线),即 56,141 美元。
It is important to note that the Mayer Multiple, currently at 1.3, reflects a fair valuation for BTC but does not directly dictate market direction.
值得注意的是,梅耶尔市盈率目前为 1.3,反映了 BTC 的合理估值,但并不直接决定市场方向。
However, with room to climb toward the MM peak of 2.4, BTC could rally to $168,494, a level that would place it in overvalued territory.
然而,由于比特币还有向 MM 峰值 2.4 攀升的空间,比特币可能会反弹至 168,494 美元,这一水平将使其进入估值过高的区域。
Institutions, large investors keeping BTC intact
机构、大型投资者保持比特币完好无损
Throughout Bitcoin’s price range movements, institutional and large-scale investors played a significant role. As the cryptocurrency regained popularity, recent data highlighted a surge in interest from these entities.
在整个比特币价格区间走势中,机构和大型投资者发挥了重要作用。随着加密货币重新流行,最近的数据凸显了这些实体的兴趣激增。
According to CryptoQuant, this group notably increased its share of Bitcoin’s Known Entities Cap Table, rising from 14% last year to 31% at the time of reporting.
根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,该群体在比特币已知实体上限表中的份额显着增加,从去年的 14% 上升到报告时的 31%。
If this buying trend continued, it could positively impact Bitcoin’s trajectory by further cementing its position in mainstream financial markets.
如果这种购买趋势持续下去,可能会进一步巩固比特币在主流金融市场的地位,从而对比特币的发展轨迹产生积极影响。
AMBCrypto’s analysis of U.S., Korean, and traditional investors revealed that bullish sentiment persisted, suggesting continued confidence in BTC’s potential.
AMBCrypto 对美国、韩国和传统投资者的分析显示,看涨情绪持续存在,表明人们对 BTC 的潜力仍然充满信心。
Korean investors accelerate Bitcoin buying
韩国投资者加速比特币购买
In the last 24 hours, Korean investors have shown a major surge in BTC buying activity, with a spike last seen in August. The current reading of the Korean Premium Index has climbed to 5.26, up from a negative 0.37 on December 15.
在过去 24 小时内,韩国投资者的 BTC 购买活动大幅激增,上次出现高峰是在 8 月份。韩国溢价指数当前读数已从 12 月 15 日的负值 0.37 攀升至 5.26。
This level of heightened buying activity indicates ongoing accumulation, which could soon reflect in BTC’s price, potentially driving it higher in upcoming trading sessions.
这种购买活动的增加表明了比特币的持续积累,这可能很快就会反映在比特币的价格上,并有可能在接下来的交易时段推高比特币价格。
In contrast, U.S. investors have shown reduced interest, as indicated by a decline in the Coinbase Premium Index. The index remains in negative territory at -0.1035, a sign of a slowdown in buying activity.
相比之下,美国投资者的兴趣有所下降,Coinbase 溢价指数下降表明了这一点。该指数仍处于负值区域-0.1035,表明购买活动放缓。
Similarly, the Fund Market Premium Index, which tracks institutional Bitcoin buying and selling, mirrors this bearish sentiment. It currently stands at -0.759, reinforcing the decline in institutional demand.
同样,追踪机构比特币买卖的基金市场溢价指数也反映了这种看跌情绪。目前为-0.759,加剧了机构需求的下降。
If U.S. and institutional investors return to buying, their participation—combined with the bullish momentum from Korean investors—could push Bitcoin’s price upward to the $100,000 region.
如果美国和机构投资者恢复购买,他们的参与加上韩国投资者的看涨势头,可能会将比特币的价格推升至 10 万美元区域。
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