比特币（BTC）价格预测：本周BTC价格会达到$ 99K吗？

2月18日，比特币[BTC]跌至当地低点93.4万美元。在Ambcrypto分析显示跌至9.4K美元之后的几个小时

Bitcoin [BTC] dropped down to a local low of $93.4k on the 18th of February. This price move came hours after an AMBCrypto analysis showed a fall to $94k, and a subsequent rebound was likely.

2月18日，比特币[BTC]下降到当地低点93.4万美元。在Ambcrypto分析显示跌至9.4K美元的几个小时后，这种价格转移发生了数小时，随后的反弹很可能。

At the time of writing, the price was back above the $96k mark. The range-bound price action of the past two weeks meant that the $99k level was the next short-term price target.

在撰写本文时，价格恢复了9.6万美元的高度。过去两个星期的范围内价格行动意味着9.9万美元的水平是下一个短期目标目标。

Despite the Trump tariffs and sell-offs among spot ETFs, BTC has held its own above the $90k mark. This was impressive- but should investors take this as a warning sign, or should they buy more?

尽管特朗普在现货ETF中的关税和抛售，但BTC仍以自己的价格超过9万美元。这是令人印象深刻的 - 但是投资者应该将其视为警告标志，还是应该购买更多？

The bears still ruled the market

熊仍然统治了市场

Source: CryptoQuant

资料来源：加密

Crypto analyst Axel Adler highlighted that the advanced Bitcoin sentiment index showed strong bearish sentiment.

加密分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒（Axel Adler）强调，先进的比特币情绪指数表现出强烈的看跌情绪。

This metric takes into account Open Interest, Net Taker Volume, Volume Delta, and Volume weighted average price.

该指标考虑了开放利息，净收入人数，数量增量和体积加权平均价格。

The bell chart in the background of the chart highlighted the most common sentiment levels over the past month, which was 43%. The press time reading of 31% showed the sentiment has swayed toward the bearish extreme.

图表背景中的钟表图强调了过去一个月中最常见的情感水平，为43％。 31％的新闻发布时间显示，情绪已经朝着看跌的极端摇摆。

A recovery in the metric and a reading of more than 40-50% would indicate the market sentiment has begun to shift bullishly. As things stand, traders and investors must be wary of further price drops.

指标的复苏和超过40-50％的阅读将表明市场情绪已经开始看涨。事物的立场，交易者和投资者必须对进一步的价格下跌。

Source: CryptoQuant

资料来源：加密

Another of Adler’s metrics, the Bitcoin Realized Pricing Bands, showed that the market was not overextended on the higher timeframes.

阿德勒的另一个指标，比特币实现了定价乐队，表明该市场在更高的时间范围内没有过度扩张。

The realized price metric reflects the average price at which investors have purchased Bitcoin. This can be a more accurate way of looking at the market than just the current market prices.

实现的价格指标反映了投资者购买比特币的平均价格。这可能是看市场的一种更准确的方式，而不仅仅是当前的市场价格。

Using multiples of the realized price (RP) and looking at historical price trends, the analyst mapped out red and green alerts that marked cycle tops and bottoms. At press time, BTC was closer to the 2.4*RP than the 3.2 multiple.

分析师使用实现价格（RP）的倍数（RP）并查看历史价格趋势，将红色和绿色警报绘制为标志着周期顶部和底部的绿色警报。发稿时，BTC比3.2倍数更接近2.4*RP。

If history repeats itself, long-term holders can use a price move beyond the 3.2*RP to take profits.

如果历史重演，长期持有人可以将价格转移到3.2*RP以外的利润。

Even though there is no guarantee that history will repeat, holders who don’t need to liquidate their BTC for upkeep can look to add to their holdings or just remain in HODL mode. Panic selling would likely not serve them well.

即使不能保证历史记录会重复，但不需要清算其BTC进行维护的持有人可以增加其持股量，或者只是保持HODL模式。恐慌销售可能无法很好地为他们服务。