比特幣（BTC）價格預測：本週BTC價格會達到$ 99K嗎？

2月18日，比特幣[BTC]跌至當地低點93.4萬美元。在Ambcrypto分析顯示跌至9.4K美元之後的幾個小時

Bitcoin [BTC] dropped down to a local low of $93.4k on the 18th of February. This price move came hours after an AMBCrypto analysis showed a fall to $94k, and a subsequent rebound was likely.

2月18日，比特幣[BTC]下降到當地低點93.4萬美元。在Ambcrypto分析顯示跌至9.4K美元的幾個小時後，這種價格轉移發生了數小時，隨後的反彈很可能。

At the time of writing, the price was back above the $96k mark. The range-bound price action of the past two weeks meant that the $99k level was the next short-term price target.

在撰寫本文時，價格恢復了9.6萬美元的高度。過去兩個星期的範圍內價格行動意味著9.9萬美元的水平是下一個短期目標目標。

Despite the Trump tariffs and sell-offs among spot ETFs, BTC has held its own above the $90k mark. This was impressive- but should investors take this as a warning sign, or should they buy more?

儘管特朗普在現貨ETF中的關稅和拋售，但BTC仍以自己的價格超過9萬美元。這是令人印象深刻的 - 但是投資者應該將其視為警告標誌，還是應該購買更多？

The bears still ruled the market

熊仍然統治了市場

Source: CryptoQuant

資料來源：加密

Crypto analyst Axel Adler highlighted that the advanced Bitcoin sentiment index showed strong bearish sentiment.

加密分析師阿克塞爾·阿德勒（Axel Adler）強調，先進的比特幣情緒指數表現出強烈的看跌情緒。

This metric takes into account Open Interest, Net Taker Volume, Volume Delta, and Volume weighted average price.

該指標考慮了開放利息，淨收入人數，數量增量和體積加權平均價格。

The bell chart in the background of the chart highlighted the most common sentiment levels over the past month, which was 43%. The press time reading of 31% showed the sentiment has swayed toward the bearish extreme.

圖表背景中的鐘錶圖強調了過去一個月中最常見的情感水平，為43％。 31％的新聞發佈時間顯示，情緒已經朝著看跌的極端搖擺。

A recovery in the metric and a reading of more than 40-50% would indicate the market sentiment has begun to shift bullishly. As things stand, traders and investors must be wary of further price drops.

指標的複蘇和超過40-50％的閱讀將表明市場情緒已經開始看漲。事物的立場，交易者和投資者必須對進一步的價格下跌。

Source: CryptoQuant

資料來源：加密

Another of Adler’s metrics, the Bitcoin Realized Pricing Bands, showed that the market was not overextended on the higher timeframes.

阿德勒的另一個指標，比特幣實現了定價樂隊，表明該市場在更高的時間範圍內沒有過度擴張。

The realized price metric reflects the average price at which investors have purchased Bitcoin. This can be a more accurate way of looking at the market than just the current market prices.

實現的價格指標反映了投資者購買比特幣的平均價格。這可能是看市場的一種更準確的方式，而不僅僅是當前的市場價格。

Using multiples of the realized price (RP) and looking at historical price trends, the analyst mapped out red and green alerts that marked cycle tops and bottoms. At press time, BTC was closer to the 2.4*RP than the 3.2 multiple.

分析師使用實現價格（RP）的倍數（RP）並查看歷史價格趨勢，將紅色和綠色警報繪製為標誌著周期頂部和底部的綠色警報。發稿時，BTC比3.2倍數更接近2.4*RP。

If history repeats itself, long-term holders can use a price move beyond the 3.2*RP to take profits.

如果歷史重演，長期持有人可以將價格轉移到3.2*RP以外的利潤。

Even though there is no guarantee that history will repeat, holders who don’t need to liquidate their BTC for upkeep can look to add to their holdings or just remain in HODL mode. Panic selling would likely not serve them well.

即使不能保證歷史記錄會重複，但不需要清算其BTC進行維護的持有人可以增加其持股量，或者只是保持HODL模式。恐慌銷售可能無法很好地為他們服務。