比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC投资者厌倦了抛售，承诺看涨逆转

尽管多次尝试，但比特币在过去六周内仍难以确保 10 万美元的支撑位。

Bitcoin’s attempts to secure $100,000 as a support level have been thwarted over the past six weeks by persistent selling activity. However, recent market trends indicate a shift in dynamics, setting the stage for a potential breakout.

比特币试图获得 10 万美元作为支撑位的努力在过去六周内因持续的抛售活动而受挫。然而，最近的市场趋势表明动态发生了转变，为潜在的突破奠定了基础。

A key factor to watch is Bitcoin’s short-term on-chain cost basis, which currently sits at $88,135. Bitcoin is trading at a 7% premium over this level, indicating optimism among new investors. If prices stabilize above the STH cost basis, it will strengthen the bullish sentiment.

值得关注的一个关键因素是比特币的短期链上成本基础，目前为 88,135 美元。比特币的交易价格较该水平溢价 7%，表明新投资者的乐观情绪。如果价格稳定在 STH 成本基础之上，将会加强看涨情绪。

On the other hand, if prices fall below this threshold, it could signal hesitation among short-term holders, potentially leading to broader market corrections.

另一方面，如果价格跌破这一阈值，则可能表明短期持有者犹豫不决，从而可能导致更广泛的市场调整。

Another crucial aspect is the macro momentum indicators, which highlight Bitcoin’s potential for recovery. Realized profits have dropped to a three-month low, indicating a decline in selling pressure. This reduced activity suggests that investors are choosing to hold rather than exit, indicating diminishing bearish sentiment.

另一个关键方面是宏观动能指标，它凸显了比特币的复苏潜力。已实现利润已降至三个月低点，表明抛售压力有所下降。这种活动的减少表明投资者选择持有而不是退出，表明看跌情绪正在减弱。

The drop in realized profits provides an opportunity for Bitcoin to regain momentum. With fewer sellers in the market, buying pressure could take precedence, paving the way for sustained recovery. Such a shift would give Bitcoin the breathing room it needs to target key resistance levels.

已实现利润的下降为比特币重新获得动力提供了机会。由于市场卖家减少，购买压力可能会优先，为持续复苏铺平道路。这种转变将为比特币提供瞄准关键阻力位所需的喘息空间。

Currently, Bitcoin’s price action is encountering resistance at $95,668. A failure to breach this level could lead to a pullback, with support situated at $93,625. If this support is lost, the price may drop further to $92,005, invalidating the bullish outlook and delaying recovery efforts.

目前，比特币的价格走势在 95,668 美元处遇到阻力。如果未能突破该水平，可能会导致回调，支撑位为 93,625 美元。如果失去这一支撑，价格可能会进一步跌至 92,005 美元，从而使看涨前景失效并推迟复苏努力。