比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC投資者厭倦了拋售，承諾看漲逆轉

儘管多次嘗試，比特幣在過去六週內仍難以確保 10 萬美元的支撐位。

Bitcoin’s attempts to secure $100,000 as a support level have been thwarted over the past six weeks by persistent selling activity. However, recent market trends indicate a shift in dynamics, setting the stage for a potential breakout.

比特幣試圖獲得 10 萬美元作為支撐位的努力在過去六週內因持續的拋售活動而受挫。然而，最近的市場趨勢表明動態發生了轉變，為潛在的突破奠定了基礎。

A key factor to watch is Bitcoin’s short-term on-chain cost basis, which currently sits at $88,135. Bitcoin is trading at a 7% premium over this level, indicating optimism among new investors. If prices stabilize above the STH cost basis, it will strengthen the bullish sentiment.

值得關注的關鍵因素是比特幣的短期鏈上成本基礎，目前為 88,135 美元。比特幣的交易價格較該水準溢價 7%，顯示新投資者的樂觀情緒。如果價格穩定在 STH 成本基礎之上，將會加強看漲情緒。

On the other hand, if prices fall below this threshold, it could signal hesitation among short-term holders, potentially leading to broader market corrections.

另一方面，如果價格跌破此閾值，則可能表明短期持有者猶豫不決，可能導致更廣泛的市場調整。

Another crucial aspect is the macro momentum indicators, which highlight Bitcoin’s potential for recovery. Realized profits have dropped to a three-month low, indicating a decline in selling pressure. This reduced activity suggests that investors are choosing to hold rather than exit, indicating diminishing bearish sentiment.

另一個關鍵方面是宏觀動能指標，它凸顯了比特幣的復甦潛力。已實現利潤已降至三個月低點，顯示拋售壓力下降。這種活動的減少表明投資者選擇持有而不是退出，表明看跌情緒正在減弱。

The drop in realized profits provides an opportunity for Bitcoin to regain momentum. With fewer sellers in the market, buying pressure could take precedence, paving the way for sustained recovery. Such a shift would give Bitcoin the breathing room it needs to target key resistance levels.

已實現利潤的下降為比特幣重新獲得動力提供了機會。由於市場賣家減少，購買壓力可能會優先，為持續復甦鋪平道路。這種轉變將為比特幣提供瞄準關鍵阻力位所需的喘息空間。

Currently, Bitcoin’s price action is encountering resistance at $95,668. A failure to breach this level could lead to a pullback, with support situated at $93,625. If this support is lost, the price may drop further to $92,005, invalidating the bullish outlook and delaying recovery efforts.

目前，比特幣的價格走勢在 95,668 美元處遇到阻力。如果未能突破該水平，可能會導致回調，支撐位為 93,625 美元。如果失去這一支撐，價格可能會進一步跌至 92,005 美元，從而使看漲前景失效並推遲復甦努力。