比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：到 2024 年圣诞节，BTC 会达到 10 万美元吗？

随着假期的到来，比特币展现出强劲的上涨轨迹，其价格于 2024 年 12 月 25 日突破 98,000 美元。

As the holiday season unfolds, Bitcoin has demonstrated a robust upward trajectory, with its price surpassing $98,000 on December 25, 2024. This surge has reignited discussions among traders and analysts regarding the cryptocurrency’s future direction.

随着假期的到来，比特币呈现出强劲的上涨轨迹，其价格于 2024 年 12 月 25 日突破 98,000 美元。这种飙升重新引发了交易员和分析师关于加密货币未来方向的讨论。

Prominent trader Skew has highlighted a “clean” bullish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart. He noted that the current price movement is retesting the systematic trend that previously propelled Bitcoin from $68,000 to $108,000. Skew described the unsuccessful attempts to drive the price lower as “failed action,” suggesting sustained market demand.

著名交易员 Skew 强调了 4 小时图表上相对强弱指数 (RSI) 的“干净”看涨背离。他指出，当前的价格走势正在重新测试之前将比特币从 68,000 美元推升至 108,000 美元的系统性趋势。 Skew 将压低价格的不成功尝试描述为“失败的行动”，表明市场需求持续存在。

However, Skew advises a cautious approach. He underlines the need for monitoring important levels, such as the Point of Control (PoC), to ensure that the bullish trend continues. Notably, the market behavior during the Christmas season, which is usually characterized by reduced trading volumes, adds uncertainty to these findings.

然而，Skew 建议采取谨慎的态度。他强调需要监控重要水平，例如控制点（PoC），以确保看涨趋势持续下去。值得注意的是，圣诞节期间的市场行为通常以交易量减少为特征，这增加了这些调查结果的不确定性。

Meanwhile, institutional interest continues to be a significant driving force behind Bitcoin's value, adding to the overall optimistic sentiment in the market. Large investors still regard Bitcoin as a store of value, especially during periods of economic turmoil. Even recently, massive investments in Bitcoin have been observed, such as the large-scale purchases by MicroStrategy in the recent weeks, indicating strong positive conviction in the prospects of Bitcoin. Such institutional interest not only supports Bitcoin's price but also adds to the larger narrative of cryptocurrency as a mainstream asset class. As more institutional investors adopt Bitcoin, the demand for the digital currency is expected to increase, sustaining the upward momentum.

与此同时，机构兴趣仍然是比特币价值背后的重要推动力，增加了市场的整体乐观情绪。大型投资者仍然将比特币视为一种价值储存手段，尤其是在经济动荡时期。即使在最近，人们仍观察到对比特币的大规模投资，例如 MicroStrategy 最近几周的大规模购买，表明人们对比特币的前景抱有强烈的积极信念。这种机构兴趣不仅支撑了比特币的价格，而且还增强了加密货币作为主流资产类别的更大叙事。随着越来越多的机构投资者采用比特币，对数字货币的需求预计将增加，从而维持上升势头。

On the other hand, global market conditions remain somewhat mixed, with varying trends in different regions. However, there are signs of increasing demand for Bitcoin in certain areas. For instance, Bitcoin purchases have increased dramatically in South Korea, especially amid market downturns. Speculative short-term holders have been the main drivers of this rising demand, indicating a growing appetite for Bitcoin in the region.

另一方面，全球市场状况仍然有些复杂，不同地区的趋势各不相同。然而，有迹象表明某些领域对比特币的需求正在增加。例如，韩国的比特币购买量急剧增加，尤其是在市场低迷时期。投机性短期持有者是需求不断增长的主要驱动力，这表明该地区对比特币的兴趣不断增长。

This regional demand is not limited to South Korea. There are indications that interest in Bitcoin is growing in other markets, especially in nations where there is high inflation or economic instability. As these regions continue to embrace Bitcoin as a hedge against economic uncertainty, its global appeal is expanding.

这种区域需求不仅限于韩国。有迹象表明，其他市场对比特币的兴趣正在增长，尤其是在通货膨胀率高或经济不稳定的国家。随着这些地区继续接受比特币作为对冲经济不确定性的工具，其全球吸引力正在扩大。

As we look ahead, the outlook for Bitcoin remains cautiously hopeful, but the road ahead is not without hurdles. Analysts are divided on whether Bitcoin will retain its positive momentum or suffer a severe downturn. Others caution that regulatory obstacles or macroeconomic variables may cause short-term volatility, even though others believe the cryptocurrency might hit new all-time highs by early 2025.

展望未来，比特币的前景仍然谨慎乐观，但前进的道路并非没有障碍。分析师对于比特币是否会保持积极势头还是遭受严重下滑存在分歧。其他人警告称，监管障碍或宏观经济变量可能会导致短期波动，尽管其他人认为加密货币可能会在 2025 年初创下历史新高。

All eyes will be on Bitcoin's capacity to sustain support above crucial levels in the upcoming months, as well as whether institutional and local demand will keep pushing the market higher. In a continuing rally with Bitcoin, investors should be sure to be extra watchful of the change according to the dynamic landscape.

所有的目光都将集中在比特币在未来几个月内将支撑维持在关键水平之上的能力，以及机构和当地需求是否会继续推高市场。在比特币持续上涨的过程中，投资者应根据动态形势格外关注变化。