比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：到 2024 年聖誕節，BTC 會達到 10 萬美元嗎？

隨著假期的到來，比特幣展現出強勁的上漲軌跡，其價格於 2024 年 12 月 25 日突破 98,000 美元。

As the holiday season unfolds, Bitcoin has demonstrated a robust upward trajectory, with its price surpassing $98,000 on December 25, 2024. This surge has reignited discussions among traders and analysts regarding the cryptocurrency’s future direction.

隨著假期的到來，比特幣呈現出強勁的上漲軌跡，其價格於 2024 年 12 月 25 日突破 98,000 美元。

Prominent trader Skew has highlighted a “clean” bullish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart. He noted that the current price movement is retesting the systematic trend that previously propelled Bitcoin from $68,000 to $108,000. Skew described the unsuccessful attempts to drive the price lower as “failed action,” suggesting sustained market demand.

著名交易員 Skew 強調了 4 小時圖表上相對強弱指數 (RSI) 的「乾淨」看漲背離。他指出，當前的價格走勢正在重新測試先前將比特幣從 68,000 美元推升至 108,000 美元的系統性趨勢。 Skew 將壓低價格的不成功嘗試描述為“失敗的行動”，表明市場需求持續存在。

However, Skew advises a cautious approach. He underlines the need for monitoring important levels, such as the Point of Control (PoC), to ensure that the bullish trend continues. Notably, the market behavior during the Christmas season, which is usually characterized by reduced trading volumes, adds uncertainty to these findings.

然而，Skew 建議採取謹慎的態度。他強調需要監控重要水平，例如控制點（PoC），以確保看漲趨勢持續下去。值得注意的是，聖誕節期間的市場行為通常以交易量減少為特徵，這增加了這些調查結果的不確定性。

Meanwhile, institutional interest continues to be a significant driving force behind Bitcoin's value, adding to the overall optimistic sentiment in the market. Large investors still regard Bitcoin as a store of value, especially during periods of economic turmoil. Even recently, massive investments in Bitcoin have been observed, such as the large-scale purchases by MicroStrategy in the recent weeks, indicating strong positive conviction in the prospects of Bitcoin. Such institutional interest not only supports Bitcoin's price but also adds to the larger narrative of cryptocurrency as a mainstream asset class. As more institutional investors adopt Bitcoin, the demand for the digital currency is expected to increase, sustaining the upward momentum.

同時，機構興趣仍然是比特幣價值背後的重要動力，增加了市場的整體樂觀。大型投資者仍然將比特幣視為一種價值儲存手段，尤其是在經濟動盪時期。即使在最近，人們仍觀察到對比特幣的大規模投資，例如 MicroStrategy 最近幾週的大規模購買，表明人們對比特幣的前景抱有強烈的正面信念。這種機構興趣不僅支撐了比特幣的價格，而且還增強了加密貨幣作為主流資產類別的更大敘事。隨著越來越多的機構投資者採用比特幣，對數位貨幣的需求預計將增加，從而維持上升勢頭。

On the other hand, global market conditions remain somewhat mixed, with varying trends in different regions. However, there are signs of increasing demand for Bitcoin in certain areas. For instance, Bitcoin purchases have increased dramatically in South Korea, especially amid market downturns. Speculative short-term holders have been the main drivers of this rising demand, indicating a growing appetite for Bitcoin in the region.

另一方面，全球市場狀況仍有些複雜，不同地區的趨勢各不相同。然而，有跡象表明某些領域對比特幣的需求正在增加。例如，韓國的比特幣購買量急劇增加，尤其是在市場低迷時期。投機性短期持有者是需求不斷增長的主要驅動力，這表明該地區對比特幣的興趣不斷增長。

This regional demand is not limited to South Korea. There are indications that interest in Bitcoin is growing in other markets, especially in nations where there is high inflation or economic instability. As these regions continue to embrace Bitcoin as a hedge against economic uncertainty, its global appeal is expanding.

這種區域需求不僅限於韓國。有跡象表明，其他市場對比特幣的興趣正在增長，尤其是在通貨膨脹率高或經濟不穩定的國家。隨著這些地區繼續接受比特幣作為對沖經濟不確定性的工具，其全球吸引力正在擴大。

As we look ahead, the outlook for Bitcoin remains cautiously hopeful, but the road ahead is not without hurdles. Analysts are divided on whether Bitcoin will retain its positive momentum or suffer a severe downturn. Others caution that regulatory obstacles or macroeconomic variables may cause short-term volatility, even though others believe the cryptocurrency might hit new all-time highs by early 2025.

展望未來，比特幣的前景仍然謹慎樂觀，但前進的道路並非沒有障礙。分析師對於比特幣是否會保持積極勢頭還是遭受嚴重下滑存在分歧。其他人則警告稱，監管障礙或宏觀經濟變數可能會導致短期波動，儘管其他人認為加密貨幣可能會在 2025 年初創下歷史新高。

All eyes will be on Bitcoin's capacity to sustain support above crucial levels in the upcoming months, as well as whether institutional and local demand will keep pushing the market higher. In a continuing rally with Bitcoin, investors should be sure to be extra watchful of the change according to the dynamic landscape.

所有的目光都將集中在比特幣在未來幾個月內將支撐維持在關鍵水平之上的能力，以及機構和當地需求是否會繼續推高市場。在比特幣持續上漲的過程中，投資者應根據動態情勢格外關注變化。