比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC是否会超过200天简单的移动平均线？

比特币目前的性能暗示着一个关键时刻，因为它在打破关键阻力水平方面面临着挑战。

Bitcoin's attempts to break through key resistance levels have been met with challenges, leaving the crypto behemoth at a critical juncture as its current performance is closely watched by market participants.

比特币打破关键阻力水平的尝试已面临挑战，由于市场参与者密切关注其当前的表现，因此将加密庞然大物处于关键关键时刻。

Despite struggling to pierce through the 200-day simple moving average set at $84,000 and the 4-hour chart displaying a balanced trading environment between buyers and sellers, hopes remain of surpassing the short-term overhead resistance to see the price rally towards $92,810 and $95,000, though downside support lingers around $80,000.

尽管努力在200天的简单移动平均线上划定84,000美元，而4小时的图表则显示了买卖双方之间平衡的交易环境，但希望仍然超过短期间接费用的阻力，以至于价格涨到92,810美元和95,000美元，尽管下跌支持者约80,000美元左右。

However, according to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, Bitcoin must close above $81,000 weekly to showcase resilience. Alternatively, any decline below $76,000 could trigger more significant selling, rendering this a pivotal juncture for the flagship cryptocurrency.

但是，根据Bitget Research的首席分析师Ryan Lee的说法，比特币必须每周关闭81,000美元以上才能展示弹性。另外，任何低于$ 76,000的下降都可能触发更大的销售，这使这是旗舰加密货币的关键点。

"The downward trend in the 20-day exponential moving average, currently at $86,188, suggests that seller strength still dominates. However, a positive divergence on the RSI indicates that selling pressure is diminishing.

“目前为86,188美元的20天指数移动平均线的下降趋势表明，卖方的实力仍然占主导地位。但是，RSI的正分歧表明销售压力正在减轻。

"If Bitcoin falters from its present value, it could see a retreat to $80,000, paving the way for a further drop to $76,606.

“如果比特币从现有价值中步履蹒跚，它可能会看到撤退到80,000美元，为进一步跌至76,606美元的道路铺平了道路。

"On the other hand, a rebound that pushes the price above the 20-day EMA could indicate that the market is rejecting the breakdown below the 200-day SMA. In such a scenario, potential uptrends could target the 50-day SMA at $93,033 and potentially reach the psychological milestone of $100,000, a significant resistance level."

“另一方面，将价格提高到20天EMA以上的反弹可能表明，市场拒绝低于200天的SMA的细分。在这种情况下，潜在的上升趋势可能以93,033美元的价格将50天的SMA瞄准，并有可能达到100,000美元的心理里程碑。”

This view contradicts that of 10x Research's senior portfolio manager, Markus Thielen, who expressed skepticism about a robust recovery in the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that the chart structure remains "rather indecisive."

这种观点与10倍研究的高级投资组合经理马库斯·泰伦（Markus Thielen）相矛盾，他对加密货币市场的稳健恢复表示怀疑，这表明该图表结构仍然“相当柔和”。

"There isn't a clear bullish trend emerging at the moment," he noted, adding that the market appears to be struggling to sustain momentum in either direction.

他指出：“目前还没有明显的看涨趋势。”他补充说，市场似乎正在努力朝着任何一个方向维持动力。

"The year usually starts slowly, and we're observing this pattern in 2024 as well. Typically, we see more significant annual performance peaks in April and October," explained Timothy Peterson, a Bitcoin network economist.

比特币网络经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）解释说：“这一年通常也开始缓慢，我们也在2024年观察这种模式。通常，我们在4月和10月看到了更重要的年度绩效高峰。”

"My forecasts suggest that there's a possibility of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs before June."

“我的预测表明，有可能比特币在六月之前达到新的历史最高点。”

Discussing Binance Coin (BNB), which began its recovery from $507 on March 11, the asset is now facing resistance at the 50-day SMA ($621). Observing the 20-day EMA of $595, this level is crucial—the price needs to remain above it to retain bullish momentum. A rebound may push the BNB/USDT pair toward $686.

讨论Binance Coin（BNB），该硬币从3月11日的507美元开始回收，该资产现在面临50天SMA的抵抗力（621美元）。在观察20天的EMA $ 595时，此水平至关重要 - 要保留看涨的势头，价格必须保持在其上方。反弹可能会将BNB/USDT对推向686美元。

However, a decline below this EMA would signal bearish dominance, setting the stage for potential drops to $550.

但是，低于此EMA的下降将表明看跌的统治地位，为潜在的下降阶段降至550美元。

In the case of Toncoin, which surged to $3.64 from $2.35 earlier this month, market corrections could find footing at the 20-day EMA of $3.15. If successful, this buying pressure may propel the asset above its 50-day SMA, targeting $4 and later $5.

就托币而言，从本月早些时候的2.35美元上涨至3.64美元，市场更正可以找到20天EMA $ 3.15的基础。如果成功的话，这种购买压力可能会推动资产高于其50天的SMA，目标是4美元，后来又针对5美元。

A breakdown below the 20-day EMA, however, would expose the asset to a decline towards $2.50.

但是，低于20天EMA的细分将使资产下降到2.50美元。

As for Gate Token (GT), it shows signs of indecision with its symmetrical triangle formation, while the flattening of the 20-day EMA indicates hesitance among traders. A breakout above this triangle may indicate renewed bullish momentum, possibly driving the GT/USDT pair towards $24 and beyond.

至于栅极令牌（GT），它以对称的三角形形成显示了犹豫不决的迹象，而20天EMA的扁平化表示交易者之间的犹豫。该三角形上方的突破可能表明新看涨势头，可能会将GT/USDT对驶向24美元及以后的势头。

Failure to maintain above the 20-day EMA could suggest a prolonged period of consolidation or further declines, setting the stage for a move towards the lower triangle support at $11.

无法维持20天的EMA的维持可能会表明延长的合并期限或进一步下降，这为向下三角支撑迈出了11美元的阶段。

Finally, Cosmos (ATOM) encountered selling pressure at the 50-day SMA ($5.15), presenting a point of contention. The recent breach above the 20-day EMA ($4.31) suggests that selling pressure is waning as bullish sentiment builds.

最后，Cosmos（Atom）在50天的SMA（$ 5.15）遇到了销售压力，提出了争论点。最近的20天EMA（$ 4.31）的违规行为表明，随着看涨情绪的建立，销售压力正在减弱。

A successful close above this 50-day SMA could pave the way for a rally to $6.50. However, if the 20-day EMA support fails, the price could retrace back to $3.50.

超过这50天的SMA的成功接近，可以为卢比铺平道路，达到6.50美元。但是，如果20天的EMA支持失败，价格可能会追溯到3.50美元。