比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC是否會超過200天簡單的移動平均線？

比特幣目前的性能暗示著一個關鍵時刻，因為它在打破關鍵阻力水平方面面臨著挑戰。

Bitcoin's attempts to break through key resistance levels have been met with challenges, leaving the crypto behemoth at a critical juncture as its current performance is closely watched by market participants.

比特幣打破關鍵阻力水平的嘗試已面臨挑戰，由於市場參與者密切關注其當前的表現，因此將加密龐然大物處於關鍵關鍵時刻。

Despite struggling to pierce through the 200-day simple moving average set at $84,000 and the 4-hour chart displaying a balanced trading environment between buyers and sellers, hopes remain of surpassing the short-term overhead resistance to see the price rally towards $92,810 and $95,000, though downside support lingers around $80,000.

儘管努力在200天的簡單移動平均線上劃定84,000美元，而4小時的圖表則顯示了買賣雙方之間平衡的交易環境，但希望仍然超過短期間接費用的阻力，以至於價格漲到92,810美元和95,000美元，儘管下跌支持者約80,000美元左右。

However, according to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, Bitcoin must close above $81,000 weekly to showcase resilience. Alternatively, any decline below $76,000 could trigger more significant selling, rendering this a pivotal juncture for the flagship cryptocurrency.

但是，根據Bitget Research的首席分析師Ryan Lee的說法，比特幣必須每週關閉81,000美元以上才能展示彈性。另外，任何低於$ 76,000的下降都可能觸發更大的銷售，這使這是旗艦加密貨幣的關鍵點。

"The downward trend in the 20-day exponential moving average, currently at $86,188, suggests that seller strength still dominates. However, a positive divergence on the RSI indicates that selling pressure is diminishing.

“目前為86,188美元的20天指數移動平均線的下降趨勢表明，賣方的實力仍然占主導地位。但是，RSI的正分歧表明銷售壓力正在減輕。

"If Bitcoin falters from its present value, it could see a retreat to $80,000, paving the way for a further drop to $76,606.

“如果比特幣從現有價值中步履蹣跚，它可能會看到撤退到80,000美元，為進一步跌至76,606美元的道路鋪平了道路。

"On the other hand, a rebound that pushes the price above the 20-day EMA could indicate that the market is rejecting the breakdown below the 200-day SMA. In such a scenario, potential uptrends could target the 50-day SMA at $93,033 and potentially reach the psychological milestone of $100,000, a significant resistance level."

“另一方面，將價格提高到20天EMA以上的反彈可能表明，市場拒絕低於200天的SMA的細分。在這種情況下，潛在的上升趨勢可能以93,033美元的價格將50天的SMA瞄準，並有可能達到100,000美元的心理里程碑。”

This view contradicts that of 10x Research's senior portfolio manager, Markus Thielen, who expressed skepticism about a robust recovery in the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that the chart structure remains "rather indecisive."

這種觀點與10倍研究的高級投資組合經理馬庫斯·泰倫（Markus Thielen）相矛盾，他對加密貨幣市場的穩健恢復表示懷疑，這表明該圖表結構仍然“相當柔和”。

"There isn't a clear bullish trend emerging at the moment," he noted, adding that the market appears to be struggling to sustain momentum in either direction.

他指出：“目前還沒有明顯的看漲趨勢。”他補充說，市場似乎正在努力朝著任何一個方向維持動力。

"The year usually starts slowly, and we're observing this pattern in 2024 as well. Typically, we see more significant annual performance peaks in April and October," explained Timothy Peterson, a Bitcoin network economist.

比特幣網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）解釋說：“這一年通常也開始緩慢，我們也在2024年觀察這種模式。通常，我們在4月和10月看到了更重要的年度績效高峰。”

"My forecasts suggest that there's a possibility of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs before June."

“我的預測表明，有可能比特幣在六月之前達到新的歷史最高點。”

Discussing Binance Coin (BNB), which began its recovery from $507 on March 11, the asset is now facing resistance at the 50-day SMA ($621). Observing the 20-day EMA of $595, this level is crucial—the price needs to remain above it to retain bullish momentum. A rebound may push the BNB/USDT pair toward $686.

討論Binance Coin（BNB），該硬幣從3月11日的507美元開始回收，該資產現在面臨50天SMA的抵抗力（621美元）。在觀察20天的EMA $ 595時，此水平至關重要 - 要保留看漲的勢頭，價格必須保持在其上方。反彈可能會將BNB/USDT對推向686美元。

However, a decline below this EMA would signal bearish dominance, setting the stage for potential drops to $550.

但是，低於此EMA的下降將表明看跌的統治地位，為潛在的下降階段降至550美元。

In the case of Toncoin, which surged to $3.64 from $2.35 earlier this month, market corrections could find footing at the 20-day EMA of $3.15. If successful, this buying pressure may propel the asset above its 50-day SMA, targeting $4 and later $5.

就托幣而言，從本月早些時候的2.35美元上漲至3.64美元，市場更正可以找到20天EMA $ 3.15的基礎。如果成功的話，這種購買壓力可能會推動資產高於其50天的SMA，目標是4美元，後來又針對5美元。

A breakdown below the 20-day EMA, however, would expose the asset to a decline towards $2.50.

但是，低於20天EMA的細分將使資產下降到2.50美元。

As for Gate Token (GT), it shows signs of indecision with its symmetrical triangle formation, while the flattening of the 20-day EMA indicates hesitance among traders. A breakout above this triangle may indicate renewed bullish momentum, possibly driving the GT/USDT pair towards $24 and beyond.

至於柵極令牌（GT），它以對稱的三角形形成顯示了猶豫不決的跡象，而20天EMA的扁平化表示交易者之間的猶豫。該三角形上方的突破可能表明新看漲勢頭，可能會將GT/USDT對駛向24美元及以後的勢頭。

Failure to maintain above the 20-day EMA could suggest a prolonged period of consolidation or further declines, setting the stage for a move towards the lower triangle support at $11.

無法維持20天的EMA的維持可能會表明延長的合併期限或進一步下降，這為向下三角支撐邁出了11美元的階段。

Finally, Cosmos (ATOM) encountered selling pressure at the 50-day SMA ($5.15), presenting a point of contention. The recent breach above the 20-day EMA ($4.31) suggests that selling pressure is waning as bullish sentiment builds.

最後，Cosmos（Atom）在50天的SMA（$ 5.15）遇到了銷售壓力，提出了爭論點。最近的20天EMA（$ 4.31）的違規行為表明，隨著看漲情緒的建立，銷售壓力正在減弱。

A successful close above this 50-day SMA could pave the way for a rally to $6.50. However, if the 20-day EMA support fails, the price could retrace back to $3.50.

超過這50天的SMA的成功接近，可以為盧比鋪平道路，達到6.50美元。但是，如果20天的EMA支持失敗，價格可能會追溯到3.50美元。