在市场波动中，比特币（BTC）的价格接近六位数

比特币的价格上涨了100,000美元，这加剧了人们对大规模突破的猜测。经过数周的缓慢变动，BTC/USD在BitStamp上达到了98,330美元。

Bitcoin price was seen edging closer to the $100,000 mark on Wednesday, firing up speculation of a breakout. After enduring weeks of low volatility, BTC/USD enjoyed a much-needed rally, hitting $98,330 on Bitstamp.

看到比特币价格越来越接近周三的100,000美元，这激发了人们对突破的猜测。经过数周的低波动率后，BTC/USD享有急需的集会，在Bitstamp上达到了98,330美元。

The latest boost arrived as U.S. macro data showed initial jobless claims jumping to 219,000, overshooting the forecast by 4,000. The figures hinted at weakness in the labor market.

最新的提升到达，因为US宏观数据显示，最初的失业索赔跃升至219,000，将预测超过4,000。这些数字暗示了劳动力市场的弱点。

This raised speculation that the Federal Reserve might struggle to sustain higher interest rates for an extended period. However, CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed zero probability of a rate cut at the next March meeting, leaving traders in limbo.

这引起了人们的猜测，即美联储可能在长期内努力维持更高的利率。但是，CME Group的FedWatch工具显示在下3月会议上降低税率的可能性为零，使交易员处于困境。

Popular trader Patric H highlighted the importance of flipping $100,000 into support for Bitcoin’s next leg up in his analysis, which identified two descending trendlines that BTC/USD must breach to confirm a bullish continuation.

受欢迎的交易者Patric H强调了将100,000美元翻转以支持比特币在他的分析中支持的重要性，该分析确定了BTC/USD必须违反以确认看涨的两种下降趋势线。

Meanwhile, fellow trader Roman described Bitcoin’s pivot point at $98,400. If breached, this could lead to an additional $10,000 rise. “Break 98.4K, and my guess is 108K is next,” Roman wrote on X, also noting decreasing volume trends that hinted at an incoming breakout.

同时，交易员罗马人将比特币的枢轴点描述为98,400美元。如果违反，这可能会导致额外的10,000美元上涨。罗曼在X上写道：“休息98.4k，我的猜测是108k。”还指出了降低的数量趋势，暗示了即将出现的突破。

Bitcoin price faces $77K safety net — How low can it go?

比特币价格面对77,000美元的安全网 - 它可以运行多么低？

Despite the bullish momentum, some analysts cautioned that a major correction could still unfold. Ki Young Ju, a leading crypto analyst, posted an X on BTC, arguing that even a 30% drop in Bitcoin price from an ATH of $110,000 would not indicate a bear market.

尽管有看涨的动力，但一些分析师警告说，重大更正仍可以进行。领先的加密分析师Ki Young Ju在BTC上发布了一个X，认为即使是从ATH的Bitcoin价格下跌30％，$ 110,000也不会表明熊市。

According to his Bitcoin investor cost basis data, a dip to $77,000 could serve as a major support level, preventing a larger downturn moving forward.

根据他的比特币投资者成本基础数据，下降到77,000美元可能会成为主要的支持水平，从而阻止了更大的下滑前进。

This would mean that even with a deep pullback, BTC price would still be above the previous cycle’s peak, keeping the long-term trend bullish.

这意味着即使有了深层的回调，BTC价格仍将超过上一个周期的峰值，从而保持长期趋势看涨。

Adding to the optimism, on-chain data showed that whales were aggressively accumulating BTC. CryptoQuant reported that over 28,000 BTC flowed into accumulation wallets recently.

链接数据增加了乐观，表明鲸鱼正在积极积累BTC。 CryptoQuant报道说，最近有28,000多个BTC流入了积累钱包。

The move is typically linked to institutional buyers and long-term holders. Historically, such whale accumulation has preceded major Bitcoin breakouts, reinforcing the notion that the bull market remains intact.

此举通常与机构买家和长期持有人有关。从历史上看，这种鲸鱼的积累已经在重大的比特币突破之前，加强了牛市仍然完好无损的观念。

Gold hits $20 Trillion market cap — Can Bitcoin catch up?

黄金达到了20万亿美元的市值 - 比特币可以赶上吗？

In a reflection of the broader market, Bitcoin’s price action has mirrored traditional risk assets, with both gold and the S&P 500 hitting new all-time highs this week.

为了反映更广泛的市场，比特币的价格行动反映了传统的风险资产，黄金和标准普尔500标准比特本周都达到了新的历史最高点。

Gold’s market cap crossed $20 Trillion for the first time in history, a milestone that caught the attention of investors. However, BTC proponents were largely unfazed.

黄金的市值首次超过了20万亿美元，这是一个引起了投资者注意的里程碑。但是，BTC的支持者在很大程度上没有受到影响。

Highlighting that gold investors doubled their money in five years, network economist Timothy Peterson noted that Bitcoin price has also doubled every 16 months, on average.

网络经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）指出，黄金投资者在五年内将他们的钱翻了一番，指出比特币的价格平均每16个月增加了一倍。

This comparison sparked a fresh debate over whether Bitcoin could eventually replace gold as the ultimate store of value, with BTC’s scarcity and digital nature continuing to attract long-term investors seeking higher returns.

这种比较引发了关于比特币是否最终可以将黄金作为价值的终极存储的全面辩论，而BTC的稀缺性和数字自然仍在继续吸引寻求更高回报的长期投资者。

Bitcoin price forecast: What comes next?

比特币价格预测：接下来会发生什么？

Despite short-term fluctuations, analysts remained bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. CryptoQuant analyst Timo Oinonen noted that BTC/USD has only enjoyed a 60% gain since the April 2024 block subsidy halving, suggesting more upside potential ahead.

尽管短期波动，分析师仍然对比特币的长期轨迹看涨。加密分析师Timo Oinonen指出，BTC/USD自2024年4月的Block补贴减半以来仅享有60％的增长，这表明未来有更多的上升潜力。

Oinonen anticipates that Bitcoin price will follow a familiar post-halving cycle, which includes a May sell-off, sideways summer movement, and a bullish run in Q4.

Oinonen预计，比特币价格将遵循一个熟悉的售后周期，其中包括5月的抛售，夏季运动以及第四季度的看涨跑步。

This pattern has played out consistently in 2013, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021, 2023, and 2024, making it a well-documented trend in Bitcoin’s price history. While short-term corrections remain a possibility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains strongly bullish.

这种模式在2013年，2016年，2017年，2020年，2021年，2023年和2024年都持续发行，这使其成为比特币价格历史记录中有据可查的趋势。尽管短期修正仍然是可能的，但比特币的长期前景仍然强烈看好。