在市場波動中，比特幣（BTC）的價格接近六位數

比特幣的價格上漲了100,000美元，這加劇了人們對大規模突破的猜測。經過數週的緩慢變動，BTC/USD在BitStamp上達到了98,330美元。

Bitcoin price was seen edging closer to the $100,000 mark on Wednesday, firing up speculation of a breakout. After enduring weeks of low volatility, BTC/USD enjoyed a much-needed rally, hitting $98,330 on Bitstamp.

看到比特幣價格越來越接近週三的100,000美元，這激發了人們對突破的猜測。經過數週的低波動率後，BTC/USD享有急需的集會，在Bitstamp上達到了98,330美元。

The latest boost arrived as U.S. macro data showed initial jobless claims jumping to 219,000, overshooting the forecast by 4,000. The figures hinted at weakness in the labor market.

最新的提升到達，因為US宏觀數據顯示，最初的失業索賠躍升至219,000，將預測超過4,000。這些數字暗示了勞動力市場的弱點。

This raised speculation that the Federal Reserve might struggle to sustain higher interest rates for an extended period. However, CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed zero probability of a rate cut at the next March meeting, leaving traders in limbo.

這引起了人們的猜測，即美聯儲可能在長期內努力維持更高的利率。但是，CME Group的FedWatch工具顯示在下3月會議上降低稅率的可能性為零，使交易員處於困境。

Popular trader Patric H highlighted the importance of flipping $100,000 into support for Bitcoin’s next leg up in his analysis, which identified two descending trendlines that BTC/USD must breach to confirm a bullish continuation.

受歡迎的交易員Patric H強調了將100,000美元翻轉以支持比特幣在他的分析中支持的重要性，該分析確定了BTC/USD必須違反以確認看漲的兩種降級趨勢線。

Meanwhile, fellow trader Roman described Bitcoin’s pivot point at $98,400. If breached, this could lead to an additional $10,000 rise. “Break 98.4K, and my guess is 108K is next,” Roman wrote on X, also noting decreasing volume trends that hinted at an incoming breakout.

同時，交易員羅馬人將比特幣的樞軸點描述為98,400美元。如果違反，這可能會導致額外的10,000美元上漲。羅曼在X上寫道：“休息98.4k，我的猜測是108k。”還指出了降低的數量趨勢，暗示了即將出現的突破。

Bitcoin price faces $77K safety net — How low can it go?

比特幣價格面對77,000美元的安全網 - 它可以運行多麼低？

Despite the bullish momentum, some analysts cautioned that a major correction could still unfold. Ki Young Ju, a leading crypto analyst, posted an X on BTC, arguing that even a 30% drop in Bitcoin price from an ATH of $110,000 would not indicate a bear market.

儘管有看漲的動力，但一些分析師警告說，重大更正仍可以進行。領先的加密分析師Ki Young Ju在BTC上發布了一個X，認為即使是從ATH的Bitcoin價格下跌30％，$ 110,000也不會表明熊市。

According to his Bitcoin investor cost basis data, a dip to $77,000 could serve as a major support level, preventing a larger downturn moving forward.

根據他的比特幣投資者成本基礎數據，下降到77,000美元可能會成為主要的支持水平，從而阻止了更大的下滑前進。

This would mean that even with a deep pullback, BTC price would still be above the previous cycle’s peak, keeping the long-term trend bullish.

這意味著即使有了深層的回調，BTC價格仍將超過上一個週期的峰值，從而保持長期趨勢看漲。

Adding to the optimism, on-chain data showed that whales were aggressively accumulating BTC. CryptoQuant reported that over 28,000 BTC flowed into accumulation wallets recently.

鏈接數據增加了樂觀，表明鯨魚正在積極積累BTC。 CryptoQuant報導說，最近有28,000多個BTC流入了積累錢包。

The move is typically linked to institutional buyers and long-term holders. Historically, such whale accumulation has preceded major Bitcoin breakouts, reinforcing the notion that the bull market remains intact.

此舉通常與機構買家和長期持有人有關。從歷史上看，這種鯨魚的積累已經在重大的比特幣突破之前，加強了牛市仍然完好無損的觀念。

Gold hits $20 Trillion market cap — Can Bitcoin catch up?

黃金達到了20萬億美元的市值 - 比特幣可以趕上嗎？

In a reflection of the broader market, Bitcoin’s price action has mirrored traditional risk assets, with both gold and the S&P 500 hitting new all-time highs this week.

為了反映更廣泛的市場，比特幣的價格行動反映了傳統的風險資產，黃金和標準普爾500標準比特本週都達到了新的歷史最高點。

Gold’s market cap crossed $20 Trillion for the first time in history, a milestone that caught the attention of investors. However, BTC proponents were largely unfazed.

黃金的市值首次超過了20萬億美元，這是一個引起了投資者註意的里程碑。但是，BTC的支持者在很大程度上沒有受到影響。

Highlighting that gold investors doubled their money in five years, network economist Timothy Peterson noted that Bitcoin price has also doubled every 16 months, on average.

網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）指出，黃金投資者在五年內將他們的錢翻了一番，指出比特幣的價格平均每16個月增加了一倍。

This comparison sparked a fresh debate over whether Bitcoin could eventually replace gold as the ultimate store of value, with BTC’s scarcity and digital nature continuing to attract long-term investors seeking higher returns.

這種比較引發了關於比特幣是否最終可以將黃金作為價值的終極存儲的全面辯論，而BTC的稀缺性和數字自然仍在繼續吸引尋求更高回報的長期投資者。

Bitcoin price forecast: What comes next?

比特幣價格預測：接下來會發生什麼？

Despite short-term fluctuations, analysts remained bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. CryptoQuant analyst Timo Oinonen noted that BTC/USD has only enjoyed a 60% gain since the April 2024 block subsidy halving, suggesting more upside potential ahead.

儘管短期波動，分析師仍然對比特幣的長期軌跡看漲。加密分析師Timo Oinonen指出，BTC/USD自2024年4月的Block補貼減半以來僅享有60％的增長，這表明未來有更多的上升潛力。

Oinonen anticipates that Bitcoin price will follow a familiar post-halving cycle, which includes a May sell-off, sideways summer movement, and a bullish run in Q4.

Oinonen預計，比特幣價格將遵循一個熟悉的售後周期，其中包括5月的拋售，夏季運動以及第四季度的看漲跑步。

This pattern has played out consistently in 2013, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021, 2023, and 2024, making it a well-documented trend in Bitcoin’s price history. While short-term corrections remain a possibility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains strongly bullish.

這種模式在2013年，2016年，2017年，2020年，2021年，2023年和2024年都持續發行，這使其成為比特幣價格歷史記錄中有據可查的趨勢。儘管短期修正仍然是可能的，但比特幣的長期前景仍然強烈看好。