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比特币[BTC]价格持续了$ 85,000,尽管波动幅度很高,但数据显示出强度而不是压力

2025/04/18 03:00

尽管比特币的[BTC]尖锐波动在$ 85000大关附近,但数据显示出强度而不是压力。近90%的BTC持有人仍保留

比特币[BTC]价格持续了$ 85,000,尽管波动幅度很高,但数据显示出强度而不是压力

Bitcoin’s [BTC] price has been hovering sharply near the $85,000 mark, but strength rather than strain is evident in the market structure.

比特币的[BTC]价格一直在$ 85,000的成绩近处徘徊,但是在市场结构中,强度而不是压力很明显。

As of press time, nearly 90% of BTC holders remained in profit, signaling one of the healthiest market phases in Bitcoin’s history.

截至发稿时,将近90%的BTC持有人仍然是利润,这表明比特币历史上最健康的市场阶段之一。

Unlike previous tops that were marked by panic and overleverage, current sentiment was optimistic — with traders eyeing a potential breakout toward $90,000 amid signs of resilience and steady accumulation.

与以前的恐慌和过度杠杆作用标志的前面不同,当前的情绪是乐观的 - 在弹性和稳定积累的迹象中,交易者将潜在的突破朝着90,000美元。

Current market overview

当前的市场概述

Bitcoin’s price continued to trade narrowly near the $85,000 mark, showing a lack of urgency despite minor pullbacks.

比特币的价格持续险些在85,000美元的范围内险些交易,表明尽管有轻微的回调,但仍缺乏紧迫性。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained in neutral territory at 54.85 at press time, suggesting that there was still some room for upward momentum to develop.

发稿时,相对强度指数(RSI)在54.85的中性领土上保留,这表明仍然有一些向上的动力发展的空间。

Source: TradingView

资料来源:TradingView

Market watchers remained focused on the potential breakout toward the psychologically relevant $90,000 price point. However, the immediate trend remained dependent on macro developments.

市场观察家仍然专注于与心理相关的90,000美元价格的潜在突破。但是,直接的趋势仍然取决于宏观发展。

Attention was on U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone additional tariffs for 90 days, with the exception of those on Chinese goods, which will now be subject to 145% duties.

注意美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)决定将额外关税推迟90天,但中国商品除外,现在将缴纳145%的职责。

The World Trade Organization (WTO) has projected a 0.2% decline in global trade for 2024 and a 0.1% rise in 2025 due to escalating U.S. — China trade tensions, with downside risks of up to 1.5%.

世界贸易组织(WTO)预计2024年全球贸易下降了0.2%,由于美国(中国贸易紧张局势)的升级,在2025年增长了0.1%,下行风险高达1.5%。

Meanwhile, Eurozone inflation slowed to 2.2% in March from 2.3% in February, as reported by Eurostat. This slowdown may put pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) to adopt a less hawkish monetary policy stance.

同时,欧元区的通货膨胀率从2月份的2.3%速度降至2.2%,正如Eurostat报道的那样。这种放缓可能会给欧洲中央银行(ECB)施加压力,要求采取不太鹰派的货币政策立场。

These macroeconomic factors could have implications for Bitcoin’s next move. In the short term, the $90K resistance level remained a key technical and psychological factor.

这些宏观经济因素可能会对比特币的下一步行动产生影响。在短期内,$ 90,000的电阻水平仍然是关键的技术和心理因素。

Profitability near peak, even without a top

即使没有顶部的盈利能力

Only 9.6% of Bitcoin addresses were currently at a loss — an exceptionally rare on-chain signal that set the current market apart from historical tops.

目前,只有9.6%的比特币地址亏本 - 这是一个异常罕见的链子信号,将当前市场与历史上衣不同。

As the chart shows, past cycles saw loss-making addresses spike dramatically during downturns: 84.7% in 2012, 76% in 2015, and even 49% in 2022.

正如图表所示,过去的周期造成的损失在低迷时期急剧解决:2012年84.7%,2015年的76%,2022年甚至49%。

Source: Alphractal

来源:字母

Today’s figure places Bitcoin in one of its healthiest structural phases ever recorded. What makes this more striking is that prices are not at all-time highs.

当今的数字将比特币放在有史以来最健康的结构阶段之一中。更令人惊讶的是,价格并非有史以来高涨。

Yet, nearly 90% of holders remain in profit, suggesting broad accumulation occurred well below current levels. This disconnect between price and profitability signals resilience — and a possible base for further upside.

然而,将近90%的持有人仍在获利,表明广泛的积累远低于当前水平。价格和盈利能力之间的这种脱节表示弹性,也是可能的上涨基础。

Sentiment surge

情绪激增

Social volume for Bitcoin is steadily rising, accompanied by a noticeable uptick in both positive and negative sentiment.

比特币的社会数量稳步上升,伴随着积极和负面情绪的明显上升。

This polarity signals growing attention from retail and institutional participants alike — often a precursor to increased volatility.

这种极性信号表明零售和机构参与者的关注不断增加,这通常是增加波动性的先驱。

Source: Santiment

资料来源:santiment

Interestingly, the rise in negative sentiment isn’t necessarily bearish. It may reflect capitulation or crowd anxiety, both of which can precede reversals.

有趣的是,负面情绪的上升不一定是看跌。它可能反映了投降或人群焦虑,这两者都可以在逆转之前。

When sentiment becomes emotionally charged on both ends, it often marks a setup for bigger moves.

当情绪在两端都充满情感上时,它通常标志着更大动作的设置。

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