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儘管比特幣的[BTC]尖銳波動在$ 85000大關附近,但數據顯示出強度而不是壓力。近90%的BTC持有人仍保留
Bitcoin’s [BTC] price has been hovering sharply near the $85,000 mark, but strength rather than strain is evident in the market structure.
比特幣的[BTC]價格一直在$ 85,000的成績近處徘徊,但是在市場結構中,強度而不是壓力很明顯。
As of press time, nearly 90% of BTC holders remained in profit, signaling one of the healthiest market phases in Bitcoin’s history.
截至發稿時,將近90%的BTC持有人仍然是利潤,這表明比特幣歷史上最健康的市場階段之一。
Unlike previous tops that were marked by panic and overleverage, current sentiment was optimistic — with traders eyeing a potential breakout toward $90,000 amid signs of resilience and steady accumulation.
與以前的恐慌和過度槓桿作用標誌的前面不同,當前的情緒是樂觀的 - 在彈性和穩定積累的跡像中,交易者將潛在的突破朝著90,000美元。
Current market overview
當前的市場概述
Bitcoin’s price continued to trade narrowly near the $85,000 mark, showing a lack of urgency despite minor pullbacks.
比特幣的價格持續險些在85,000美元的範圍內險些交易,表明儘管有輕微的回調,但仍缺乏緊迫性。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained in neutral territory at 54.85 at press time, suggesting that there was still some room for upward momentum to develop.
發稿時,相對強度指數(RSI)在54.85的中性領土上保留,這表明仍然有一些向上的動力發展的空間。
Source: TradingView
資料來源:TradingView
Market watchers remained focused on the potential breakout toward the psychologically relevant $90,000 price point. However, the immediate trend remained dependent on macro developments.
市場觀察家仍然專注於與心理相關的90,000美元價格的潛在突破。但是,直接的趨勢仍然取決於宏觀發展。
Attention was on U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone additional tariffs for 90 days, with the exception of those on Chinese goods, which will now be subject to 145% duties.
注意美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)決定將額外關稅推遲90天,但中國商品除外,現在將繳納145%的職責。
The World Trade Organization (WTO) has projected a 0.2% decline in global trade for 2024 and a 0.1% rise in 2025 due to escalating U.S. — China trade tensions, with downside risks of up to 1.5%.
世界貿易組織(WTO)預計2024年全球貿易下降了0.2%,由於美國(中國貿易緊張局勢)的升級,在2025年增長了0.1%,下行風險高達1.5%。
Meanwhile, Eurozone inflation slowed to 2.2% in March from 2.3% in February, as reported by Eurostat. This slowdown may put pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) to adopt a less hawkish monetary policy stance.
同時,歐元區的通貨膨脹率從2月份的2.3%速度降至2.2%,正如Eurostat報導的那樣。這種放緩可能會給歐洲中央銀行(ECB)施加壓力,要求採取不太鷹派的貨幣政策立場。
These macroeconomic factors could have implications for Bitcoin’s next move. In the short term, the $90K resistance level remained a key technical and psychological factor.
這些宏觀經濟因素可能會對比特幣的下一步行動產生影響。在短期內,$ 90,000的電阻水平仍然是關鍵的技術和心理因素。
Profitability near peak, even without a top
即使沒有頂部的盈利能力
Only 9.6% of Bitcoin addresses were currently at a loss — an exceptionally rare on-chain signal that set the current market apart from historical tops.
目前,只有9.6%的比特幣地址虧本 - 這是一個異常罕見的鍊子信號,將當前市場與歷史上衣不同。
As the chart shows, past cycles saw loss-making addresses spike dramatically during downturns: 84.7% in 2012, 76% in 2015, and even 49% in 2022.
正如圖表所示,過去的周期造成的損失在低迷時期急劇解決:2012年84.7%,2015年的76%,2022年甚至49%。
Source: Alphractal
來源:字母
Today’s figure places Bitcoin in one of its healthiest structural phases ever recorded. What makes this more striking is that prices are not at all-time highs.
當今的數字將比特幣放在有史以來最健康的結構階段之一中。更令人驚訝的是,價格並非有史以來高漲。
Yet, nearly 90% of holders remain in profit, suggesting broad accumulation occurred well below current levels. This disconnect between price and profitability signals resilience — and a possible base for further upside.
然而,將近90%的持有人仍在獲利,表明廣泛的積累遠低於當前水平。價格和盈利能力之間的這種脫節表示彈性,也是可能的上漲基礎。
Sentiment surge
情緒激增
Social volume for Bitcoin is steadily rising, accompanied by a noticeable uptick in both positive and negative sentiment.
比特幣的社會數量穩步上升,伴隨著積極和負面情緒的明顯上升。
This polarity signals growing attention from retail and institutional participants alike — often a precursor to increased volatility.
這種極性信號表明零售和機構參與者的關注不斷增加,這通常是增加波動性的先驅。
Source: Santiment
資料來源:santiment
Interestingly, the rise in negative sentiment isn’t necessarily bearish. It may reflect capitulation or crowd anxiety, both of which can precede reversals.
有趣的是,負面情緒的上升不一定是看跌。它可能反映了投降或人群焦慮,這兩者都可以在逆轉之前。
When sentiment becomes emotionally charged on both ends, it often marks a setup for bigger moves.
當情緒在兩端都充滿情感上時,它通常標誌著更大動作的設置。
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