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昨天,在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)宣布停顿90天之后,比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场从最近的低落中出现了巨大的反弹
U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, which remains under a steep 125% tariff. The move brought temporary relief to global markets and sparked a sharp bounce in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market from recent lows.
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)周二宣布,除了中国以外的所有国家,所有国家的相互关税暂停了90天,该关税仍处于125%的关税之下。此举为全球市场带来了暂时的救济,并从最近的低点引发了比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场的急剧弹跳。
The news brought temporary relief to global markets, setting the stage for a wave of buying across risk assets as equities also surged despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and fears of prolonged trade wars.
这一消息给全球市场带来了暂时的救济,为跨风险资产的购买浪潮奠定了基础,因为尽管持续的地缘政治紧张局势和对长期贸易战的担忧,股票也飙升。
After losing over 30% of its value when it dropped below $75,000 earlier this week, the world’s leading cryptocurrency showed surprising strength in the face of continued macroeconomic uncertainty. As President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, the cryptocurrency surged.
在本周早些时候跌至75,000美元以下时,其价值的30%以上之后,面对持续的宏观经济不确定性,全球领先的加密货币表现出令人惊讶的力量。当特朗普总统宣布对除中国以外的所有国家的相互关税90天停顿时,加密货币激增。
The move brought temporary relief to global markets after a period of heightened volatility and pessimism, setting the stage for a wave of buying across risk assets. As equities also surged despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and fears of a global recession, Bitcoin followed suit.
此举在一段时间的波动性和悲观情绪增加后,为全球市场带来了暂时的救济,为跨风险资产的购买浪潮奠定了基础。尽管股票持续存在紧张局势和对全球衰退的恐惧,但比特币也加剧了股票。
The world’s leading cryptocurrency had been battered in recent months by a perfect storm of macroeconomic headwinds, including the escalating US-China trade war, which threatened to derail the global economy.
近几个月来,全球领先的加密货币受到了宏观经济逆风的完美风暴的袭击,其中包括不断升级的美国 - 中国贸易战,威胁要脱轨全球经济。
As the dust settles on the first half of 2024, macroeconomic uncertainty remains high, and financial markets are still navigating choppy waters. Sharp price swings have become the norm across all financial sectors as investors quickly react to any news that could affect the course of the global recovery.
随着2024年上半年的尘埃落定,宏观经济的不确定性仍然很高,金融市场仍在驾驶波涛汹涌的水域。由于投资者很快对可能影响全球恢复过程的任何新闻做出反应,因此价格波动已成为所有金融部门的规范。
Despite this volatility, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has shown remarkable resilience, bouncing back quickly from recent lows.
尽管这种波动性,但世界上最大的加密货币表现出了显着的弹性,从最近的低点迅速反弹。
Even at this week’s lowest levels, over 85% of Bitcoin holders remained in profit, according to data from blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock. This finding highlights the strength of long-term holders and investor conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term value, even as the asset trades nearly 30% below its all-time high.
根据区块链分析公司Intotheblock的数据,即使在本周最低的水平上,超过85%的比特币持有人仍在获利。这一发现凸显了长期持有人和投资者对比特币长期价值的信念的实力,即使资产的交易近低于其历史最高水平的30%。
The combination of strong on-chain fundamentals and macro-driven volatility suggests Bitcoin may be entering a new consolidation phase. While risks remain, especially if broader market instability persists, Bitcoin’s ability to hold key levels and bounce on relief news underscores its growing role as a resilient asset in times of uncertainty.
强大的链基本面和宏驱动的波动率的结合表明比特币可能正在进入新的整合阶段。尽管仍然存在风险,尤其是如果更广泛的市场不稳定持续存在,比特币保持关键水平和反弹救济新闻的能力强调了其在不确定性时期作为弹性资产的越来越多的作用。
Bitcoin Key Levels To Watch
比特币密钥级别要观看
比特币密钥级别要观看
After losing over 30% of its value when it dropped below $75,000 earlier this week, Bitcoin has shown surprising strength in the face of continued macroeconomic uncertainty.
在本周早些时候跌至75,000美元以下时,其价值的30%以上之后,面对持续的宏观经济不确定性,比特币表现出令人惊讶的强度。
The recent bounce above the $80,000 mark has renewed hope among bulls, suggesting that the worst phase of the correction may be over. However, global tensions, US tariffs, and fears of an impending global recession continue to cast a shadow over financial markets.
最近的弹跳超过80,000美元的大关已经恢复了公牛的希望,这表明纠正措施最糟糕的阶段可能已经结束。但是,全球紧张局势,美国关税以及对即将举行的全球衰退的担忧继续给金融市场带来阴影。
President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China brought some relief, triggering a rebound across both equities and crypto.
特朗普总统宣布对除中国以外的所有国家的互惠关税暂停90天,这引发了一些救济,引发了股票和加密货币的反弹。
But this relief might be temporary. A broader trade agreement with China is still needed to improve market sentiment and reduce risk levels.
但是这种缓解可能是暂时的。仍然需要与中国达成更广泛的贸易协定,以改善市场情绪并降低风险水平。
Bitcoin is now facing a critical resistance zone around $88,700 on the daily chart. Reclaiming this level would likely confirm a more sustained recovery and could spark renewed bullish momentum.
现在,比特币在每日图表上面临着$ 88,700的关键阻力区。收回这一水平可能会证实更持续的康复,并可能引发新的看涨势头。
Despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong. As seen on the chart above from IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money chart, even during this week’s lows, over 85% of Bitcoin holders remained in profit.
尽管最近波动性,比特币的基本面仍然很强。从上图上可以从Intotheblock的进/货币图表中看到的那样,即使在本周的低谷中,超过85%的比特币持有人仍在获利。
This finding highlights the asset’s resilience and long-term holder confidence, suggesting that BTC may be better positioned to weather macroeconomic storms than in previous cycles.
这一发现突出了资产的韧性和长期持有人的信心,这表明BTC可能比以前的周期更好地定位于天气宏观经济风暴。
BTC Price Technical Analysis
BTC价格技术分析
BTC价格技术分析
Bitcoin is trading at $81,600 after a sharp bullish surge on Tuesday, reclaiming the psychological $80K level that has acted as critical support-turned-resistance throughout the recent correction.
在周二急剧的看涨激增之后,比特币的交易价格为81,600美元,收回了8.80万美元的水平,在最近的整个更正过程中,它一直是迫切支持的抗抑郁。
Holding above $80K is now essential for bulls to build momentum and attempt a broader recovery, but resistance is mounting just overhead.
现在,对公牛队建立动力并尝试更广泛的恢复至关重要,但阻力越来越高。
The 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) around $83,500 has emerged as a key level. BTC stalled at this technical barrier after its bounce, and bulls must break above it to confirm a short-term reversal.
4小时的200天移动平均线(MA)约为83,500美元,已成为关键水平。 BTC弹跳后,BTC陷入了这种技术障碍,公牛必须超越其以确认短期逆转。
Since Bitcoin fell below the $100K milestone, this moving average has consistently rejected upward moves, signaling that sentiment remains cautious.
由于比特币低于$ 10万美元的里程碑,因此该移动平均线一直拒绝向上的移动,这表明情绪仍然谨慎。
If bulls succeed in pushing above $83.5K with conviction, it would signal growing strength and open the door for a retest of the $87K-$88K zone. However, failure to break through—and especially a drop back below $80K—would likely trigger renewed panic selling.
如果公牛队成功地将$ 83.5万定罪推高了,这将表明力量的增长,并为重新测试8.7千美元的$ 8.8万美元打开大门。但是,如果未能突破,尤其是低于8万美元的跌落 - 可能会引发新的恐慌销售。
That could invalidate the bullish structure forming now and lead to a continuation of the broader downtrend that began in March. All eyes are now on whether BTC can flip $83.5
这可能使现在形成的看涨结构无效,并导致3月开始的更广泛的下降趋势的延续。现在所有人都注意到BTC是否可以翻转$ 83.5
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