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昨天,在美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)宣布停頓90天之後,比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場從最近的低落中出現了巨大的反彈
U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, which remains under a steep 125% tariff. The move brought temporary relief to global markets and sparked a sharp bounce in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market from recent lows.
美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)週二宣布,除了中國以外的所有國家,所有國家的相互關稅暫停了90天,該關稅仍處於125%的關稅之下。此舉為全球市場帶來了暫時的救濟,並從最近的低點引發了比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場的急劇彈跳。
The news brought temporary relief to global markets, setting the stage for a wave of buying across risk assets as equities also surged despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and fears of prolonged trade wars.
這一消息給全球市場帶來了暫時的救濟,為跨風險資產的購買浪潮奠定了基礎,因為儘管持續的地緣政治緊張局勢和對長期貿易戰的擔憂,股票也飆升。
After losing over 30% of its value when it dropped below $75,000 earlier this week, the world’s leading cryptocurrency showed surprising strength in the face of continued macroeconomic uncertainty. As President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, the cryptocurrency surged.
在本週早些時候跌至75,000美元以下時,其價值的30%以上之後,面對持續的宏觀經濟不確定性,全球領先的加密貨幣表現出令人驚訝的力量。當特朗普總統宣布對除中國以外的所有國家的相互關稅90天停頓時,加密貨幣激增。
The move brought temporary relief to global markets after a period of heightened volatility and pessimism, setting the stage for a wave of buying across risk assets. As equities also surged despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and fears of a global recession, Bitcoin followed suit.
此舉在一段時間的波動性和悲觀情緒增加後,為全球市場帶來了暫時的救濟,為跨風險資產的購買浪潮奠定了基礎。儘管股票持續存在緊張局勢和對全球衰退的恐懼,但比特幣也加劇了股票。
The world’s leading cryptocurrency had been battered in recent months by a perfect storm of macroeconomic headwinds, including the escalating US-China trade war, which threatened to derail the global economy.
近幾個月來,全球領先的加密貨幣受到了宏觀經濟逆風的完美風暴的襲擊,其中包括不斷升級的美國 - 中國貿易戰,威脅要脫軌全球經濟。
As the dust settles on the first half of 2024, macroeconomic uncertainty remains high, and financial markets are still navigating choppy waters. Sharp price swings have become the norm across all financial sectors as investors quickly react to any news that could affect the course of the global recovery.
隨著2024年上半年的塵埃落定,宏觀經濟的不確定性仍然很高,金融市場仍在駕駛波濤洶湧的水域。由於投資者很快對可能影響全球恢復過程的任何新聞做出反應,因此價格波動已成為所有金融部門的規範。
Despite this volatility, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has shown remarkable resilience, bouncing back quickly from recent lows.
儘管這種波動性,但世界上最大的加密貨幣表現出了顯著的彈性,從最近的低點迅速反彈。
Even at this week’s lowest levels, over 85% of Bitcoin holders remained in profit, according to data from blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock. This finding highlights the strength of long-term holders and investor conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term value, even as the asset trades nearly 30% below its all-time high.
根據區塊鏈分析公司Intotheblock的數據,即使在本週最低的水平上,超過85%的比特幣持有人仍在獲利。這一發現凸顯了長期持有人和投資者對比特幣長期價值的信念的實力,即使資產的交易近低於其歷史最高水平的30%。
The combination of strong on-chain fundamentals and macro-driven volatility suggests Bitcoin may be entering a new consolidation phase. While risks remain, especially if broader market instability persists, Bitcoin’s ability to hold key levels and bounce on relief news underscores its growing role as a resilient asset in times of uncertainty.
強大的鏈基本面和宏驅動的波動率的結合表明比特幣可能正在進入新的整合階段。儘管仍然存在風險,尤其是如果更廣泛的市場不穩定持續存在,比特幣保持關鍵水平和反彈救濟新聞的能力強調了其在不確定性時期作為彈性資產的越來越多的作用。
Bitcoin Key Levels To Watch
比特幣密鑰級別要觀看
比特幣密鑰級別要觀看
After losing over 30% of its value when it dropped below $75,000 earlier this week, Bitcoin has shown surprising strength in the face of continued macroeconomic uncertainty.
在本週早些時候跌至75,000美元以下時,其價值的30%以上之後,面對持續的宏觀經濟不確定性,比特幣表現出令人驚訝的強度。
The recent bounce above the $80,000 mark has renewed hope among bulls, suggesting that the worst phase of the correction may be over. However, global tensions, US tariffs, and fears of an impending global recession continue to cast a shadow over financial markets.
最近的彈跳超過80,000美元的大關已經恢復了公牛的希望,這表明糾正措施最糟糕的階段可能已經結束。但是,全球緊張局勢,美國關稅以及對即將舉行的全球衰退的擔憂繼續給金融市場帶來陰影。
President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China brought some relief, triggering a rebound across both equities and crypto.
特朗普總統宣布對除中國以外的所有國家的互惠關稅暫停90天,這引發了一些救濟,引發了股票和加密貨幣的反彈。
But this relief might be temporary. A broader trade agreement with China is still needed to improve market sentiment and reduce risk levels.
但是這種緩解可能是暫時的。仍然需要與中國達成更廣泛的貿易協定,以改善市場情緒並降低風險水平。
Bitcoin is now facing a critical resistance zone around $88,700 on the daily chart. Reclaiming this level would likely confirm a more sustained recovery and could spark renewed bullish momentum.
現在,比特幣在每日圖表上面臨著$ 88,700的關鍵阻力區。收回這一水平可能會證實更持續的康復,並可能引發新的看漲勢頭。
Despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong. As seen on the chart above from IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money chart, even during this week’s lows, over 85% of Bitcoin holders remained in profit.
儘管最近波動性,比特幣的基本面仍然很強。從上圖上可以從Intotheblock的進/貨幣圖表中看到的那樣,即使在本週的低谷中,超過85%的比特幣持有人仍在獲利。
This finding highlights the asset’s resilience and long-term holder confidence, suggesting that BTC may be better positioned to weather macroeconomic storms than in previous cycles.
這一發現突出了資產的韌性和長期持有人的信心,這表明BTC可能比以前的周期更好地定位於天氣宏觀經濟風暴。
BTC Price Technical Analysis
BTC價格技術分析
BTC價格技術分析
Bitcoin is trading at $81,600 after a sharp bullish surge on Tuesday, reclaiming the psychological $80K level that has acted as critical support-turned-resistance throughout the recent correction.
在周二急劇的看漲激增之後,比特幣的交易價格為81,600美元,收回了8.80萬美元的水平,在最近的整個更正過程中,它一直是迫切支持的抗抑鬱。
Holding above $80K is now essential for bulls to build momentum and attempt a broader recovery, but resistance is mounting just overhead.
現在,對公牛隊建立動力並嘗試更廣泛的恢復至關重要,但阻力越來越高。
The 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) around $83,500 has emerged as a key level. BTC stalled at this technical barrier after its bounce, and bulls must break above it to confirm a short-term reversal.
4小時的200天移動平均線(MA)約為83,500美元,已成為關鍵水平。 BTC彈跳後,BTC陷入了這種技術障礙,公牛必須超越其以確認短期逆轉。
Since Bitcoin fell below the $100K milestone, this moving average has consistently rejected upward moves, signaling that sentiment remains cautious.
由於比特幣低於$ 10萬美元的里程碑,因此該移動平均線一直拒絕向上的移動,這表明情緒仍然謹慎。
If bulls succeed in pushing above $83.5K with conviction, it would signal growing strength and open the door for a retest of the $87K-$88K zone. However, failure to break through—and especially a drop back below $80K—would likely trigger renewed panic selling.
如果公牛隊成功地將$ 83.5萬定罪推高了,這將表明力量的增長,並為重新測試8.7千美元的$ 8.8萬美元打開大門。但是,如果未能突破,尤其是低於8萬美元的跌落 - 可能會引發新的恐慌銷售。
That could invalidate the bullish structure forming now and lead to a continuation of the broader downtrend that began in March. All eyes are now on whether BTC can flip $83.5
這可能使現在形成的看漲結構無效,並導致3月開始的更廣泛的下降趨勢的延續。現在所有人都注意到BTC是否可以翻轉$ 83.5
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