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传奇的技术分析师约翰·布林格(John Bollinger)强调了他所说的“经典布林乐队W底部”,它可能在比特币对BTC/USD上形成。
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Legendary technical analyst John Bollinger has highlighted what he calls a “classic Bollinger Band W bottom” that may be forming on the Bitcoin pair BTC/USD. According to him, BTC appears to have found support in the $74,000 area, setting up the characteristic double-dip lows that define a W-shaped reversal pattern. Notably, Bollinger stressed that the setup still needs to be confirmed: “Classic Bollinger Band W bottom setup in BTCUSD. Still needs confirmation”.
传奇的技术分析师约翰·布林格(John Bollinger)强调了他所说的“经典布林乐队W底部”,它可能在比特币对BTC/USD上形成。据他说,BTC似乎在74,000美元的区域找到了支持,建立了定义W形逆转模式的特征性双浸低点。值得注意的是,Bollinger强调,该设置仍需要得到确认:“经典的Bollinger Band W底部设置在BTCUSD中。仍然需要确认”。
Is The Bitcoin Bottom In?
比特币底部吗?
The chart shows Bitcoin navigating a decline from its mid-January high near $110,000, with recent price action clustered around the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The upper band sits at $108,837, while the lower band sits at $77,138, suggesting a relatively wide range of volatility on a weekly basis. The Bollinger’s mid-line is close to $93,000.
该图表显示,比特币从1月中旬的$ 110,000中导航,最近的价格动作聚集在Bollinger乐队的下部乐队。上乐队的价格为108,837美元,而下乐队的价格为77,138美元,表明每周的波动性相对较宽。布林的中线接近93,000美元。
Bollinger’s indication of a W-bottom is based on the formation of two distinct troughs in quick succession, as seen in both the price data and the oscillator readings below the chart. The first trough materialised as BTCUSD fell from its then high of around $90,000 to the mid-$76,000 area, then rallied before sliding back to a comparable support area around $74,500. The repeated dip into this horizontal support level has so far held, which Bollinger identifies as a potential base for a bullish reversal – although he cautions that a definitive move above the intervening swing high near $90,000 would help validate this classic chart pattern.
Bollinger对W-Bottom的指示是基于快速连续的两个不同的槽的形成,这在图表下方的价格数据和振荡器读数中都可以看到。由于BTCUSD从当时的90,000美元的高处下降到76,000美元的区域,然后集会,然后集会,然后返回到74,500美元左右的可比支撑区域,因此出现了第一个槽。到目前为止,重复向这种水平支撑水平的倾斜已经达到,Bollinger将其视为看涨逆转的潜在基础 - 尽管他警告说,明确的移动超过了介入高度接近90,000美元的最终动作将有助于验证这种经典的图表模式。
Other market clues include slightly lower trading volumes, suggesting that the intense selling that drove bitcoin down from its recent peak may be easing. The chart’s momentum oscillator, which tracks overbought and oversold conditions, supports this thesis, forming a bottom near its lower border. Although this alignment with price action suggests a possible bottom, many technical analysts are looking for the oscillator to rise convincingly above its midpoint to confirm that momentum has indeed shifted in favour of buyers.
其他市场线索包括略低的交易量,这表明,从最近的高峰开始,促使比特币降低的巨大销售可能正在缓解。该图表的动量振荡器跟踪过分买卖条件,支持这一论文,并在其下部边界附近形成了底部。尽管这种与价格行动的一致性表明了可能的底层,但许多技术分析师正在寻找振荡器令人信服地提高其中点,以确认势头确实改变了购买者。
Bollinger bands themselves, invented by John Bollinger, measure volatility by placing envelope lines above and below a moving average. When these bands widen, the market typically experiences large price swings; when they narrow, volatility decreases. In Bitcoin’s case, they’ve remained relatively open, showcasing the cryptocurrency’s dramatic range from below $20,000 to six figures over the past two years.
Bollinger乐队本身是由John Bollinger发明的,通过将信封线放置在移动平均值上方和低于移动的平均值来测量波动率。当这些乐队扩大时,市场通常会经历大量的价格波动。当它们狭窄时,波动率会降低。就比特币而言,它们保持相对开放,展示了过去两年中加密货币的戏剧性范围从20,000美元以下到六位数。
While talk of a W-bottom has sparked optimism among bullish traders, Bollinger’s reminder that it “still needs to be confirmed” highlights the importance of good follow-through in price action. If Bitcoin can rise above $90,000 on strong volume, the long-awaited confirmation of this pattern may be within reach. Until then, the W-bottom remains a possibility.
尽管谈论w topt的人在看涨的商人中引发了乐观,但布林格提醒人们,“仍然需要确认”,这突出了良好的追随者在价格行动中的重要性。如果比特币在强量上可以上涨90,000美元以上,那么期待已久的这种模式的确认可能会达到。在此之前,W底仍然是可能的。
At press time, BTC is trading at $81,366.
发稿时,BTC的交易价格为81,366美元。
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