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傳奇的技術分析師約翰·布林格(John Bollinger)強調了他所說的“經典布林樂隊W底部”,它可能在比特幣對BTC/USD上形成。
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Legendary technical analyst John Bollinger has highlighted what he calls a “classic Bollinger Band W bottom” that may be forming on the Bitcoin pair BTC/USD. According to him, BTC appears to have found support in the $74,000 area, setting up the characteristic double-dip lows that define a W-shaped reversal pattern. Notably, Bollinger stressed that the setup still needs to be confirmed: “Classic Bollinger Band W bottom setup in BTCUSD. Still needs confirmation”.
傳奇的技術分析師約翰·布林格(John Bollinger)強調了他所說的“經典布林樂隊W底部”,它可能在比特幣對BTC/USD上形成。據他說,BTC似乎在74,000美元的區域找到了支持,建立了定義W形逆轉模式的特徵性雙浸低點。值得注意的是,Bollinger強調,該設置仍需要得到確認:“經典的Bollinger Band W底部設置在BTCUSD中。仍然需要確認”。
Is The Bitcoin Bottom In?
比特幣底部嗎?
The chart shows Bitcoin navigating a decline from its mid-January high near $110,000, with recent price action clustered around the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The upper band sits at $108,837, while the lower band sits at $77,138, suggesting a relatively wide range of volatility on a weekly basis. The Bollinger’s mid-line is close to $93,000.
該圖表顯示,比特幣從1月中旬的$ 110,000中導航,最近的價格動作聚集在Bollinger樂隊的下部樂隊。上樂隊的價格為108,837美元,而下樂隊的價格為77,138美元,表明每週的波動性相對較寬。布林的中線接近93,000美元。
Bollinger’s indication of a W-bottom is based on the formation of two distinct troughs in quick succession, as seen in both the price data and the oscillator readings below the chart. The first trough materialised as BTCUSD fell from its then high of around $90,000 to the mid-$76,000 area, then rallied before sliding back to a comparable support area around $74,500. The repeated dip into this horizontal support level has so far held, which Bollinger identifies as a potential base for a bullish reversal – although he cautions that a definitive move above the intervening swing high near $90,000 would help validate this classic chart pattern.
Bollinger對W-Bottom的指示是基於快速連續的兩個不同的槽的形成,這在圖表下方的價格數據和振盪器讀數中都可以看到。由於BTCUSD從當時的90,000美元的高處下降到76,000美元的區域,然後集會,然後集會,然後返回到74,500美元左右的可比支撐區域,因此出現了第一個槽。到目前為止,重複向這種水平支撐水平的傾斜已經達到,Bollinger將其視為看漲逆轉的潛在基礎 - 儘管他警告說,明確的移動超過了介入高度接近90,000美元的最終動作將有助於驗證這種經典的圖表模式。
Other market clues include slightly lower trading volumes, suggesting that the intense selling that drove bitcoin down from its recent peak may be easing. The chart’s momentum oscillator, which tracks overbought and oversold conditions, supports this thesis, forming a bottom near its lower border. Although this alignment with price action suggests a possible bottom, many technical analysts are looking for the oscillator to rise convincingly above its midpoint to confirm that momentum has indeed shifted in favour of buyers.
其他市場線索包括略低的交易量,這表明,從最近的高峰開始,促使比特幣降低的巨大銷售可能正在緩解。該圖表的動量振盪器跟踪過分買賣條件,支持這一論文,並在其下部邊界附近形成了底部。儘管這種與價格行動的一致性表明了可能的底層,但許多技術分析師正在尋找振盪器令人信服地提高其中點,以確認勢頭確實改變了購買者。
Bollinger bands themselves, invented by John Bollinger, measure volatility by placing envelope lines above and below a moving average. When these bands widen, the market typically experiences large price swings; when they narrow, volatility decreases. In Bitcoin’s case, they’ve remained relatively open, showcasing the cryptocurrency’s dramatic range from below $20,000 to six figures over the past two years.
Bollinger樂隊本身是由John Bollinger發明的,通過將信封線放置在移動平均值上方和低於移動的平均值來測量波動率。當這些樂隊擴大時,市場通常會經歷大量的價格波動。當它們狹窄時,波動率會降低。就比特幣而言,它們保持相對開放,展示了過去兩年中加密貨幣的戲劇性範圍從20,000美元以下到六位數。
While talk of a W-bottom has sparked optimism among bullish traders, Bollinger’s reminder that it “still needs to be confirmed” highlights the importance of good follow-through in price action. If Bitcoin can rise above $90,000 on strong volume, the long-awaited confirmation of this pattern may be within reach. Until then, the W-bottom remains a possibility.
儘管談論w topt的人在看漲的商人中引發了樂觀,但布林格提醒人們,“仍然需要確認”,這突出了良好的追隨者在價格行動中的重要性。如果比特幣在強量上可以上漲90,000美元以上,那麼期待已久的這種模式的確認可能會達到。在此之前,W底仍然是可能的。
At press time, BTC is trading at $81,366.
發稿時,BTC的交易價格為81,366美元。
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