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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)价格预测与分析

2024/11/19 19:35

在达到 93,400 美元以上的惊人历史水平后,比特币正在进入盘整阶段。现在让我们来看看比特币的潜在发展。

比特币(BTC)价格预测与分析

Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH) on Monday and is now consolidating below the third pivot point resistance, displaying increasing demand and forming a key area to preserve.

比特币周一创下历史新高(ATH),目前正在第三个枢轴点阻力位下方盘整,显示出需求不断增加,并形成了一个需要保护的关键区域。

Bitcoin price reached a new ATH of $93,433 on Monday, following two consecutive weeks of rising after the presidential elections. After a slight correction, it is entering a consolidation phase, forming an ascending triangle just below the third resistance of the pivot points.

继总统选举后连续两周上涨后,比特币价格周一达到新的最高点 93,433 美元。经过小幅调整后,它进入盘整阶段,在枢轴点的第三个阻力位下方形成上升三角形。

In the short term, we observe that the cryptocurrency is struggling to break through the resistance of $91,800. However, its price records increasingly higher peaks, indicating continued demand. Notably, its lowest point is around $85,000. The entirety of this figure creates a notable volume zone, forming a key area to preserve.

短期内,我们观察到该加密货币正在努力突破 91,800 美元的阻力位。然而,其价格创下越来越高的峰值,表明需求持续存在。值得注意的是,其最低点约为 85,000 美元。该图的整体创建了一个值得注意的体积区域,形成了一个需要保留的关键区域。

At the time of writing this text, the Bitcoin price has just tested $91,500. Despite this pause, the cryptocurrency remains in an upward trend in the short, medium, and long term. However, it should be noted that the crypto has undergone a more significant movement. This reflects a strong bullish momentum for Bitcoin, observable in both its oscillators and its price. Although this momentum is positive, it is important to remind that such a strong movement could be followed by a significant correction.

在撰写本文时,比特币价格刚刚测试 91,500 美元。尽管出现这种停顿,但加密货币在短期、中期和长期内仍处于上升趋势。然而,应该指出的是,加密货币已经经历了更重大的变动。这反映了比特币强劲的看涨势头,从其振荡器和价格中都可以观察到。尽管这种势头是积极的,但重要的是要提醒大家,如此强劲的走势可能会伴随着重大调整。

The current technical analysis has been conducted in collaboration with Elie FT, a passionate investor and trader in the cryptocurrency market. Today, he is a trainer at Family Trading, a community of thousands of active proprietary traders since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content, and mutual assistance around financial markets in a professional and warm atmosphere.

目前的技术分析是与加密货币市场充满热情的投资者和交易员 Elie FT 合作进行的。如今,他是 Family Trading 的培训师,该社区自 2017 年以来已拥有数千名活跃的自营交易员。您将在专业而温暖的氛围中找到有关金融市场的生活、教育内容和互助。

Focus on Derivatives (BTCUSDT)

关注衍生品(BTCUSDT)

The open interest of BTC/USDT perpetual contracts has stabilized, mirroring its underlying asset. This indicates a pause in speculative interest. On the CVD side, there is a downward orientation, reflecting a majority of selling positions in the market. Nevertheless, the funding rates show that perpetual contracts remain predominantly bought, being positive. Regarding liquidations, they are not truly significant. This may reflect cautious position management by traders or a lack of sufficient volatility to trigger massive liquidations.

BTC/USDT永续合约持仓量已趋于稳定,反映了其基础资产的情况。这表明投机兴趣暂停。 CVD 方面,存在下行倾向,反映了市场上的大部分抛售头寸。尽管如此,资金利率显示,永续合约仍以购买为主,为正值。至于清算,它们并不真正重要。这可能反映出交易者谨慎的头寸管理或缺乏足够的波动性来引发大规模清算。

The liquidation heatmap for BTC/USDT perpetual contracts highlights significant value zones on both sides of its current price. Above it, one can note a notable area around $93,000. Below, a more subtle zone lies just below $90,000. More visible and extensive, the area between $95,000 and $96,000 is particularly striking. Even lower, a zone around $80,000 is notable, although the most significant one is found around $75,000. If the price approaches these levels, it could trigger a large number of orders, thus increasing the volatility risk for the cryptocurrency. These zones therefore constitute a crucial point of interest for investors.

BTC/USDT 永续合约的清算热图突出显示了当前价格两侧的重要价值区域。在其上方,人们可以注意到 93,000 美元左右的一个值得注意的区域。下面,一个更微妙的区域位于 90,000 美元下方。 95,000 美元至 96,000 美元之间的区域更为明显和广泛,尤其引人注目。甚至更低,80,000 美元左右的区域也值得注意,尽管最重要的区域位于 75,000 美元左右。如果价格接近这些水平,可能会触发大量订单,从而增加加密货币的波动风险。因此,这些区域构成了投资者的关键兴趣点。

Forecasts for Bitcoin (BTC) Price

比特币 (BTC) 价格预测

It is important to note that reaching a historic high makes it harder to identify resistance levels.

值得注意的是,达到历史高点会使识别阻力位变得更加困难。

Conclusion

结论

Bitcoin shows sustained bullish momentum, marked by constant progression and rising peaks. Although a consolidation is underway, reflecting a key area to preserve, the overall momentum remains positive in the short, medium, and long term. Thus, it will be essential to closely monitor the price reaction at key levels to validate or adjust current forecasts. Finally, let’s remind that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and the price of cryptocurrencies can evolve rapidly based on other more fundamental factors.

比特币显示出持续的看涨势头,其特点是不断进步和不断上升的峰值。尽管整合正在进行,反映出需要保留的关键领域,但短期、中期和长期的整体势头仍然积极。因此,必须密切监测关键水平的价格反应,以验证或调整当前的预测。最后,让我们提醒一下,这些分析仅基于技术标准,加密货币的价格可能会根据其他更基本的因素快速变化。

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Family Trading est une Communauté de traders a compte propre active depuis 2017 offrant Lives, contenus éducatifs et entraides autour des marchés financiers dont celui des cryptomonnaies avec à ses côtés Elie FT, investisseur et trader de passion sur le marché crypto.

Family Trading 是自 2017 年以来活跃的自账户交易者社区,提供金融市场的生活、教育内容和互助,包括与加密货币市场上充满热情的投资者和交易员 Elie FT 的加密货币互助。

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