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比特币(BTC)的价格显示出熟悉的“底部”行为,市场可能会为反弹做准备

2025/04/11 17:56

根据其最著名的主要指标之一,比特币(BTC)以当前价格表现出熟悉的“底部”行为。

One of Bitcoin (BTC) ‘s best-known leading indicators is showing familiar “bottom” behavior at current price levels, an analyst has observed.

分析师观察到,比特币(BTC)最著名的主要指标之一是在当前价格水平上显示熟悉的“底部”行为。

Pointing out the latest Bollinger bands data, which may indicate that Bitcoin is already establishing a long-term bottom, is presenting favorable trends for buyers.

指出最新的Bollinger乐队数据,这可能表明比特币已经建立了长期的底部,这对买家带来了有利的趋势。

Bollinger bands %b metric teases BTC price comeback

Bollinger Bands%B度量逗号BTC价格复出

Announcing the latest developments in his proprietary indicator suite, John Bollinger, the creator of Bollinger bands volatility metric, took to X, formerly Twitter, on April 10 to share an interesting observation.

Bollinger Bands波动性指标的创建者John Bollinger在他的专有指标套件中宣布了最新的发展,于4月10日向X(以前是Twitter)宣布了一个有趣的观察。

Analysing weekly timeframes, Bollinger himself drew attention to one of his own indicators, known as “%b,” which offers further clues about market trend reversals.

Bollinger亲自分析了每周的时间表,引起了他自己的指标之一,称为“%B”,该指标提供了有关市场趋势逆转的进一步线索。

%b measures an asset’s closing price relative to Bollinger band position, employing standard deviation around a 20-period simple moving average (SMA). Among its insights is the “W” bottom formation, where a first low, denoted by Bollinger as -1, is followed by a higher low, fib0, later — something that could now be in play for BTC/USD.

%B衡量资产的收盘价相对于Bollinger带位置,该价格在20个周期的简单移动平均线(SMA)附近采用标准偏差。它的见解包括“ W”底层,其中第一个低点用Bollinger为-1,后来是更高的低点FIB0,后来 - 现在可以为BTC/USD发挥作用。

Bollinger confirmed to his followers:

Bollinger向他的追随者确认:

BTC/USD 1-week chart with Bollinger bands data. Source: John Bollinger/X

BTC/USD 1周图表带有Bollinger Bands数据。资料来源:John Bollinger/X

On both weekly and daily timeframes, Bollinger bands show no trend shift has taken place yet.

在每周和每日时间范围内,Bollinger乐队还没有发生任何趋势变化。

Data from CoinTelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the daily chart continues to walk down the lower band, with the middle SMA acting as resistance.

CoIntelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据表明,每日图表继续走下较低的乐队,中间SMA充当阻力。

BTC/USD 1-day chart with Bollinger bands data. Source: CoinTelegraph/TradingView

BTC/USD 1天图表带有Bollinger Bands数据。资料来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView

Turning to stocks, with which BTC/USD has become increasingly correlated, Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, drew similar conclusions.

Fidelity Investments全球宏观宏观总监Jurrien Timmer与BTC/USD变得越来越相关的股票得出了类似的结论。

“Revisiting the Bollinger Bands, we have gone from 2 standard deviations above-trend to on-trend to now almost 2 standard deviations below-trend,” he noted about the S&P 500 on April 9.

他指出:“重新访问布林乐队,我们已经从高于趋势的2个标准偏差到现在的2个标准偏差。”

Bitcoin bounce may follow 10% Nasdaq plunge

比特币反弹可能跟随10%的纳斯达克爆发

As CoinTelegraph continues to report, BTC price bottom targets increasingly center around the $70,000 mark.

随着Cointelegraph继续报告,BTC价格最低的目标越来越多地集中在70,000美元的左右。

That level is significant for several reasons, including as a psychological barrier and its status as a liquidity magnet.

由于几个原因,该水平是重要的,包括作为心理障碍及其作为流动性磁铁的地位。

Network economist Timothy Peterson, whose Lowest Price Forward metric previously offered 95% odds that $69,000 would stay intact as support, now sees Bitcoin reversing only after stocks find their own floor.

网络经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森(Timothy Peterson)以前最低的价格指标提供了95%的赔率,即69,000美元将保持不变作为支持,现在只有在股票找到自己的地板之后,比特币仅在股票上逆转。

“Bitcoin led NASDAQ on this decline. As the asset perceived to be at the top of the risk pyramid, I would expect NASDAQ to rally first, and then Bitcoin. Just something to look for,” he revealed this week.

他本周透露:“由于被认为是风险金字塔的首要资产,我希望纳斯达克首先集会,然后是比特币。”他本周透露。

Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

比特币与纳斯达克比较。资料来源:蒂莫西·彼得森(Timothy Peterson)/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险,读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。

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