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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)的價格顯示出熟悉的“底部”行為,市場可能會為反彈做準備

2025/04/11 17:56

根據其最著名的主要指標之一,比特幣(BTC)以當前價格表現出熟悉的“底部”行為。

One of Bitcoin (BTC) ‘s best-known leading indicators is showing familiar “bottom” behavior at current price levels, an analyst has observed.

分析師觀察到,比特幣(BTC)最著名的主要指標之一是在當前價格水平上顯示熟悉的“底部”行為。

Pointing out the latest Bollinger bands data, which may indicate that Bitcoin is already establishing a long-term bottom, is presenting favorable trends for buyers.

指出最新的Bollinger樂隊數據,這可能表明比特幣已經建立了長期的底部,這對買家帶來了有利的趨勢。

Bollinger bands %b metric teases BTC price comeback

Bollinger Bands%B度量逗號BTC價格復出

Announcing the latest developments in his proprietary indicator suite, John Bollinger, the creator of Bollinger bands volatility metric, took to X, formerly Twitter, on April 10 to share an interesting observation.

Bollinger Bands波動性指標的創建者John Bollinger在他的專有指標套件中宣布了最新的發展,於4月10日向X(以前是Twitter)宣布了一個有趣的觀察。

Analysing weekly timeframes, Bollinger himself drew attention to one of his own indicators, known as “%b,” which offers further clues about market trend reversals.

Bollinger親自分析了每週的時間表,引起了他自己的指標之一,稱為“%B”,該指標提供了有關市場趨勢逆轉的進一步線索。

%b measures an asset’s closing price relative to Bollinger band position, employing standard deviation around a 20-period simple moving average (SMA). Among its insights is the “W” bottom formation, where a first low, denoted by Bollinger as -1, is followed by a higher low, fib0, later — something that could now be in play for BTC/USD.

%B衡量資產的收盤價相對於Bollinger帶位置,該價格在20個週期的簡單移動平均線(SMA)附近採用標準偏差。它的見解包括“ W”底層,其中第一個低點用Bollinger為-1,後來是更高的低點FIB0,後來 - 現在可以為BTC/USD發揮作用。

Bollinger confirmed to his followers:

Bollinger向他的追隨者確認:

BTC/USD 1-week chart with Bollinger bands data. Source: John Bollinger/X

BTC/USD 1週圖錶帶有Bollinger Bands數據。資料來源:John Bollinger/X

On both weekly and daily timeframes, Bollinger bands show no trend shift has taken place yet.

在每周和每日時間範圍內,Bollinger樂隊還沒有發生任何趨勢變化。

Data from CoinTelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the daily chart continues to walk down the lower band, with the middle SMA acting as resistance.

CoIntelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據表明,每日圖表繼續走下較低的樂隊,中間SMA充當阻力。

BTC/USD 1-day chart with Bollinger bands data. Source: CoinTelegraph/TradingView

BTC/USD 1天圖錶帶有Bollinger Bands數據。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView

Turning to stocks, with which BTC/USD has become increasingly correlated, Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, drew similar conclusions.

Fidelity Investments全球宏觀宏觀總監Jurrien Timmer與BTC/USD變得越來越相關的股票得出了類似的結論。

“Revisiting the Bollinger Bands, we have gone from 2 standard deviations above-trend to on-trend to now almost 2 standard deviations below-trend,” he noted about the S&P 500 on April 9.

他指出:“重新訪問布林樂隊,我們已經從高於趨勢的2個標準偏差到現在的2個標準偏差。”

Bitcoin bounce may follow 10% Nasdaq plunge

比特幣反彈可能跟隨10%的納斯達克爆發

As CoinTelegraph continues to report, BTC price bottom targets increasingly center around the $70,000 mark.

隨著Cointelegraph繼續報告,BTC價格最低的目標越來越多地集中在70,000美元的左右。

That level is significant for several reasons, including as a psychological barrier and its status as a liquidity magnet.

由於幾個原因,該水平是重要的,包括作為心理障礙及其作為流動性磁鐵的地位。

Network economist Timothy Peterson, whose Lowest Price Forward metric previously offered 95% odds that $69,000 would stay intact as support, now sees Bitcoin reversing only after stocks find their own floor.

網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森(Timothy Peterson)以前最低的價格指標提供了95%的賠率,即69,000美元將保持不變作為支持,現在只有在股票找到自己的地板之後,比特幣僅在股票上逆轉。

“Bitcoin led NASDAQ on this decline. As the asset perceived to be at the top of the risk pyramid, I would expect NASDAQ to rally first, and then Bitcoin. Just something to look for,” he revealed this week.

他本週透露:“由於被認為是風險金字塔的首要資產,我希望納斯達克首先集會,然後是比特幣。”他本週透露。

Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

比特幣與納斯達克比較。資料來源:蒂莫西·彼得森(Timothy Peterson)/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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