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比特币(BTC)价格从 10 月 3 日的近期低点 59,815 美元上涨 7.75%,至 10 月 7 日的月度高点 64,448 美元,显示出看涨的开端
Bitcoin (BTC) price jumped 7.75% from its recent low of $59,815 on Oct. 3 to a monthly high of $64,448 on Oct. 7, demonstrating a bullish start to what may be a volatile week.
比特币 (BTC) 价格从 10 月 3 日的近期低点 59,815 美元上涨 7.75%,至 10 月 7 日的月度高点 64,448 美元,这表明可能波动的一周的看涨开端。
As illustrated in the chart below, Bitcoin briefly dropped under the 200-day EMA (yellow line) at the beginning of the month, but an immediate positional recovery above the indicator allowed prices to push higher over the past four days.
如下图所示,比特币在本月初曾短暂跌破 200 日均线(黄线),但仓位立即恢复至该指标之上,使得价格在过去四天里推高。
BTC/USDT on the 4-hour chart. Source: Trading View
4 小时图上的 BTC/USDT。来源:交易观点
Bitcoin price analysis: Key bullish pattern 'locked in' after BTC re-tests crucial supportBitcoin declined 8.8% between Sept. 30 and Oct. 4, leading to a key re-test of the psychological level at $60,000. Since then, the price has recovered to almost $64,000, which currently puts the monthly return on investment (ROI) at a positive value.
比特币价格分析:BTC 重新测试关键支撑后,关键看涨模式“锁定” 9 月 30 日至 10 月 4 日期间,比特币下跌 8.8%,导致重新测试 60,000 美元的关键心理水平。此后,价格已恢复至近 64,000 美元,目前每月投资回报率 (ROI) 为正值。
Jelle, a crypto analyst, believes that BTC’s recent recovery confirms a strong bullish pattern. When Bitcoin moved above $65,000 at the end of September, it formed the first higher-high (HH) pattern in five months. Now, a higher low (HL) confirmation is key for the uptrend, which the analyst believes is currently “locked in” after Bitcoin re-tested the key resistance/support region.
加密货币分析师 Jelle 认为,BTC 最近的复苏证实了强劲的看涨模式。当比特币在 9 月底突破 65,000 美元时,它形成了五个月来的第一个较高高点 (HH) 形态。现在,更高的低点(HL)确认是上升趋势的关键,分析师认为,在比特币重新测试关键阻力/支撑区域后,目前已“锁定”上升趋势。
Bitcoin daily chart analysis by Jelle. Source: X.com
Jelle 的比特币日线图分析。来源:X.com
Meanwhile, another independent analyst, Titan of Crypto, highlighted an upcoming weekly golden cross for Bitcoin, which has bullish historical odds from 2023. The analyst mentions,
与此同时,另一位独立分析师 Titan of Crypto 强调了即将到来的比特币每周黄金交叉,该交叉从 2023 年开始具有看涨的历史赔率。分析师提到,
Bitcoin price “correlates” with the stablecoin market cap, but a clear trend is yet to be established
比特币价格与稳定币市值“相关”,但尚未确定明确的趋势
Despite Bitcoin’s recent recovery, it was down 2.87% in the last seven days. This might have been due to its relationship with stablecoins. IT Tech, a verified on-chain analyst on CryptoQuant, highlighted a key correlation between BTC and stablecoin’s market cap. The analyst says,
尽管比特币最近有所复苏,但在过去 7 天内下跌了 2.87%。这可能是由于它与稳定币的关系。 CryptoQuant 的经过验证的链上分析师 IT Tech 强调了 BTC 和稳定币市值之间的关键相关性。分析师表示,
“Bitcoin price correlates with the stablecoin market cap, but a clear trend is yet to be established. A drop in the stablecoin supply may indicate increasing selling pressure and reduced liquidity, leading to BTC’s price correction.”
“比特币价格与稳定币市值相关,但明确的趋势尚未确定。稳定币供应量下降可能表明抛售压力增加和流动性减少,从而导致比特币价格调整。”
Since Sept. 30, the net USDT market cap has increased by $161 million, which means it should have had a positive impact on Bitcoin price. However, the total USDC market cap change is negative $654.83 million, which brings the total stablecoin net change to negative $493 million.
自9月30日以来,USDT净市值已增加1.61亿美元,这意味着它应该对比特币价格产生积极影响。然而,USDC 总市值变化为负 6.5483 亿美元,这使得稳定币总净变化为负 4.93 亿美元。
Bitcoin USDC Market cap change chart. Source: X.com
比特币 USDC 市值变化图表。来源:X.com
Hence, an improving stablecoin market cap could be a potential signal of higher Bitcoin prices in the following weeks. Mister Crypto, an independent investor, also mentions the same correlation in an X post, stating:
因此,稳定币市值的改善可能是未来几周比特币价格上涨的潜在信号。独立投资者 Mister Crypto 在 X 帖子中也提到了同样的相关性,他指出:
Bitcoin versus stablecoin supply chart by Mister Crypto. Source: X.com
Mister Crypto 绘制的比特币与稳定币供应图表。来源:X.com
Bitcoin eyes pivotal daily close above $64K as bulls attempt to push toward the monthly highThroughout the past 24 hours, Bitcoin bulls have pushed the price to a local high of $64,400, attempting to reach the recent swing high and monthly top. A daily close above this level is crucial for the continuation of the bullish momentum.
比特币日收盘价有望突破 64,000 美元,多头试图推向月度高点 在过去 24 小时内,比特币多头已将价格推至 64,400 美元的局部高点,试图触及近期波动高点和月度顶部。日收盘价高于该水平对于延续看涨势头至关重要。
From a technical perspective, the chart shows an HH and HL pattern, but a daily close above $64,000 remains pivotal. While BTC reached a high of $64,400 a few hours ago, it is currently attempting to close above $64,000.
从技术角度来看,图表显示了 HH 和 HL 模式,但日收盘价高于 64,000 美元仍然至关重要。虽然 BTC 几个小时前达到 64,400 美元的高位,但目前正试图收于 64,000 美元上方。
Bitcoin remains between the supply zone of $64,130-$63,300, which was formed on Sept. 1. Since spot bids haven't been involved in the recent rally, swing traders could look to take profits on their swing longs around this price range.
比特币仍处于 9 月 1 日形成的 64,130 美元至 63,300 美元的供应区域之间。由于现货买盘尚未参与近期的上涨,因此波动交易者可能会在该价格范围附近的波动多头中获利了结。
BTC/USDT on the 6-hour chart. Source: Trading View
6 小时图上的 BTC/USDT。来源:交易观点
However, a daily close above $64,000 will be a strong indication of continued momentum since it would illustrate a position above the supply zone and a confirmed monthly high.
然而,日收盘价高于 64,000 美元将是持续势头的强烈迹象,因为它将表明头寸高于供应区域并确认了月度高点。
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