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它的价格始终反射为全球流动性的变化,并通过上图最近确认。白图描绘了价格
The price of Bitcoin has always acted reflexively to changes in global liquidity, with recent confirmation by the chart above. The white chart depicts the price action of Bitcoin, while the yellow line tracks changes in relative global liquidity. Looking back through its history, this 2–4 month lag in price reaction indicates that a price movement might activate shortly.
比特币的价格始终反射为全球流动性的变化,并在上面的图表上确认了。白色图表描述了比特币的价格动作,而黄线则跟踪相对全球流动性的变化。回顾其历史,这个2-4个月的价格反应滞后表明,价格变动可能很快就会激活。
From January 2025 to present, global liquidity has begun to show upward momentum, while Bitcoin shows early rebounds at around $71,860. In the event that this trend holds, previous cycles indicate that upon ramping up liquidity to a large extent, the Bitcoin price could shoot past $100,000.
从2025年1月到现在,全球流动性已经开始向上势头,而比特币则显示早期篮板约为71,860美元。如果这种趋势成立,先前的周期表明,在大大增加流动性后,比特币的价格可能会超过100,000美元。
Bitcoin follows global liquidity with a lag.
比特币遵循全球流动性的滞后。
Global liquidity has been rising since January.
自1月以来,全球流动性一直在上升。
What comes next is obvious! pic.twitter.com/Fr2nv8g1Co
接下来是显而易见的! pic.twitter.com/fr2nv8g1co
— Mister Crypto (@misterrcrypto) March 1, 2025
- 2025年3月1日
Three-To-Six-Month Water Liabilities Boosts
三到六个月的水负债提升
A regular series of liquidity-induced rallies for Bitcoin have been emphasized on the graph. In mid-2023, 15% liquidity was injected into the system to propel Bitcoin prices up from $25,000 to more than $45,000 within five months. Liquids were once again injected by some 12% in late 2023 to push Bitcoin above $60,000 shortly afterward.
该图已强调了一系列普通流动性引起的集会。在2023年中期,将15%的流动性注入了该系统,以推动比特币价格从25,000美元上涨至五个月内的45,000美元以上。液体在2023年末再次被大约12%注入,不久之后将比特币推到60,000美元以上。
Each phase of liquidity expansion preceded the uptrend in Bitcoin, strongly suggesting its adjustment to increased availability of capital. Inventory levels since early 2025 have risen by an estimated 10%; such a trend can only suggest a continued energetic price display in Bitcoin.
流动性扩展的每个阶段都在比特币上升趋势之前,强烈表明其适应了增加资本的可用性。自2025年初以来的库存水平估计增加了10%;这样的趋势只能表明比特币中持续的高能价格显示。
Bitcoin Holds as Liquidity Continues Rising
随着流动性的继续增加,比特币保持
As global availability maintains its upward trend, Bitcoin rebounds from recent lows to trade at $71,850. If historical cycles hold, resistance might hit around $88,500 and $112,000 thereafter. Large sums of capital from institutional investors have reportedly flowed into the assets, with large funds accumulating Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation.
随着全球可用性保持其上升趋势,比特币从最近的低点回弹为71,850美元。如果历史周期保持,抵抗力可能会达到88,500美元和112,000美元左右。据报道,来自机构投资者的大量资本已流入资产,大量资金积累了比特币,以此作为抵制通货膨胀的对冲。
This rotation indicates that Bitcoin is no longer a pure speculation play but is being subjected to increasing macroeconomic liquidity conditions. If global liquidity is able to maintain the current uptrend into 2025, we could see Bitcoin continue to lag behind and achieve another all-time high.
这种旋转表明比特币不再是纯粹的投机活动,而是遭受宏观经济流动性条件的增加。如果全球流动性能够将当前的上升趋势保持在2025年,我们可以看到比特币继续落后并实现另一种历史最高水平。
The Future of Bitcoin Depends on Sustained Liquidity Growth
比特币的未来取决于持续的流动性增长
Liquidity being crucial for Bitcoin means that the next move will depend on whether any more liquidity is to be injected into the system. Any slowdown in liquidity that takes place between that point and a formal change in policy or a contraction of the economy could put a further delay on the breakout of Bitcoin.
对于比特币至关重要的流动性意味着下一步将取决于是否还要将任何流动性注入系统。在该点和政策正式变化或经济收缩之间发生的任何流动性放缓都可能会进一步延迟比特币的突破。
If at least 8% to 10% growth continues, historical trends suggest Bitcoin may try to go $100,000 by late 2025. With the flow having upward momentum since the start of the year, market signals seem to indicate that Bitcoin will be making its next big move soon.
如果至少继续增长8%至10%,历史趋势表明,比特币可能会在2025年底之前尝试100,000美元。随着自年初以来的流动势头向上,市场信号似乎表明比特币将很快做出下一个重大行动。
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