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它的價格始終反射為全球流動性的變化,並通過上圖最近確認。白圖描繪了價格
The price of Bitcoin has always acted reflexively to changes in global liquidity, with recent confirmation by the chart above. The white chart depicts the price action of Bitcoin, while the yellow line tracks changes in relative global liquidity. Looking back through its history, this 2–4 month lag in price reaction indicates that a price movement might activate shortly.
比特幣的價格始終反射為全球流動性的變化,並在上面的圖表上確認了。白色圖表描述了比特幣的價格動作,而黃線則跟踪相對全球流動性的變化。回顧其歷史,這個2-4個月的價格反應滯後表明,價格變動可能很快就會激活。
From January 2025 to present, global liquidity has begun to show upward momentum, while Bitcoin shows early rebounds at around $71,860. In the event that this trend holds, previous cycles indicate that upon ramping up liquidity to a large extent, the Bitcoin price could shoot past $100,000.
從2025年1月到現在,全球流動性已經開始向上勢頭,而比特幣則顯示早期籃板約為71,860美元。如果這種趨勢成立,先前的周期表明,在大大增加流動性後,比特幣的價格可能會超過100,000美元。
Bitcoin follows global liquidity with a lag.
比特幣遵循全球流動性的滯後。
Global liquidity has been rising since January.
自1月以來,全球流動性一直在上升。
What comes next is obvious! pic.twitter.com/Fr2nv8g1Co
接下來是顯而易見的! pic.twitter.com/fr2nv8g1co
— Mister Crypto (@misterrcrypto) March 1, 2025
- 2025年3月1日
Three-To-Six-Month Water Liabilities Boosts
三到六個月的水負債提升
A regular series of liquidity-induced rallies for Bitcoin have been emphasized on the graph. In mid-2023, 15% liquidity was injected into the system to propel Bitcoin prices up from $25,000 to more than $45,000 within five months. Liquids were once again injected by some 12% in late 2023 to push Bitcoin above $60,000 shortly afterward.
該圖已強調了一系列普通流動性引起的集會。在2023年中期,將15%的流動性注入了該系統,以推動比特幣價格從25,000美元上漲至五個月內的45,000美元以上。液體在2023年末再次被大約12%注入,不久之後將比特幣推到60,000美元以上。
Each phase of liquidity expansion preceded the uptrend in Bitcoin, strongly suggesting its adjustment to increased availability of capital. Inventory levels since early 2025 have risen by an estimated 10%; such a trend can only suggest a continued energetic price display in Bitcoin.
流動性擴展的每個階段都在比特幣上升趨勢之前,強烈表明其適應了增加資本的可用性。自2025年初以來的庫存水平估計增加了10%;這樣的趨勢只能表明比特幣中持續的高能價格顯示。
Bitcoin Holds as Liquidity Continues Rising
隨著流動性的繼續增加,比特幣保持
As global availability maintains its upward trend, Bitcoin rebounds from recent lows to trade at $71,850. If historical cycles hold, resistance might hit around $88,500 and $112,000 thereafter. Large sums of capital from institutional investors have reportedly flowed into the assets, with large funds accumulating Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation.
隨著全球可用性保持其上升趨勢,比特幣從最近的低點回彈為71,850美元。如果歷史週期保持,抵抗力可能會達到88,500美元和112,000美元左右。據報導,來自機構投資者的大量資本已流入資產,大量資金積累了比特幣,以此作為抵制通貨膨脹的對沖。
This rotation indicates that Bitcoin is no longer a pure speculation play but is being subjected to increasing macroeconomic liquidity conditions. If global liquidity is able to maintain the current uptrend into 2025, we could see Bitcoin continue to lag behind and achieve another all-time high.
這種旋轉表明比特幣不再是純粹的投機活動,而是遭受宏觀經濟流動性條件的增加。如果全球流動性能夠將當前的上升趨勢保持在2025年,我們可以看到比特幣繼續落後並實現另一種歷史最高水平。
The Future of Bitcoin Depends on Sustained Liquidity Growth
比特幣的未來取決於持續的流動性增長
Liquidity being crucial for Bitcoin means that the next move will depend on whether any more liquidity is to be injected into the system. Any slowdown in liquidity that takes place between that point and a formal change in policy or a contraction of the economy could put a further delay on the breakout of Bitcoin.
對於比特幣至關重要的流動性意味著下一步將取決於是否還要將任何流動性注入系統。在該點和政策正式變化或經濟收縮之間發生的任何流動性放緩都可能會進一步延遲比特幣的突破。
If at least 8% to 10% growth continues, historical trends suggest Bitcoin may try to go $100,000 by late 2025. With the flow having upward momentum since the start of the year, market signals seem to indicate that Bitcoin will be making its next big move soon.
如果至少繼續增長8%至10%,歷史趨勢表明,比特幣可能會在2025年底之前嘗試100,000美元。隨著自年初以來的流動勢頭向上,市場信號似乎表明比特幣將很快做出下一個重大行動。
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