到 2024 年底，比特币 (BTC) 价格可能会超过 100,000 美元 – Crypto Expert

加密货币专家 Nick Forster 先生预计，到 2024 年底，比特币 (BTC) 的价格可能会超过 10 万美元。

Crypto expert projects Bitcoin to hit $100,000 by 2024

加密货币专家预计比特币到 2024 年将达到 10 万美元

A crypto expert, Mr Nick Forster, has projected that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) could exceed $100,000 by the end of 2024.

加密货币专家 Nick Forster 先生预计，到 2024 年底，比特币 (BTC) 的价格可能会超过 10 万美元。

Mr Forster, who is the founder of world-leading onchain options DeFi protocol, Derive, made this projection while analyzing the latest Derive BTC and ETH December 27 price ranges from焼け付くような感情.

Forster 先生是世界领先的链上期权 DeFi 协议 Derive 的创始人，他在分析 Searing Emotions 12 月 27 日最新的 Derive BTC 和 ETH 价格范围时做出了这一预测。

According to him, trading patterns reveal a 34 per cent likelihood of BTC exceeding $100,000 by December 27, with possibilities of reaching $150,000 by this date.

据他介绍，交易模式显示，到 12 月 27 日，BTC 突破 10 万美元的可能性为 34%，届时有可能达到 15 万美元。

“Options traders are betting on significant price swings, with a 68 per cent probability of movements ranging from a drop of 16.96 per cent ($75,228) to an increase of 20.42 per cent ($109,089).

“期权交易者押注价格大幅波动，价格波动的可能性为 68%，从下跌 16.96%（75,228 美元）到上涨 20.42%（109,089 美元）。

“There was strong optimism around traders, where 33 per cent of all BTC contracts traded were calls purchased (upside exposure) and 27.9 per cent were puts sold (belief BTC will not fall),” he stated.

他表示：“交易员们对此抱有强烈的乐观态度，所有交易的 BTC 合约中有 33% 是买入看涨期权（上涨风险），27.9% 是卖出看跌期权（相信 BTC 不会下跌）。”

Mr Forster, however, noted that market projections are less optimistic for Ethereum (ETH), giving it a 15 per cent chance to exceed $4,000 or drop below $2,600 by December 27.

然而，Forster 先生指出，市场预测对以太坊 (ETH) 不太乐观，到 12 月 27 日，以太坊有 15% 的机会突破 4,000 美元或跌破 2,600 美元。

According to him, the expected price movements for ETH are also significant, with similar wide ranges anticipated – a 68 per cent chance of a move between -19.18 per cent ($2,510) and +23.73 per cent ($3,843).

据他介绍，ETH 的预期价格变动也很显着，预计也会出现类似的大范围——有 68% 的可能性在 -19.18%（2,510 美元）和 +23.73%（3,843 美元）之间波动。

“The CFTC’s recent clearance for spot Bitcoin ETF options, coupled with anticipated approval from the OCC, saw a new record high in daily activity on Derive.xyz on November 17.

“CFTC 最近批准了现货比特币 ETF 期权，加上 OCC 的预期批准，11 月 17 日 Derive.xyz 的每日活动创下新高。

“This activity coincides with the launch of these options at major exchanges and highlights the growing appeal of volatility trading.

“这项活动恰逢主要交易所推出这些期权，凸显了波动性交易日益增长的吸引力。

“These developments create cross-venue arbitrage opportunities between spot and ETF markets and amplify hedging activities.

“这些发展在现货和 ETF 市场之间创造了跨场所套利机会，并放大了对冲活动。

“A new category of volatility traders is emerging, and as institutional investors begin selling volatility, we expect cheaper options and increased leverage to become available for retail traders, potentially leading to occasional gamma squeezes.

“一类新的波动性交易者正在出现，随着机构投资者开始出售波动性，我们预计散户交易者将可以获得更便宜的选择和更高的杠杆率，这可能会导致偶尔的伽马挤压。

“These dynamics mirror past stock market movements and could amplify price movements in Bitcoin,” he stated.

他表示：“这些动态反映了过去的股市走势，并可能放大比特币的价格走势。”