到 2024 年底，比特幣 (BTC) 價格可能會超過 100,000 美元 – Crypto Expert

加密貨幣專家 Nick Forster 先生預計，到 2024 年底，比特幣 (BTC) 的價格可能會超過 10 萬美元。

Crypto expert projects Bitcoin to hit $100,000 by 2024

加密貨幣專家預計比特幣到 2024 年將達到 10 萬美元

A crypto expert, Mr Nick Forster, has projected that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) could exceed $100,000 by the end of 2024.

加密貨幣專家 Nick Forster 先生預計，到 2024 年底，比特幣 (BTC) 的價格可能會超過 10 萬美元。

Mr Forster, who is the founder of world-leading onchain options DeFi protocol, Derive, made this projection while analyzing the latest Derive BTC and ETH December 27 price ranges from焼け付くような感情.

Forster 先生是世界領先的鏈上選擇權 DeFi 協議 De​​rive 的創始人，他在分析 Searing Emotions 12 月 27 日最新的 Derive BTC 和 ETH 價格範圍時做出了這一預測。

According to him, trading patterns reveal a 34 per cent likelihood of BTC exceeding $100,000 by December 27, with possibilities of reaching $150,000 by this date.

據他介紹，交易模式顯示，到 12 月 27 日，BTC 突破 10 萬美元的可能性為 34%，屆時有可能達到 15 萬美元。

“Options traders are betting on significant price swings, with a 68 per cent probability of movements ranging from a drop of 16.96 per cent ($75,228) to an increase of 20.42 per cent ($109,089).

「選擇權交易者押注價格大幅波動，價格波動的可能性為 68%，從下跌 16.96%（75,228 美元）到上漲 20.42%（109,089 美元）。

“There was strong optimism around traders, where 33 per cent of all BTC contracts traded were calls purchased (upside exposure) and 27.9 per cent were puts sold (belief BTC will not fall),” he stated.

他表示：「交易員們對此抱持強烈的樂觀態度，所有交易的BTC 合約中有33% 是買入看漲期權（上漲風險），27.9% 是賣出看跌期權（相信BTC 不會下跌）。 」

Mr Forster, however, noted that market projections are less optimistic for Ethereum (ETH), giving it a 15 per cent chance to exceed $4,000 or drop below $2,600 by December 27.

然而，Forster 先生指出，市場預測對以太坊 (ETH) 不太樂觀，到 12 月 27 日，以太坊有 15% 的機會突破 4,000 美元或跌破 2,600 美元。

According to him, the expected price movements for ETH are also significant, with similar wide ranges anticipated – a 68 per cent chance of a move between -19.18 per cent ($2,510) and +23.73 per cent ($3,843).

據他介紹，ETH 的預期價格變動也很顯著，預計也會出現類似的大範圍——有 68% 的可能性在 -19.18%（2,510 美元）和 +23.73%（3,843 美元）之間波動。

“The CFTC’s recent clearance for spot Bitcoin ETF options, coupled with anticipated approval from the OCC, saw a new record high in daily activity on Derive.xyz on November 17.

「CFTC 最近批准了現貨比特幣 ETF 選擇權，加上 OCC 的預期批准，11 月 17 日 Derive.xyz 的每日活動創下新高。

“This activity coincides with the launch of these options at major exchanges and highlights the growing appeal of volatility trading.

「這項活動恰逢主要交易所推出這些選擇權，凸顯了波動性交易日益增長的吸引力。

“These developments create cross-venue arbitrage opportunities between spot and ETF markets and amplify hedging activities.

「這些發展在現貨和 ETF 市場之間創造了跨場所套利機會，並放大了對沖活動。

“A new category of volatility traders is emerging, and as institutional investors begin selling volatility, we expect cheaper options and increased leverage to become available for retail traders, potentially leading to occasional gamma squeezes.

「一類新的波動性交易者正在出現，隨著機構投資者開始出售波動性，我們預計散戶交易者將可以獲得更便宜的選擇和更高的槓桿率，這可能會導致偶爾的伽馬擠壓。

“These dynamics mirror past stock market movements and could amplify price movements in Bitcoin,” he stated.

他表示：“這些動態反映了過去的股市走勢，並可能放大比特幣的價格走勢。”