比特币（BTC）价格下降火花市场不确定性。 BTC会继续其看涨轨迹还是进入分配阶段？

由于BTC从一月份的峰值（102000美元）下降至80000美元，许多交易员和分析师正在密切监视关键技术指标

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in an uncertain phase, with recent price action sparking debates on whether the market will continue its bullish trajectory or enter a distribution phase leading to a bearish cycle.

比特币（BTC）目前处于一个不确定的阶段，最近的价格行动引发了有关市场是否将继续其看涨轨迹还是进入发行阶段的辩论，导致看跌周期。

In the past 24 hours, the altcoin has dropped 9.94% and trades at $83,137.49 at the time of writing, according to CoinMarketCap.

根据CoinMarketCap的数据，在过去的24小时内，Altcoin下跌了9.94％，在写作时的交易价格为83,137.49美元。

BTC drops to $83k as technical indicators and support levels are closely monitored.

随着技术指标和支持水平受到密切监控，BTC跌至8.3万美元。

Bitcoin has dropped to $83,000 from a January peak of $102,000, leading many traders and analysts to closely monitor key technical indicators along with support and resistance levels.

比特币从1月的峰值102,000美元降至83,000美元，导致许多交易员和分析师密切监视关键技术指标以及支持和阻力水平。

Analyst PlanB, the creator of the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, predicts BTC will hit an average price of $500,000 during the 2024-2028 halving cycle, with a possible range of $250,000 to $1 million.

分析师Planb是股票流量（S2F）型号的创建者，预测BTC在2024-2028减半周期中的平均价格将达到500,000美元，可能的价格为25万至100万美元。

PlanB sees Bybit hack spooking market, setting stage for Bitcoin's crossroads

Planb看到Bybit Hack Spooking Market，为比特币的十字路口设定了阶段

In a recent YouTube video, PlanB attributes this decline to the $1.4 billion Bybit Ethereum hack, which has spooked the market.

在最近的YouTube视频中，Planb将这种下降归因于14亿美元的Bybit Ethereum Hack，这使市场震惊。

While Bitcoin is known for its volatility even in bull markets, PlanB had anticipated new all-time highs rather than a significant dip of this magnitude.

尽管比特币在牛市中也以波动性而闻名，但Planb预计将有新的历史最高点，而不是这种大小的大量下降。

He now sees the market at a crossroads—either continuing its bull run or entering a distribution phase that leads to a bearish cycle.

现在，他看到市场处于十字路口的状态 - 无论是继续其牛市还是进入导致看跌周期的分配阶段。

PlanB noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell from 76 to 63 but remains above 50, indicating that the market is still in an uptrend. However, it appears traditional finance investors, who are now more involved in Bitcoin ETFs, seem hesitant to push RSI beyond 70-75. They tend to sell when the asset appears overbought.

Planb指出，相对强度指数（RSI）从76下降到63个，但仍在50以上，这表明市场仍处于上升趋势。但是，看来传统的财务投资者现在更多地参与比特币ETF，似乎犹豫不决地将RSI推到70-75以上。当资产出现过多时，它们倾向于出售。

A Fibonacci extension analysis offers further understanding of Bitcoin’s potential price trajectory. Based on the daily chart below, the key levels are: 1.618 Extension ($105,218), 2.618 Extension ($112,559) 3.618 Extension ($119,900), and 4.236 Extension ($124,436).

斐波那契扩展分析提供了对比特币潜在价格轨迹的进一步了解。基于下面的每日图表，关键级别为：1.618扩展（$ 105,218），2.618扩展名（$ 112,559）3.618扩展（$ 119,900）和4.236扩展名（$ 124,436）。

For a renewed bullish trend, BTC must reclaim the $93,000 level, which has acted as recent resistance. Breaking above this could lead to a move toward $100,000, matching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.

为了新的看涨趋势，BTC必须收回93,000美元的水平，这是最近的抵抗。超越这一点可能会导致100,000美元的转移，与1.618的斐波那契扩展相匹配。

Conversely, failure to hold current levels might result in a drop to the 2-year realized price of $74,000, which historically acts as a strong support floor.

相反，未能保持当前水平可能会导致2年实现的价格为74,000美元，这在历史上是强大的支持层。

In other relevant news, On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicates a significant drop in inflow for Bitcoin (BTC), suggesting that investors are being more cautious.

在其他相关新闻中，平衡量（OBP）表明比特币（BTC）的流入量显着下降，这表明投资者更加谨慎。