比特幣（BTC）價格下降火花市場不確定性。 BTC會繼續其看漲軌跡還是進入分配階段？

由於BTC從1月的峰值降至102000美元的$ 80000，許多交易員和分析師正在密切監視關鍵技術指標

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in an uncertain phase, with recent price action sparking debates on whether the market will continue its bullish trajectory or enter a distribution phase leading to a bearish cycle.

比特幣（BTC）目前處於一個不確定的階段，最近的價格行動引發了有關市場是否將繼續其看漲軌跡還是進入發行階段的辯論，導致看跌週期。

In the past 24 hours, the altcoin has dropped 9.94% and trades at $83,137.49 at the time of writing, according to CoinMarketCap.

根據CoinMarketCap的數據，在過去的24小時內，Altcoin下跌了9.94％，在寫作時的交易價格為83,137.49美元。

BTC drops to $83k as technical indicators and support levels are closely monitored.

隨著技術指標和支持水平受到密切監控，BTC跌至8.3萬美元。

Bitcoin has dropped to $83,000 from a January peak of $102,000, leading many traders and analysts to closely monitor key technical indicators along with support and resistance levels.

比特幣從1月的峰值102,000美元降至83,000美元，導致許多交易員和分析師密切監視關鍵技術指標以及支持和阻力水平。

Analyst PlanB, the creator of the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, predicts BTC will hit an average price of $500,000 during the 2024-2028 halving cycle, with a possible range of $250,000 to $1 million.

分析師Planb是股票流量（S2F）型號的創建者，預測BTC在2024-2028減半週期中的平均價格將達到500,000美元，可能的價格為25萬至100萬美元。

PlanB sees Bybit hack spooking market, setting stage for Bitcoin's crossroads

Planb看到Bybit Hack Spooking Market，為比特幣的十字路口設定了階段

In a recent YouTube video, PlanB attributes this decline to the $1.4 billion Bybit Ethereum hack, which has spooked the market.

在最近的YouTube視頻中，Planb將這種下降歸因於14億美元的Bybit Ethereum Hack，這使市場震驚。

While Bitcoin is known for its volatility even in bull markets, PlanB had anticipated new all-time highs rather than a significant dip of this magnitude.

儘管比特幣在牛市中也以波動性而聞名，但Planb預計將有新的歷史最高點，而不是這種大小的大量下降。

He now sees the market at a crossroads—either continuing its bull run or entering a distribution phase that leads to a bearish cycle.

現在，他看到市場處於十字路口的狀態 - 無論是繼續其牛市還是進入導致看跌週期的分配階段。

PlanB noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell from 76 to 63 but remains above 50, indicating that the market is still in an uptrend. However, it appears traditional finance investors, who are now more involved in Bitcoin ETFs, seem hesitant to push RSI beyond 70-75. They tend to sell when the asset appears overbought.

Planb指出，相對強度指數（RSI）從76下降到63個，但仍在50以上，這表明市場仍處於上升趨勢。但是，看來傳統的財務投資者現在更多地參與比特幣ETF，似乎猶豫不決地將RSI推到70-75以上。當資產出現過多時，它們傾向於出售。

A Fibonacci extension analysis offers further understanding of Bitcoin’s potential price trajectory. Based on the daily chart below, the key levels are: 1.618 Extension ($105,218), 2.618 Extension ($112,559) 3.618 Extension ($119,900), and 4.236 Extension ($124,436).

斐波那契擴展分析提供了對比特幣潛在價格軌蹟的進一步了解。基於下面的每日圖表，關鍵級別為：1.618擴展（$ 105,218），2.618擴展名（$ 112,559）3.618擴展（$ 119,900）和4.236擴展名（$ 124,436）。

For a renewed bullish trend, BTC must reclaim the $93,000 level, which has acted as recent resistance. Breaking above this could lead to a move toward $100,000, matching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.

為了新的看漲趨勢，BTC必須收回93,000美元的水平，這是最近的抵抗。超越這一點可能會導致100,000美元的轉移，與1.618的斐波那契擴展相匹配。

Conversely, failure to hold current levels might result in a drop to the 2-year realized price of $74,000, which historically acts as a strong support floor.

相反，未能保持當前水平可能會導致2年實現的價格為74,000美元，這在歷史上是強大的支持層。

In other relevant news, On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicates a significant drop in inflow for Bitcoin (BTC), suggesting that investors are being more cautious.

在其他相關新聞中，平衡量（OBP）表明比特幣（BTC）的流入量顯著下降，這表明投資者更加謹慎。