今天的比特币（BTC）价格：降至$ 90k以下，但这是合并还是逆转？

比特币目前的价格为8.8万美元。了解情感变化，重要市场数据和关键水平，以了解BTC的合并对

Bitcoin’s price today is currently at $88K, and it seems to be consolidating after making new yearly highs of $94,420 back in January. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,002, which is a 6.8% decrease from the beginning of the year.

当今比特币的价格目前为8.8万美元，在一月份的每年新高点为94,420美元之后，它似乎是合并的。在撰写本文时，比特币的交易价格为88,002美元，比年初下降了6.8％。

After the cryptocurrency experienced strong gains in the first half of 2024 due to the halving event in April and a surge in interest from institutions, many analysts grew optimistic. As the price action continues to unfold, analysts are now focusing on the latest sentiment data and charts to determine whether Bitcoin will breakout again or if it’s taking a break.

由于加密货币在2024年上半年由于4月份的减半和机构的兴趣激增，许多分析师在2024年上半年获得了强劲的收益。随着价格行动的继续进行，分析师现在正在关注最新的情感数据和图表，以确定比特币是否会再次突破或休息。

Bitcoin’s 2025 Price Movement: From Peak to Pause

比特币的2025年价格变动：从高峰到停顿

Following the incredible rally that was witnessed in 2024, Bitcoin has ranged between $96,000, conquered by a blend of reduced block rewards (currently at 3.125 BTC per block) and continued long-term accumulation. BTC’s current dip is anticipated and seems relatively tame compared to some of the movements that have taken place in January, where it was above $96,000.

在2024年见证的令人难以置信的集会之后，比特币的范围在96,000美元之间，被减少的块奖励（目前为3.125 BTC）和持续的长期积累所征服。与1月份发生的某些动作相比，BTC的当前下降被预期，并且似乎相对驯服。

While signaling weakness, this bitcoin retreat is considered a healthy consolidation by many analysts. Bitcoin is believed to be exhibiting trend strength as it remains above long-term moving averages and has maintained higher lows on the weekly chart.

尽管信号无力，但该比特币撤退被许多分析师认为是健康的合并。据信比特币表现出趋势强度，因为它仍然高于长期移动平均水平，并且在每周图表上保持更高的低点。

Key Technical Levels: Support and Resistance to Watch

关键技术级别：支持和阻力观看

For now, Bitcoin’s support is projected in the region of $86,000 and $87,000, which has been protected in the last few dips. If this level fails, the next level of support would be around $83,500-$84,000. On the contrary, resistance is being built at $90,000 and if this level is broken, we may see a return to the highs of January.

目前，比特币的支持预计在$ 86,000和87,000美元的区域中，这在最后几次下降了。如果此级别失败，那么下一个支持的水平将约为83,500- $ 84,000。相反，阻力为90,000美元，如果此水平破裂，我们可能会看到一月份的高点。

Also, the system indicates the daily candle forming a neutral Doji around the vicinity of the 21-day EMA, suggesting some sort of market indecision. The RSI stands at the mid-fifties without being oversold or overbought, as the MACD is still on the mildly bullish side. These indicators suggest a neutral market, which, with some volume or change in sentiment, may change direction.

此外，该系统表示每日蜡烛在21天EMA附近形成中性DOJI，这表明某种市场犹豫不决。 RSI在五十年代中期而没有超出或过分买卖，因为MACD仍处于轻度看涨的一面。这些指标表明中立市场，随着情绪的某些数量或变化，可能会改变方向。

On-Chain Activity: Accumulating Bitcoin Continues

链活动：累积比特币继续

The behaviors of market participants are often revealed in the activities recorded on a blockchain. Market reports indicate net exchange outflows of Bitcoin between March 18 and March 24 were roughly $424 million. This means that some investors are taking their BTC off exchanges, which generally means they plan to hold it for some time.

市场参与者的行为经常在区块链记录的活动中揭示。市场报告表明，在3月18日至3月24日之间，比特币的净交换流出约为4.24亿美元。这意味着一些投资者正在将其BTC退出交流，这通常意味着他们计划持有一段时间。

The strength of the Bitcoin network’s hash rate seems to be strong, as miner confidence has dipped after the 2024 halving due to lower profitability. These, coupled with healthy, active address numbers and consistent daily transactions, indicate that the underlying demand for Bitcoin seems to be strong.

比特币网络的哈希速率的强度似乎很强，因为由于利润率降低，矿工的信心在2024年减半后下降。这些，再加上健康，主动的地址数量和一致的每日交易，表明对比特币的潜在需求似乎很强大。

Derivatives Market Update: Open Interest Increasing

衍生品市场更新：开放利息增加

In line with everything else on the crypto market, open interest in BTC futures is increasing. On CoinGlass, it showed that Binance’s futures alone had an open interest increase of approximately 7000 BTC within the week. This indicates an increase in trading engagement and suggests that price volatility is likely shortly.

与加密货币市场上的其他所有内容一致，对BTC期货的开放兴趣正在增加。关于coinglass，这表明，仅毕业生的期货就在一周内就有大约7000 BTC的开放兴趣。这表明交易参与度有所增加，并表明价格波动可能很快。

Despite the open interest surge, the funding rate on major platforms for trading still stays neutral or slightly shifts to the positive, which indicates there is no excessive leveraging on the positions opened. This environment is healthy and indicates that the surge in Bitcoin price is a result of high demand for the asset and not a speculative frenzy.

尽管有开放的利息激增，但交易主要平台上的资金率仍然保持中立或略微转移到正面，这表明在开放的职位上没有过多的利用。这种环境是健康的，表明比特币价格上涨是对资产需求高而不是投机性疯狂的结果。

Sentiment Analysis: Market Participants Remain Passive

情感分析：市场参与者仍然被动

The cryptocurrency market has shown a neutral frame of mind with the Fear and Greed Index currently at 45, a drop from the high 60s earlier this month. Traders seem to be adopting a more reserved approach due to decreasing price levels.

加密货币市场表现出中立的心态，目前的恐惧和贪婪指数为45，从本月初的60年代下降。由于价格水平下降，交易者似乎正在采用更保留的方法。

Sentiment analysis from social media platforms such as LunarCrush does show a bullish retail social commentary engagement. Analysts argue, however, that calm feelings often fuel market movements, especially upward ones, so long as the baseline technicals continue to remain the same.

来自LunarCrush等社交媒体平台的情感分析确实显示了看涨的零售社会评论参与。但是，分析人士认为，只要基线技术继续保持不变，平静的感觉通常会助长市场运动，尤其是向上的运动。

Bitcoin Perspective: Still Within a Bullish Structure

比特币的观点：仍在看涨的结构

If we analyze the Bitcoin price from a higher time frame, we can see that it’s still within a bullish macro trend. While short-term traders might have a perception that the market dip could be a trend reversal, those holding Bitcoin for the long term continue to buy. Looking back at previous halving cycles back in 2020 showed us there were periods of consolidation before skyrocketing. Following the 2020 halving, Bitcoin’s price consistently rose until mid-2022. If patterns remain unchanged, new all-time highs could be witnessed by 2025, especially if market conditions are on the healthy

如果我们从更高的时间范围内分析比特币价格，我们可以看到它仍然在看涨的宏观趋势之内。尽管短期交易者可能会认为市场下跌可能是一种趋势逆转，但长期持有比特币的人仍在继续购买。回顾2020年以前的减半周期，向我们展示了在飞涨之前的合并期间。在2020年减半之后，比特币的价格始终上涨，直到2022年中。如果模式保持不变，则可以在2025年之前见证新的历史最高点，尤其是在市场状况状况下