今天的比特幣（BTC）價格：降至$ 90k以下，但這是合併還是逆轉？

比特幣目前的價格為8.8萬美元。了解情感變化，重要市場數據和關鍵水平，以了解BTC的合併對

Bitcoin’s price today is currently at $88K, and it seems to be consolidating after making new yearly highs of $94,420 back in January. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,002, which is a 6.8% decrease from the beginning of the year.

當今比特幣的價格目前為8.8萬美元，在一月份的每年新高點為94,420美元之後，它似乎是合併的。在撰寫本文時，比特幣的交易價格為88,002美元，比年初下降了6.8％。

After the cryptocurrency experienced strong gains in the first half of 2024 due to the halving event in April and a surge in interest from institutions, many analysts grew optimistic. As the price action continues to unfold, analysts are now focusing on the latest sentiment data and charts to determine whether Bitcoin will breakout again or if it’s taking a break.

由於加密貨幣在2024年上半年由於4月份的減半和機構的興趣激增，許多分析師在2024年上半年獲得了強勁的收益。隨著價格行動的繼續進行，分析師現在正在關注最新的情感數據和圖表，以確定比特幣是否會再次突破或休息。

Bitcoin’s 2025 Price Movement: From Peak to Pause

比特幣的2025年價格變動：從高峰到停頓

Following the incredible rally that was witnessed in 2024, Bitcoin has ranged between $96,000, conquered by a blend of reduced block rewards (currently at 3.125 BTC per block) and continued long-term accumulation. BTC’s current dip is anticipated and seems relatively tame compared to some of the movements that have taken place in January, where it was above $96,000.

在2024年見證的令人難以置信的集會之後，比特幣的範圍在96,000美元之間，被減少的塊獎勵（目前為3.125 BTC）和持續的長期積累所征服。與1月份發生的某些動作相比，BTC的當前下降被預期，並且似乎相對馴服。

While signaling weakness, this bitcoin retreat is considered a healthy consolidation by many analysts. Bitcoin is believed to be exhibiting trend strength as it remains above long-term moving averages and has maintained higher lows on the weekly chart.

儘管信號無力，但該比特幣撤退被許多分析師認為是健康的合併。據信比特幣表現出趨勢強度，因為它仍然高於長期移動平均水平，並且在每週圖表上保持更高的低點。

Key Technical Levels: Support and Resistance to Watch

關鍵技術級別：支持和阻力觀看

For now, Bitcoin’s support is projected in the region of $86,000 and $87,000, which has been protected in the last few dips. If this level fails, the next level of support would be around $83,500-$84,000. On the contrary, resistance is being built at $90,000 and if this level is broken, we may see a return to the highs of January.

目前，比特幣的支持預計在$ 86,000和87,000美元的區域中，這在最後幾次下降了。如果此級別失敗，那麼下一個支持的水平將約為83,500- $ 84,000。相反，阻力為90,000美元，如果此水平破裂，我們可能會看到一月份的高點。

Also, the system indicates the daily candle forming a neutral Doji around the vicinity of the 21-day EMA, suggesting some sort of market indecision. The RSI stands at the mid-fifties without being oversold or overbought, as the MACD is still on the mildly bullish side. These indicators suggest a neutral market, which, with some volume or change in sentiment, may change direction.

此外，該系統表示每日蠟燭在21天EMA附近形成中性DOJI，這表明某種市場猶豫不決。 RSI在五十年代中期而沒有超出或過分買賣，因為MACD仍處於輕度看漲的一面。這些指標表明中立市場，隨著情緒的某些數量或變化，可能會改變方向。

On-Chain Activity: Accumulating Bitcoin Continues

鏈活動：累積比特幣繼續

The behaviors of market participants are often revealed in the activities recorded on a blockchain. Market reports indicate net exchange outflows of Bitcoin between March 18 and March 24 were roughly $424 million. This means that some investors are taking their BTC off exchanges, which generally means they plan to hold it for some time.

市場參與者的行為經常在區塊鏈記錄的活動中揭示。市場報告表明，在3月18日至3月24日之間，比特幣的淨交換流出約為4.24億美元。這意味著一些投資者正在將其BTC退出交流，這通常意味著他們計劃持有一段時間。

The strength of the Bitcoin network’s hash rate seems to be strong, as miner confidence has dipped after the 2024 halving due to lower profitability. These, coupled with healthy, active address numbers and consistent daily transactions, indicate that the underlying demand for Bitcoin seems to be strong.

比特幣網絡的哈希速率的強度似乎很強，因為由於利潤率降低，礦工的信心在2024年減半後下降。這些，再加上健康，主動的地址數量和一致的每日交易，表明對比特幣的潛在需求似乎很強大。

Derivatives Market Update: Open Interest Increasing

衍生品市場更新：開放利息增加

In line with everything else on the crypto market, open interest in BTC futures is increasing. On CoinGlass, it showed that Binance’s futures alone had an open interest increase of approximately 7000 BTC within the week. This indicates an increase in trading engagement and suggests that price volatility is likely shortly.

與加密貨幣市場上的其他所有內容一致，對BTC期貨的開放興趣正在增加。關於coinglass，這表明，僅畢業生的期貨就在一周內就有大約7000 BTC的開放興趣。這表明交易參與度有所增加，並表明價格波動可能很快。

Despite the open interest surge, the funding rate on major platforms for trading still stays neutral or slightly shifts to the positive, which indicates there is no excessive leveraging on the positions opened. This environment is healthy and indicates that the surge in Bitcoin price is a result of high demand for the asset and not a speculative frenzy.

儘管有開放的利息激增，但交易主要平台上的資金率仍然保持中立或略微轉移到正面，這表明在開放的職位上沒有過多的利用。這種環境是健康的，表明比特幣價格上漲是對資產需求高而不是投機性瘋狂的結果。

Sentiment Analysis: Market Participants Remain Passive

情感分析：市場參與者仍然被動

The cryptocurrency market has shown a neutral frame of mind with the Fear and Greed Index currently at 45, a drop from the high 60s earlier this month. Traders seem to be adopting a more reserved approach due to decreasing price levels.

加密貨幣市場表現出中立的心態，目前的恐懼和貪婪指數為45，從本月初的60年代下降。由於價格水平下降，交易者似乎正在採用更保留的方法。

Sentiment analysis from social media platforms such as LunarCrush does show a bullish retail social commentary engagement. Analysts argue, however, that calm feelings often fuel market movements, especially upward ones, so long as the baseline technicals continue to remain the same.

來自LunarCrush等社交媒體平台的情感分析確實顯示了看漲的零售社會評論參與。但是，分析人士認為，只要基線技術繼續保持不變，平靜的感覺通常會助長市場運動，尤其是向上的運動。

Bitcoin Perspective: Still Within a Bullish Structure

比特幣的觀點：仍在看漲的結構

If we analyze the Bitcoin price from a higher time frame, we can see that it’s still within a bullish macro trend. While short-term traders might have a perception that the market dip could be a trend reversal, those holding Bitcoin for the long term continue to buy. Looking back at previous halving cycles back in 2020 showed us there were periods of consolidation before skyrocketing. Following the 2020 halving, Bitcoin’s price consistently rose until mid-2022. If patterns remain unchanged, new all-time highs could be witnessed by 2025, especially if market conditions are on the healthy

如果我們從更高的時間範圍內分析比特幣價格，我們可以看到它仍然在看漲的宏觀趨勢之內。儘管短期交易者可能會認為市場下跌可能是一種趨勢逆轉，但長期持有比特幣的人仍在繼續購買。回顧2020年以前的減半週期，向我們展示了在飛漲之前的合併期間。在2020年減半之後，比特幣的價格始終上漲，直到2022年中。如果模式保持不變，則可以在2025年之前見證新的歷史最高點，尤其是在市場狀況狀況下