比特币（BTC）价格调整可能即将结束，因为关键指标表明抛售压力减轻

比特币的价格于 2024 年 12 月 17 日达到 108,000 美元的历史最高点，此后已调整了超过 10%。然而，关键指标显示抛售压力有所减轻，这激发了反弹回到 100,000 美元上方的希望。

Bitcoin’s price, which peaked at an all-time high of $108,000 on December 17, has since corrected by over 10%. However, key metrics suggest reduced selling pressure, fueling hopes for a rally back above $100,000.

比特币的价格在 12 月 17 日达到历史最高点 108,000 美元，此后已经调整了超过 10%。然而，关键指标显示抛售压力有所减轻，从而激发了反弹至 10 万美元上方的希望。

Bitcoin exchange inflows — the total BTC transferred to exchanges — have declined significantly since November 2024. Inflows peaked at 98,748 BTC on November 25, during heightened activity following the U.S. presidential election.

自 2024 年 11 月以来，比特币交易所的流入量（转移到交易所的 BTC 总量）大幅下降。流入量于 11 月 25 日达到峰值，达到 98,748 BTC，当时美国总统大选后活动加剧。

Afterwards, exchange inflows dropped substantially, ranging from 11,000 to 79,000 BTC daily throughout December.

此后，交易所流入量大幅下降，整个 12 月份每天的流入量从 11,000 到 79,000 BTC 不等。

This metric suggests that fewer traders are sending BTC to exchanges, which could indicate a reduced intent to sell.

该指标表明，向交易所发送比特币的交易者较少，这可能表明出售意愿有所下降。

Bitcoin miner outflows — BTC sent by miners to exchanges — have also dropped since November, when miners took profits during the Trump-related rally.

自去年 11 月以来，矿商在与特朗普相关的涨势中获利了结，比特币矿商流出量（矿商向交易所发送的 BTC）也有所下降。

Bitcoin miner outflows peaked at 25,367 BTC on November 11, when BTC hit $88,000.

11 月 11 日，比特币矿工流出量达到峰值 25,367 BTC，当时 BTC 触及 88,000 美元。

Afterwards, miner outflows dropped significantly, with recent outflows of 5,489 BTC (January 1), 5,748 BTC (January 2), and 2,133 BTC (January 3), signaling a lower selling pressure from miners.

此后，矿商流出量大幅下降，近期流出量为 5,489 BTC（1 月 1 日）、5,748 BTC（1 月 2 日）和 2,133 BTC（1 月 3 日），表明矿商抛压有所减轻。

Several analysts have highlighted the need for higher trading volume to break resistance and propel BTC upwards.

几位分析师强调，需要增加交易量才能突破阻力并推动比特币上涨。

"The market structure remains bullish, but we lack sufficient trading volume for a strong impulse," noted market analyst Axel Adler on January 4.

1 月 4 日，市场分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒 (Axel Adler) 表示：“市场结构仍然看涨，但我们缺乏足够的交易量来产生强劲的推动力。”

Others, like market commentator Tedtalksmacro, also pointed to the importance of volume, stating: "If we get the volume, we can go parabolic quickly."

其他人，如市场评论员 Tedtalksmacro，也指出了成交量的重要性，并表示：“如果我们获得成交量，我们就可以快速达到抛物线。”

Exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows rebounded sharply with $900 million on January 3, 2025, reversing several days of significant outflows.

2025 年 1 月 3 日，交易所交易基金 (ETF) 流入大幅反弹，达 9 亿美元，扭转了数日的大幅流出。

This follows a period where ETFs saw outflows of up to $1.2 billion, the highest since December 2021.

在此之前，ETF 资金流出高达 12 亿美元，为 2021 年 12 月以来的最高水平。

The latest data suggests a shift in institutional sentiment, with renewed interest in crypto assets. This could serve as a potential catalyst for price recovery, given the role institutions play in the crypto market.

最新数据表明机构情绪发生转变，人们对加密资产重新产生了兴趣。考虑到机构在加密货币市场中所扮演的角色，这可能成为价格复苏的潜在催化剂。

Bitfinex analysts predict BTC will trade within the $95,000–$110,000 range for January, with the possibility of breaching the $100,000 psychological resistance if volume increases.

Bitfinex 分析师预测 1 月份 BTC 交易价格将在 95,000 美元至 110,000 美元之间，如果交易量增加，有可能突破 100,000 美元的心理阻力位。

"Bitcoin is likely to trade within the $95,000–$110,000 range in January. A breakout above $100,000 is possible if trading volume picks up and pushes BTC above this key level," the analysts noted in their January market overview.

分析师在 1 月份市场概览中指出：“1 月份，比特币的交易价格可能会在 95,000 美元至 110,000 美元之间。如果交易量回升，并将 BTC 推至这一关键水平之上，则有可能突破 100,000 美元。”

"A failure to attract sufficient buying pressure could lead to a deeper retracement, testing support at $80,000 or lower."

“未能吸引足够的购买压力可能会导致更深的回调，测试 80,000 美元或更低的支撑位。”