比特币（BTC）价格分析与预测：BTC会达到10万美元吗？

唐纳德·特朗普连任后，比特币价格大幅飙升； 11月22日，比特币创下99,830美元的历史新高

Bitcoin's price experienced a significant surge following Donald Trump's re-election bid. On November 22, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $99,830, coming close but ultimately falling short of the highly anticipated $100,000 milestone.

在唐纳德·特朗普竞选连任后，比特币的价格经历了大幅上涨。 11 月 22 日，比特币触及 99,830 美元的历史新高，虽然接近但最终未能达到备受期待的 100,000 美元里程碑。

After hitting this peak, BTCUSD encountered a corrective phase, with prices retracing to a low of $91,377 as a result of early investors engaging in profit-taking activities and the natural market volatility that unfolds during such moments. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $93,600, at a critical juncture with traders and investors keeping a close eye on its next move.

在达到这一峰值后，BTCUSD 遇到了调整阶段，由于早期投资者进行获利了结活动以及在此期间出现的自然市场波动，价格回落至 91,377 美元的低点。截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格约为 93,600 美元，正处于交易员和投资者密切关注其下一步走势的关键时刻。

Bitcoin Chart Analysis

比特币图表分析

Performing a technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart on the daily timeframe reveals the following key resistance and support levels:

对每日时间范围内的比特币价格图表进行技术分析揭示了以下关键阻力位和支撑位：

Bitcoin Resistance Levels:

比特币阻力位：

96,700

96,700

99,830 (all-time high)

99,830（历史最高）

103,800

103,800

Bitcoin Support Levels:

比特币支持水平：

93,600

93,600

91,377

91,377

88,000

88,000

Collectively, these price points serve as crucial zones that could potentially influence Bitcoin's directional bias and traders' strategies.

总的来说，这些价格点是可能影响比特币方向偏差和交易者策略的关键区域。

Challenges Keeping Bitcoin Below $100K

将比特币控制在 10 万美元以下的挑战

Several challenges have hindered Bitcoin's continuous ascent to the six-figure mark. Among them are regulatory hurdles, with the SEC expressing concerns over the cryptocurrency's volatility and the potential for fraud in the market.

一些挑战阻碍了比特币持续攀升至六位数大关。其中包括监管障碍，美国证券交易委员会对加密货币的波动性和市场欺诈的可能性表示担忧。

Another factor is the limited liquidity in the Bitcoin market, especially at higher price points, which can lead to exaggerated price movements and make it difficult for large traders to enter or exit positions without impacting the price. This illiquidity is driven by the HODLing mentality of many Bitcoin investors, who prefer to hold their coins long-term rather than selling them for a profit.

另一个因素是比特币市场的流动性有限，尤其是在较高的价格点，这可能导致价格波动过大，并使大型交易者难以在不影响价格的情况下进场或退出头寸。这种流动性不足是由许多比特币投资者的持有心态造成的，他们更愿意长期持有比特币，而不是出售比特币以获取利润。

Moreover, the high energy consumption of Bitcoin mining has drawn criticism from environmentalists and regulators alike, leading to discussions of alternative consensus mechanisms and renewable energy usage. This aspect could influence the cryptocurrency's mainstream adoption and impact its price trajectory.

此外，比特币挖矿的高能耗引起了环保人士和监管机构的批评，引发了对替代共识机制和可再生能源使用的讨论。这方面可能会影响加密货币的主流采用并影响其价格轨迹。

Will Bitcoin Reach $100K?

比特币会达到 10 万美元吗？

The path to $100,000 is still open, but it requires overcoming multiple hurdles. A key catalyst for renewed momentum could be the 2024 Bitcoin halving, which reduces the supply of new bitcoins and historically triggers price rallies.

通往 10 万美元的道路仍然开放，但需要克服多个障碍。新动能的一个关键催化剂可能是 2024 年比特币减半，这会减少新比特币的供应，并在历史上引发价格上涨。

Additionally, rising institutional interest as a result of positive policy changes and the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could push the cryptocurrency closer to its anticipated achievement. However, Bitcoin's journey is unlikely to be a straight line. Consolidation and pullbacks are part of the process, and traders must remain vigilant for signs of trend reversals.

此外，由于积极的政策变化和比特币 ETF 的推出，机构兴趣的上升可能会推动加密货币更接近其预期成就。然而，比特币的旅程不太可能是一条直线。盘整和回调是这个过程的一部分，交易者必须对趋势逆转的迹象保持警惕。

For now, Bitcoin's ability to sustain support above $91,000 while targeting a clean breakout above $96,700 will determine whether the bulls can finally rewrite history.

目前，比特币能否维持在 91,000 美元上方的支撑，同时目标是彻底突破 96,700 美元上方，将决定多头能否最终改写历史。