比特幣（BTC）價格分析與預測：BTC會達到10萬美元嗎？

唐納德·川普連任後，比特幣價格大幅飆升； 11月22日，比特幣創下99,830美元的歷史新高

Bitcoin's price experienced a significant surge following Donald Trump's re-election bid. On November 22, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $99,830, coming close but ultimately falling short of the highly anticipated $100,000 milestone.

在唐納德·川普競選連任後，比特幣的價格經歷了大幅上漲。 11 月 22 日，比特幣觸及 99,830 美元的歷史新高，雖然接近但最終未能達到備受期待的 10 萬美元里程碑。

After hitting this peak, BTCUSD encountered a corrective phase, with prices retracing to a low of $91,377 as a result of early investors engaging in profit-taking activities and the natural market volatility that unfolds during such moments. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $93,600, at a critical juncture with traders and investors keeping a close eye on its next move.

在達到這一高峰後，BTCUSD 遇到了調整階段，由於早期投資者進行獲利了結活動以及在此期間出現的自然市場波動，價格回落至 91,377 美元的低點。截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格約為 93,600 美元，正處於交易員和投資者密切關注其下一步走勢的關鍵時刻。

Bitcoin Chart Analysis

比特幣圖表分析

Performing a technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart on the daily timeframe reveals the following key resistance and support levels:

對每日時間範圍內的比特幣價格圖表進行技術分析揭示了以下關鍵阻力位和支撐位：

Bitcoin Resistance Levels:

比特幣阻力位：

96,700

96,700

99,830 (all-time high)

99,830（歷史最高）

103,800

103,800

Bitcoin Support Levels:

比特幣支援水平：

93,600

93,600

91,377

91,377

88,000

88,000

Collectively, these price points serve as crucial zones that could potentially influence Bitcoin's directional bias and traders' strategies.

總的來說，這些價格點是可能影響比特幣方向偏差和交易者策略的關鍵區域。

Challenges Keeping Bitcoin Below $100K

將比特幣控制在 10 萬美元以下的挑戰

Several challenges have hindered Bitcoin's continuous ascent to the six-figure mark. Among them are regulatory hurdles, with the SEC expressing concerns over the cryptocurrency's volatility and the potential for fraud in the market.

一些挑戰阻礙了比特幣持續攀升至六位數大關。其中包括監管障礙，美國證券交易委員會對加密貨幣的波動性和市場詐欺的可能性表示擔憂。

Another factor is the limited liquidity in the Bitcoin market, especially at higher price points, which can lead to exaggerated price movements and make it difficult for large traders to enter or exit positions without impacting the price. This illiquidity is driven by the HODLing mentality of many Bitcoin investors, who prefer to hold their coins long-term rather than selling them for a profit.

另一個因素是比特幣市場的流動性有限，尤其是在較高的價格點，這可能導致價格波動過大，並使大型交易者難以在不影響價格的情況下進場或退出頭寸。這種流動性不足是由許多比特幣投資者的持有心態造成的，他們更願意長期持有比特幣，而不是出售比特幣以獲取利潤。

Moreover, the high energy consumption of Bitcoin mining has drawn criticism from environmentalists and regulators alike, leading to discussions of alternative consensus mechanisms and renewable energy usage. This aspect could influence the cryptocurrency's mainstream adoption and impact its price trajectory.

此外，比特幣挖礦的高能耗引起了環保人士和監管機構的批評，引發了對替代共識機制和再生能源使用的討論。這方面可能會影響加密貨幣的主流採用並影響其價格軌跡。

Will Bitcoin Reach $100K?

比特幣會達到 10 萬美元嗎？

The path to $100,000 is still open, but it requires overcoming multiple hurdles. A key catalyst for renewed momentum could be the 2024 Bitcoin halving, which reduces the supply of new bitcoins and historically triggers price rallies.

通往 10 萬美元的道路仍然開放，但需要克服多個障礙。新動能的關鍵催化劑可能是 2024 年比特幣減半，這會減少新比特幣的供應，並在歷史上引發價格上漲。

Additionally, rising institutional interest as a result of positive policy changes and the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could push the cryptocurrency closer to its anticipated achievement. However, Bitcoin's journey is unlikely to be a straight line. Consolidation and pullbacks are part of the process, and traders must remain vigilant for signs of trend reversals.

此外，由於積極的政策變化和比特幣 ETF 的推出，機構興趣的上升可能會推動加密貨幣更接近其預期成就。然而，比特幣的旅程不太可能是一條直線。盤整和回調是這個過程的一部分，交易者必須對趨勢逆轉的跡象保持警惕。

For now, Bitcoin's ability to sustain support above $91,000 while targeting a clean breakout above $96,700 will determine whether the bulls can finally rewrite history.

目前，比特幣能否維持在 91,000 美元上方的支撐，同時目標是徹底突破 96,700 美元上方，將決定多頭能否最終改寫歷史。