比特币 (BTC) 价格分析：接近 10 万美元门槛后的前景如何？

比特币在接近 10 万美元大关后下跌 5%。现在让我们来看看比特币的前景。

Bitcoin price dropped by 6% last week after nearing the $100,000 threshold. Here's a closer look at BTC's outlook.

比特币价格上周在接近 10 万美元门槛后下跌了 6%。以下是对 BTC 前景的更仔细的观察。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price ActionAfter peaking at $93,400, Bitcoin went through a consolidation phase, which it recently cleared. This move allowed Bitcoin to set a new all-time high at $99,661. Notably, this price level corresponds to the fourth resistance level on the monthly pivot points. While this threshold wasn't reached in the spot market, it's worth mentioning that Bitcoin futures contracts surpassed the psychological barrier of $100,000.

比特币 (BTC) 价格走势在达到 93,400 美元的峰值后，比特币经历了盘整阶段，最近已清理完毕。这一举措使比特币创下了历史新高，达到 99,661 美元。值得注意的是，该价格水平对应于每月枢轴点上的第四个阻力位。虽然现货市场尚未达到这一门槛，但值得一提的是，比特币期货合约突破了 10 万美元的心理关口。

However, following this brief consolidation, buying interest wasn't sustained, leading to a decline of around 6% in its price at the start of the last week of November. The cryptocurrency fell back below the resistance zone, which is valued at $98,400.

然而，在短暂的盘整之后，购买兴趣并未持续，导致其价格在 11 月最后一周初下跌约 6%。加密货币回落至阻力区下方，价值 98,400 美元。

At the time of writing this piece, Bitcoin's price is hovering around $93,700. BTC's short-term trend has shifted back to bearish, while its medium and long-term trends remain resolutely bullish. This observation is supported by the positioning of the 50 and 200-day moving averages, which remain oriented and crossed to the upside.

在撰写本文时，比特币的价格徘徊在 93,700 美元左右。 BTC短期趋势已转回看跌，但中长期趋势仍坚决看涨。这一观察结果得到了 50 日和 200 日移动平均线的定位的支持，这些移动平均线仍然面向上方并交叉。

On the bullish momentum side of the cryptocurrency, we note a slight weakness through the oscillators, but nothing out of the ordinary. Indeed, it's important to recall that Bitcoin recently benefited from a strong bullish momentum, which is often followed by slight corrections, a phenomenon that's quite common.

在加密货币的看涨势头方面，我们注意到振荡器略有疲软，但没有什么异常。事实上，重要的是要记住，比特币最近受益于强劲的看涨势头，随后往往会出现小幅调整，这种现象相当常见。

This technical analysis was carried out in collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and trader passionate about the cryptocurrency market. Today a trainer at Family Trading, a community of thousands of active self-traders since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content, and support around financial markets in a professional and friendly atmosphere.

这项技术分析是与对加密货币市场充满热情的投资者和交易员 Elie FT 合作进行的。今天是 Family Trading 的培训师，该社区自 2017 年以来已拥有数千名活跃的自交易者。您将在专业和友好的氛围中找到有关金融市场的生活、教育内容和支持。

Focus on Derivatives (BTC/USDT)The open interest of BTC/USDT perpetual contracts evolved in phase with the price of its underlying asset, reflecting a relatively healthy market, with speculative interest mainly oriented towards buying. These observations are corroborated by a financing rate that remained positive. However, a divergence is observed on the CVD side compared to these indicators, suggesting notable selling interest on market orders. As for liquidations, they remained insignificant but indicate a gradual capitulation of buyers.

关注衍生品（BTC/USDT）BTC/USDT永续合约持仓量与标的资产价格同步变化，反映市场相对健康，投机兴趣以买入为主。仍为正值的融资利率证实了这些观察结果。然而，与这些指标相比，CVD 方面出现了分歧，表明市场订单的抛售兴趣显着。至于清算，数量仍然微不足道，但表明买家逐渐投降。

The heat map of liquidations of BTC/USDT perpetual contracts highlights significant value zones on either side of its current price. Above, a notable zone appears around $100,000. Below, a larger zone is identified between $92,500 and $90,000, even down to $85,000. Lower down, a zone around $80,000 is noteworthy, although the most important is around $75,000 and $74,000. If the price approaches these levels, this could trigger a large number of orders, thereby increasing the risk of volatility for the cryptocurrency. These zones therefore constitute crucial points of interest for investors.

BTC/USDT 永续合约清算热图突出显示了当前价格两侧的重要价值区域。上面，一个值得注意的区域出现在 100,000 美元左右。下面确定了一个更大的区域，介于 92,500 美元和 90,000 美元之间，甚至低至 85,000 美元。下方，80,000 美元左右的区域值得注意，尽管最重要的是 75,000 美元和 74,000 美元左右。如果价格接近这些水平，可能会触发大量订单，从而增加加密货币的波动风险。因此，这些区域构成了投资者的关键兴趣点。

Bitcoin Price (BTC) ForecastIt's important to note that reaching a new all-time high makes it more difficult to identify resistance levels.

比特币价格（BTC）预测值得注意的是，达到新的历史高点使得识别阻力位变得更加困难。

ConclusionBitcoin recently went through a consolidation phase and a slight correction after a period of strong progression, indicating a loss of momentum in the short term. Although this may seem concerning, it's important to note that the medium and long-term trends remain clearly bullish, supported by technical indicators. This type of correction, typical of market cycles after significant movements, suggests a potential recovery in a favorable long-term context. It will therefore be crucial to closely monitor price reactions at key levels to validate or adjust the current forecasts. Finally, let's remember that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and the price of cryptocurrencies can evolve quickly depending on other more fundamental factors.

结论比特币近期经历了盘整阶段，并在经历了一段时间的强劲发展后出现小幅回调，表明短期内动力有所丧失。尽管这似乎令人担忧，但值得注意的是，在技术指标的支持下，中长期趋势仍然明显看涨。这种类型的调整是重大波动后市场周期的典型现象，表明在有利的长期背景下可能出现复苏。因此，密切监测关键水平的价格反应以验证或调整当前的预测至关重要。最后，让我们记住，这些分析仅基于技术标准，加密货币的价格可能会根据其他更基本的因素快速变化。

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