比特幣 (BTC) 價格分析：接近 10 萬美元門檻後的前景如何？

比特幣在接近 10 萬美元大關後下跌 5%。現在讓我們來看看比特幣的前景。

Bitcoin price dropped by 6% last week after nearing the $100,000 threshold. Here's a closer look at BTC's outlook.

比特幣價格上週在接近 10 萬美元門檻後下跌了 6%。以下是對 BTC 前景的更仔細的觀察。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price ActionAfter peaking at $93,400, Bitcoin went through a consolidation phase, which it recently cleared. This move allowed Bitcoin to set a new all-time high at $99,661. Notably, this price level corresponds to the fourth resistance level on the monthly pivot points. While this threshold wasn't reached in the spot market, it's worth mentioning that Bitcoin futures contracts surpassed the psychological barrier of $100,000.

比特幣 (BTC) 價格走勢在達到 93,400 美元的峰值後，比特幣經歷了盤整階段，最近已清理完畢。這項舉措使比特幣創下了歷史新高，達到 99,661 美元。值得注意的是，該價格水準對應於每月樞軸點上的第四個阻力位。雖然現貨市場尚未達到這一門檻，但值得一提的是，比特幣期貨合約突破了 10 萬美元的心理關卡。

However, following this brief consolidation, buying interest wasn't sustained, leading to a decline of around 6% in its price at the start of the last week of November. The cryptocurrency fell back below the resistance zone, which is valued at $98,400.

然而，在短暫的盤整之後，購買興趣並未持續，導致其價格在 11 月最後一周初下跌約 6%。加密貨幣回落至阻力區下方，價值 98,400 美元。

At the time of writing this piece, Bitcoin's price is hovering around $93,700. BTC's short-term trend has shifted back to bearish, while its medium and long-term trends remain resolutely bullish. This observation is supported by the positioning of the 50 and 200-day moving averages, which remain oriented and crossed to the upside.

在撰寫本文時，比特幣的價格徘徊在 93,700 美元左右。 BTC短期趨勢已轉回看跌，但中長期趨勢仍堅決看漲。這項觀察結果得到了 50 日和 200 日移動平均線的定位的支持，這些移動平均線仍然面向上方並交叉。

On the bullish momentum side of the cryptocurrency, we note a slight weakness through the oscillators, but nothing out of the ordinary. Indeed, it's important to recall that Bitcoin recently benefited from a strong bullish momentum, which is often followed by slight corrections, a phenomenon that's quite common.

在加密貨幣的看漲勢頭方面，我們注意到振盪器略有疲軟，但沒有什麼異常。事實上，重要的是要記住，比特幣最近受益於強勁的看漲勢頭，隨後往往會出現小幅調整，這種現象相當常見。

This technical analysis was carried out in collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and trader passionate about the cryptocurrency market. Today a trainer at Family Trading, a community of thousands of active self-traders since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content, and support around financial markets in a professional and friendly atmosphere.

這項技術分析是與對加密貨幣市場充滿熱情的投資者和交易員 Elie FT 合作進行的。如今，我擔任 Family Trading 的培訓師，該社區自 2017 年以來已擁有數千名活躍的自交易者。

Focus on Derivatives (BTC/USDT)The open interest of BTC/USDT perpetual contracts evolved in phase with the price of its underlying asset, reflecting a relatively healthy market, with speculative interest mainly oriented towards buying. These observations are corroborated by a financing rate that remained positive. However, a divergence is observed on the CVD side compared to these indicators, suggesting notable selling interest on market orders. As for liquidations, they remained insignificant but indicate a gradual capitulation of buyers.

關注衍生性商品（BTC/USDT）BTC/USDT永續合約持股量與標的資產價格同步變化，反映市場相對健康，投機興趣以買入為主。仍為正值的融資利率證實了這些觀察結果。然而，與這些指標相比，CVD 方面出現了分歧，顯示市場訂單的拋售興趣顯著。至於清算，數量仍然微不足道，但顯示買家逐漸投降。

The heat map of liquidations of BTC/USDT perpetual contracts highlights significant value zones on either side of its current price. Above, a notable zone appears around $100,000. Below, a larger zone is identified between $92,500 and $90,000, even down to $85,000. Lower down, a zone around $80,000 is noteworthy, although the most important is around $75,000 and $74,000. If the price approaches these levels, this could trigger a large number of orders, thereby increasing the risk of volatility for the cryptocurrency. These zones therefore constitute crucial points of interest for investors.

BTC/USDT 永續合約清算熱圖突顯了當前價格兩側的重要價值區域。上面，一個值得注意的區域出現在 10 萬美元左右。下面確定了一個更大的區域，介於 92,500 美元和 90,000 美元之間，甚至低至 85,000 美元。下方，80,000 美元左右的區域值得注意，儘管最重要的是 75,000 美元和 74,000 美元左右。如果價格接近這些水平，可能會觸發大量訂單，從而增加加密貨幣的波動風險。因此，這些區域構成了投資者的關鍵興趣點。

Bitcoin Price (BTC) ForecastIt's important to note that reaching a new all-time high makes it more difficult to identify resistance levels.

比特幣價格（BTC）預測值得注意的是，達到新的歷史高點使得識別阻力位變得更加困難。

ConclusionBitcoin recently went through a consolidation phase and a slight correction after a period of strong progression, indicating a loss of momentum in the short term. Although this may seem concerning, it's important to note that the medium and long-term trends remain clearly bullish, supported by technical indicators. This type of correction, typical of market cycles after significant movements, suggests a potential recovery in a favorable long-term context. It will therefore be crucial to closely monitor price reactions at key levels to validate or adjust the current forecasts. Finally, let's remember that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and the price of cryptocurrencies can evolve quickly depending on other more fundamental factors.

結論比特幣在經歷了一段時間的強勁發展後，最近經歷了盤整階段和小幅回調，顯示短期內動力喪失。儘管這似乎令人擔憂，但值得注意的是，在技術指標的支持下，中長期趨勢仍然明顯看漲。這種類型的調整是重大波動後市場週期的典型現象，表明在有利的長期背景下可能出現復甦。因此，密切監測關鍵水平的價格反應以驗證或調整當前的預測至關重要。最後，讓我們記住，這些分析僅基於技術標準，加密貨幣的價格可能會根據其他更基本的因素快速變化。

Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.Family Trading is a Community of self-traders active since 2017 offering Lives, educational content and entraides around financial markets including that of cryptocurrencies with Elie FT, an investor and passionate trader in the crypto market at its side.

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