比特币（BTC）价格分析：尽管托尼·塞弗里诺（Tony Severino）的熊市警告，BTC仍返回85,000美元

截至目前，比特币返回了85,000美元。但是，最近的崇高奔跑还不足以说服所有人。

Technical crypto expert Tony Severino has warned that the Bitcoin/VIX ratio is “not as bullish as many think”, and could very well be indicating classic bear market signals.

技术加密专家托尼·塞维诺（Tony Severino）警告说，比特币/VIX比率“不像许多人那样看涨”，并且很可能表明经典的熊市信号。

“The Bitcoin/VIX isn’t bullish. These are indicators we usually see in crypto bear markets,” Severino wrote in his post on X.

Severino在X上的帖子中写道：“比特币/VIX不是看涨。这些是我们通常在加密熊市中看到的指标。”

Bitcoin / VIX Is Highlighting Bear Market Signals - Credit: Tony Severino on X

比特币 / VIX突出显示熊市信号 - 信用：X上的Tony Severino

While several influencers continue to hype up a potential breakout rally for Bitcoin, Severino's analysis suggests that it may have already peaked for the current market cycle. He has also warned traders before, using the Elliott Wave theory and momentum indicators to brace for a downturn.

尽管几位影响者继续炒作比特币的潜在突破集会，但Severino的分析表明，它可能已经在当前的市场周期达到顶峰。他还使用Elliott Wave理论和动量指标来支撑经济衰退，以前还警告交易者。

“Unless market conditions change drastically, we are heading into a bear market,” Severino added. However, other analysts have a different view. Prominent analyst Saeed believes that the recent pullback is a healthy retracement. He asserts that Bitcoin will continue to follow a bullish trend. According to him, the real breakout will occur once the Bitcoin price breaks past the $85,000 resistance level. This could open the door to new all-time highs for Bitcoin.

Severino补充说：“除非市场状况发生巨大变化，否则我们将进入熊市。”但是，其他分析师有不同的观点。著名的分析师赛义德（Saeed）认为，最近的回调是一个健康的回溯。他断言，比特币将继续遵循看涨的趋势。据他说，一旦比特币价格突破了85,000美元的电阻水平，真正的突破将发生。这可能打开了比特币新历史最高点的大门。

On the other hand, other chart experts and analysts have observed bullish technical patterns for Bitcoin. Titan of Crypto noted that it appears to be forming an inverse Head-and-Shoulders pattern. If the pattern holds, it could push the Bitcoin price up to $125,000 this year. Rekt Capital, another renowned analyst, spotted a bullish RSI divergence, a pattern that has been followed by major reversals in the past.

另一方面，其他图表专家和分析师观察到了比特币的看涨技术模式。 Crypto的Titan指出，它似乎正在形成逆向头和肩膀模式。如果该模式成立，今年可能会将比特币价格提高到125,000美元。另一位著名分析师Rekt Capital发现了看涨的RSI Divergence，这种模式在过去曾是重大逆转。

#Bitcoin Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern 🧠📈

#bitcoin逆头和肩膀模式🧠📈

Still looks like a clean retest for now.

目前看起来仍然是干净的重新测试。

If the pattern plays out, #BTC could reach $125,000 in 2025.

如果该模式出现，#BTC可能在2025年达到125,000美元。

Let’s see. pic.twitter.com/HvR0cdZYmM

让我们来看看。 pic.twitter.com/hvr0cdzymm

— Titan of Crypto Club 👑 (@TheCryptoClubz) April 11, 2025

- 加密俱乐部的泰坦（@TheCryptoclubz）2025年4月11日

With the broad economic conditions improving, with signs of potential liquidity injection from the Federal Reserve, there is widespread hope that Bitcoin will continue to rise. But, with the market volatility, Severino's Bitcoin price warning could be critical.

随着广泛的经济状况的改善，美联储潜在地注入流动性的迹象，人们普遍希望比特币会继续上升。但是，随着市场波动，Severino的比特币价格警告可能至关重要。

Here's a summary of the latest crypto news:

这是最新加密新闻的摘要：

Bitcoin (BTC) has shown resilience in recent times, recovering remarkably from a downturn that threatened to spill into new lows. However, despite the recovery, technical expert Tony Severino is raising concerns about a Bitcoin bear market. In his analysis, Severino highlights the Bitcoin/VIX ratio, an indicator that is usually observed during bear markets.

比特币（BTC）最近显示出韧性，从衰退中恢复了明显的恢复，该经济趋势可能会溢出到新的低点。然而，尽管恢复了，技术专家托尼·塞弗里诺（Tony Severino）仍在引起人们对比特币熊市的担忧。 Severino在他的分析中突出了比特币/VIX比率，这是通常在熊市期间观察到的指标。

As discussed in previous articles, the VIX, also known as the "Fear and Greed Index," is a renowned indicator of market volatility, typically employed in stock markets. A high VIX reading, like the one observed recently, signals heightened volatility and a potential bear market. Conversely, a low VIX reading, as seen during periods of low volatility, could indicate a bull market.

如先前文章所述，VIX（也称为“恐惧和贪婪指数”）是著名的市场波动指标，通常在股市中使用。像最近观察到的那样，高VIX读数提高了波动性和潜在的熊市。相反，在低波动性时期，低VIX读数可能表明牛市。

In a post shared on X, formerly known as Twitter, Severino expressed surprise at crypto influencers discussing the Bitcoin/VIX ratio as a bullish indicator. According to him, this ratio is an interesting observation, but it’s an indicator that is “usually seen during Bitcoin bear markets.”

Severino在以前称为Twitter的X上分享的帖子中对加密影响者表示惊讶，将比特币/VIX比率作为看涨指标。据他说，这个比率是一个有趣的观察结果，但这是“通常在比特币熊市中看到的”指标。

His post reads:

他的帖子写道：

BTCUSD/VIX is the new hot thing crypto influencers are experts on

btcusd/vix是加密影响者的新热门东西是专家

Despite how they’re framing it (bullish), TA on it more suggests these are signals you tend to see during Bitcoin bear markets

尽管他们是如何构图的（看涨），但ta却更多地表明，这些信号是您在比特币熊市中看到的信号

Month isn’t over yet, however

一个月还没有结束

However, other analysts have a different view. Prominent analyst Saeed believes that the recent pullback is a healthy retracement. He asserts that Bitcoin will continue to follow a bullish trend. According to him, the real breakout will occur once the Bitcoin price breaks past the $85,000 resistance level. This could open the door to new all-time highs for Bitcoin.

但是，其他分析师有不同的观点。著名的分析师赛义德（Saeed）认为，最近的回调是一个健康的回溯。他断言，比特币将继续遵循看涨的趋势。据他说，一旦比特币价格突破了85,000美元的电阻水平，真正的突破将发生。这可能打开了比特币新历史最高点的大门。

On the other hand, other chart experts and analysts have observed bullish technical patterns for Bitcoin. As noted by one chart expert, it appears to be forming an inverse Head-and-Shoulders pattern. If the pattern holds, it could push the Bitcoin price up to $125,000 this year. Another analyst, Rekt Capital, spotted a bullish RSI divergence, a pattern that has been followed by major reversals in the past.

另一方面，其他图表专家和分析师观察到了比特币的看涨技术模式。正如一位图表专家所指出的那样，它似乎正在形成逆向头和股模式。如果该模式成立，今年可能会将比特币价格提高到125,000美元。另一位分析师Rekt Capital发现了看涨的RSI Divergence，这种模式过去曾是重大逆转。

With the broad economic conditions improving, and signs of potential liquidity injection from the Federal Reserve, there is hope that Bitcoin will continue to rise. But, with the market volatility, Severino's Bitcoin price warning could be critical.

随着广泛的经济状况不断改善，美联储潜在的流动性注入迹象，希望比特币将继续上升。但是，随着市场波动，Severino的比特币价格警告可能至关重要。

Now let's take a look at the latest Bitcoin price action and form a Bitcoin price prediction of our own.

现在，让我们看一下最新的比特币价格行动，并形成比特币价格预测。

Bitcoin Price Analysis of Last 24 Hours: $85K Breached!

最后24小时的比特币价格分析：$ 85K违反了！

Bitcoin commenced trading yesterday at $83,330, starting

比特币昨天开始以83,330美元的价格开始交易