比特幣（BTC）價格分析：儘管托尼·塞弗里諾（Tony Severino）的熊市警告，BTC仍返回85,000美元

截至目前，比特幣返回了85,000美元。但是，最近的崇高奔跑還不足以說服所有人。

Technical crypto expert Tony Severino has warned that the Bitcoin/VIX ratio is “not as bullish as many think”, and could very well be indicating classic bear market signals.

技術加密專家托尼·塞維諾（Tony Severino）警告說，比特幣/VIX比率“不像許多人那樣看漲”，並且很可能表明經典的熊市信號。

“The Bitcoin/VIX isn’t bullish. These are indicators we usually see in crypto bear markets,” Severino wrote in his post on X.

Severino在X上的帖子中寫道：“比特幣/VIX不是看漲。這些是我們通常在加密熊市中看到的指標。”

Bitcoin / VIX Is Highlighting Bear Market Signals - Credit: Tony Severino on X

比特幣 / VIX突出顯示熊市信號 - 信用：X上的Tony Severino

While several influencers continue to hype up a potential breakout rally for Bitcoin, Severino's analysis suggests that it may have already peaked for the current market cycle. He has also warned traders before, using the Elliott Wave theory and momentum indicators to brace for a downturn.

儘管幾位影響者繼續炒作比特幣的潛在突破集會，但Severino的分析表明，它可能已經在當前的市場週期達到頂峰。他還使用Elliott Wave理論和動量指標來支撐經濟衰退，以前還警告交易者。

“Unless market conditions change drastically, we are heading into a bear market,” Severino added. However, other analysts have a different view. Prominent analyst Saeed believes that the recent pullback is a healthy retracement. He asserts that Bitcoin will continue to follow a bullish trend. According to him, the real breakout will occur once the Bitcoin price breaks past the $85,000 resistance level. This could open the door to new all-time highs for Bitcoin.

Severino補充說：“除非市場狀況發生巨大變化，否則我們將進入熊市。”但是，其他分析師有不同的觀點。著名的分析師賽義德（Saeed）認為，最近的回調是一個健康的回溯。他斷言，比特幣將繼續遵循看漲的趨勢。據他說，一旦比特幣價格突破了85,000美元的電阻水平，真正的突破將發生。這可能打開了比特幣新歷史最高點的大門。

On the other hand, other chart experts and analysts have observed bullish technical patterns for Bitcoin. Titan of Crypto noted that it appears to be forming an inverse Head-and-Shoulders pattern. If the pattern holds, it could push the Bitcoin price up to $125,000 this year. Rekt Capital, another renowned analyst, spotted a bullish RSI divergence, a pattern that has been followed by major reversals in the past.

另一方面，其他圖表專家和分析師觀察到了比特幣的看漲技術模式。 Crypto的Titan指出，它似乎正在形成逆向頭和肩膀模式。如果該模式成立，今年可能會將比特幣價格提高到125,000美元。另一位著名分析師Rekt Capital發現了看漲的RSI Divergence，這種模式在過去曾是重大逆轉。

#Bitcoin Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern 🧠📈

#bitcoin逆頭和肩膀模式🧠📈

Still looks like a clean retest for now.

目前看起來仍然是乾淨的重新測試。

If the pattern plays out, #BTC could reach $125,000 in 2025.

如果該模式出現，#BTC可能在2025年達到125,000美元。

Let’s see. pic.twitter.com/HvR0cdZYmM

讓我們來看看。 pic.twitter.com/hvr0cdzymm

— Titan of Crypto Club 👑 (@TheCryptoClubz) April 11, 2025

- 加密俱樂部的泰坦（@TheCryptoclubz）2025年4月11日

With the broad economic conditions improving, with signs of potential liquidity injection from the Federal Reserve, there is widespread hope that Bitcoin will continue to rise. But, with the market volatility, Severino's Bitcoin price warning could be critical.

隨著廣泛的經濟狀況的改善，美聯儲潛在地註入流動性的跡象，人們普遍希望比特幣會繼續上升。但是，隨著市場波動，Severino的比特幣價格警告可能至關重要。

Here's a summary of the latest crypto news:

這是最新加密新聞的摘要：

Bitcoin (BTC) has shown resilience in recent times, recovering remarkably from a downturn that threatened to spill into new lows. However, despite the recovery, technical expert Tony Severino is raising concerns about a Bitcoin bear market. In his analysis, Severino highlights the Bitcoin/VIX ratio, an indicator that is usually observed during bear markets.

比特幣（BTC）最近顯示出韌性，從衰退中恢復了明顯的恢復，該經濟趨勢可能會溢出到新的低點。然而，儘管恢復了，技術專家托尼·塞弗里諾（Tony Severino）仍在引起人們對比特幣熊市的擔憂。 Severino在他的分析中突出了比特幣/VIX比率，這是通常在熊市期間觀察到的指標。

As discussed in previous articles, the VIX, also known as the "Fear and Greed Index," is a renowned indicator of market volatility, typically employed in stock markets. A high VIX reading, like the one observed recently, signals heightened volatility and a potential bear market. Conversely, a low VIX reading, as seen during periods of low volatility, could indicate a bull market.

如先前文章所述，VIX（也稱為“恐懼和貪婪指數”）是著名的市場波動指標，通常在股市中使用。像最近觀察到的那樣，高VIX讀數提高了波動性和潛在的熊市。相反，在低波動性時期，低VIX讀數可能表明牛市。

In a post shared on X, formerly known as Twitter, Severino expressed surprise at crypto influencers discussing the Bitcoin/VIX ratio as a bullish indicator. According to him, this ratio is an interesting observation, but it’s an indicator that is “usually seen during Bitcoin bear markets.”

Severino在以前稱為Twitter的X上分享的帖子中對加密影響者表示驚訝，將比特幣/VIX比率作為看漲指標。據他說，這個比率是一個有趣的觀察結果，但這是“通常在比特幣熊市中看到的”指標。

His post reads:

他的帖子寫道：

BTCUSD/VIX is the new hot thing crypto influencers are experts on

btcusd/vix是加密影響者的新熱門東西是專家

Despite how they’re framing it (bullish), TA on it more suggests these are signals you tend to see during Bitcoin bear markets

儘管他們是如何構圖的（看漲），但ta卻更多地表明，這些信號是您在比特幣熊市中看到的信號

Month isn’t over yet, however

一個月還沒有結束

However, other analysts have a different view. Prominent analyst Saeed believes that the recent pullback is a healthy retracement. He asserts that Bitcoin will continue to follow a bullish trend. According to him, the real breakout will occur once the Bitcoin price breaks past the $85,000 resistance level. This could open the door to new all-time highs for Bitcoin.

但是，其他分析師有不同的觀點。著名的分析師賽義德（Saeed）認為，最近的回調是一個健康的回溯。他斷言，比特幣將繼續遵循看漲的趨勢。據他說，一旦比特幣價格突破了85,000美元的電阻水平，真正的突破將發生。這可能打開了比特幣新歷史最高點的大門。

On the other hand, other chart experts and analysts have observed bullish technical patterns for Bitcoin. As noted by one chart expert, it appears to be forming an inverse Head-and-Shoulders pattern. If the pattern holds, it could push the Bitcoin price up to $125,000 this year. Another analyst, Rekt Capital, spotted a bullish RSI divergence, a pattern that has been followed by major reversals in the past.

另一方面，其他圖表專家和分析師觀察到了比特幣的看漲技術模式。正如一位圖表專家所指出的那樣，它似乎正在形成逆向頭和股模式。如果該模式成立，今年可能會將比特幣價格提高到125,000美元。另一位分析師Rekt Capital發現了看漲的RSI Divergence，這種模式過去曾是重大逆轉。

With the broad economic conditions improving, and signs of potential liquidity injection from the Federal Reserve, there is hope that Bitcoin will continue to rise. But, with the market volatility, Severino's Bitcoin price warning could be critical.

隨著廣泛的經濟狀況不斷改善，美聯儲潛在的流動性注入跡象，希望比特幣將繼續上升。但是，隨著市場波動，Severino的比特幣價格警告可能至關重要。

Now let's take a look at the latest Bitcoin price action and form a Bitcoin price prediction of our own.

現在，讓我們看一下最新的比特幣價格行動，並形成比特幣價格預測。

Bitcoin Price Analysis of Last 24 Hours: $85K Breached!

最後24小時的比特幣價格分析：$ 85K違反了！

Bitcoin commenced trading yesterday at $83,330, starting

比特幣昨天開始以83,330美元的價格開始交易