比特币 (BTC) 价格分析：BTC 2025 年开局充满挑战，跌破 10 万美元大关

这场持续的拉锯战使比特币的看跌情况变得更加引人注目，技术分析强调进一步下跌或反弹的可能性为 50/50。

Bitcoin has had a rough start to 2025, with multiple attempts to break through the $100,000 price point being met with rejections. The most recent rejection occurred last week when BTC price peaked at $102,000 on Monday, only to reverse sharply and fall to $92,000 by Thursday.

比特币到 2025 年的开局并不顺利，多次尝试突破 10 万美元价格点均遭到拒绝。最近一次拒绝发生在上周，当时 BTC 价格周一达到 102,000 美元的峰值，但到周四急剧反转并跌至 92,000 美元。

This continued tug-of-war has brought the bearish case for BTC into sharper focus, with technical analysis highlighting a 50/50 chance of a further drop or a bounce.

这场持续的拉锯战使比特币的看跌情况变得更加引人注目，技术分析强调进一步下跌或反弹的可能性为 50/50。

$90,000: A Pivotal Support Zone Under Threat

90,000 美元：关键支撑区受到威胁

Recent Bitcoin price action has significantly put the $90,000 price point as the most notable support level for the bulls. Although the crypto has largely held above the $90,000 support level even during the recent corrections, the bearish outlook hinges on its ability to defend this level.

最近的比特币价格走势已将 90,000 美元的价格点显着视为多头最显着的支撑位。尽管即使在最近的调整期间，加密货币也基本上保持在 90,000 美元的支撑位之上，但看跌前景取决于其捍卫这一水平的能力。

A technical analysis by crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO highlights how Bitcoin has made five different attempts to test a support trendline around $90,000, which further reveals the importance of the level. This repeated retest increases the chance of weakening the support strength and is gradually making Bitcoin more vulnerable to a sharp decline.

加密货币分析师 EGRAG CRYPTO 的技术分析强调了比特币如何进行五次不同的尝试来测试 90,000 美元左右的支撑趋势线，这进一步揭示了该水平的重要性。这种反复的重新测试增加了支撑强度减弱的机会，并逐渐使比特币更容易遭受大幅下跌。

With this in mind, the major task for Bitcoin bulls would be to hold above the $90,000 and break resistance levels above $100,000 in order to invalidate a bearish outlook. Should Bitcoin fall below $90,000, it could cascade to a further price drop to the $87,000 range or even lower. A fall below $87,000 could, in turn, cause a quick fall through a $12,000 gap to reach $75,000.

考虑到这一点，比特币多头的主要任务是守住 90,000 美元上方并突破 100,000 美元上方的阻力位，以使看跌前景无效。如果比特币跌破 90,000 美元，价格可能会进一步跌至 87,000 美元甚至更低。如果跌破 87,000 美元，可能会导致价格快速跌破 12,000 美元的缺口，达到 75,000 美元。

Resistance Levels To Break: $103,000 To $108,500

需要突破的阻力位：103,000 美元至 108,500 美元

As noted by EGRAG CRYPTO, Bitcoin could continue to pose a bearish threat until it closes above a few resistance levels. These resistance levels are situated at $103,000, $106,400, and $108,500, and consistent daily closes above these thresholds are required to confirm a bullish trend. The third resistance of $108,500 is the most notable, as a break above it would see Bitcoin trading at new all-time highs.

正如 EGRAG CRYPTO 指出的那样，比特币可能会继续构成看跌威胁，直到收盘高于几个阻力位。这些阻力位位于 103,000 美元、106,400 美元和 108,500 美元，并且每日收盘价必须持续高于这些阈值才能确认看涨趋势。第三个阻力位 108,500 美元是最值得注意的，突破该阻力位将使比特币交易创下历史新高。

However, according to EGRAG CRYPTO, current technical indicators suggest that the chances of a pump are low at the moment. For instance, Bitcoin has now lost the support of the 21 EMA on the daily candlestick timeframe, and sentiment is now in a neutral zone on the Fear and Greed Index.

然而，根据 EGRAG CRYPTO 的说法，目前的技术指标表明，目前上涨的可能性很低。例如，比特币现在在每日烛台时间框架上失去了 21 EMA 的支撑，恐惧和贪婪指数的情绪现在处于中性区域。

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Under Threat: $12,000 Void Opens Up Possibility Of Crash Toward $75,000

相关阅读：比特币价格面临威胁：12,000 美元的空虚开启了崩盘至 75,000 美元的可能性

As it stands, the biggest factor that could see bullish momentum return to Bitcoin is the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20th and the anticipated crypto-positive policies that during the new administration. EGRAG CRYPTO notes that the event could either trigger a short-term rally or exacerbate the ongoing decline. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $94,400.

目前来看，比特币看涨势头回归的最大因素是唐纳德·特朗普即将于 1 月 20 日就职，以及新政府期间预期的加密货币积极政策。 EGRAG CRYPTO 指出，该事件可能引发短期反弹或加剧持续下跌。截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 94,400 美元。