比特幣 (BTC) 價格分析：BTC 2025 年開局充滿挑戰，跌破 10 萬美元大關

這場持續的拉鋸戰使比特幣的看跌情況變得更加引人注目，技術分析強調進一步下跌或反彈的可能性為 50/50。

Bitcoin has had a rough start to 2025, with multiple attempts to break through the $100,000 price point being met with rejections. The most recent rejection occurred last week when BTC price peaked at $102,000 on Monday, only to reverse sharply and fall to $92,000 by Thursday.

比特幣到 2025 年的開局並不順利，多次嘗試突破 10 萬美元價格點都遭到拒絕。最近一次拒絕發生在上週，當時 BTC 價格週一達到 102,000 美元的峰值，但到週四急劇反轉並跌至 92,000 美元。

This continued tug-of-war has brought the bearish case for BTC into sharper focus, with technical analysis highlighting a 50/50 chance of a further drop or a bounce.

這場持續的拉鋸戰使比特幣的看跌情況變得更加引人注目，技術分析強調進一步下跌或反彈的可能性為 50/50。

$90,000: A Pivotal Support Zone Under Threat

90,000 美元：關鍵支撐區受到威脅

Recent Bitcoin price action has significantly put the $90,000 price point as the most notable support level for the bulls. Although the crypto has largely held above the $90,000 support level even during the recent corrections, the bearish outlook hinges on its ability to defend this level.

最近的比特幣價格走勢已將 90,000 美元的價格點顯著視為多頭最顯著的支撐位。儘管即使在最近的調整期間，加密貨幣基本上也保持在 90,000 美元的支撐位之上，但看跌前景取決於其捍衛這一水平的能力。

A technical analysis by crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO highlights how Bitcoin has made five different attempts to test a support trendline around $90,000, which further reveals the importance of the level. This repeated retest increases the chance of weakening the support strength and is gradually making Bitcoin more vulnerable to a sharp decline.

加密貨幣分析師 EGRAG CRYPTO 的技術分析強調了比特幣如何進行五次不同的嘗試來測試 90,000 美元左右的支撐趨勢線，這進一步揭示了該水平的重要性。這種反覆的重新測試增加了支撐強度減弱的機會，並逐漸使比特幣更容易遭受大幅下跌。

With this in mind, the major task for Bitcoin bulls would be to hold above the $90,000 and break resistance levels above $100,000 in order to invalidate a bearish outlook. Should Bitcoin fall below $90,000, it could cascade to a further price drop to the $87,000 range or even lower. A fall below $87,000 could, in turn, cause a quick fall through a $12,000 gap to reach $75,000.

考慮到這一點，比特幣多頭的主要任務是守住 90,000 美元上方並突破 100,000 美元上方的阻力位，以使看跌前景無效。如果比特幣跌破 9 萬美元，價格可能會進一步跌至 87,000 美元甚至更低。如果跌破 87,000 美元，可能會導致價格快速跌破 12,000 美元的缺口，達到 75,000 美元。

Resistance Levels To Break: $103,000 To $108,500

需要突破的阻力位：103,000 美元至 108,500 美元

As noted by EGRAG CRYPTO, Bitcoin could continue to pose a bearish threat until it closes above a few resistance levels. These resistance levels are situated at $103,000, $106,400, and $108,500, and consistent daily closes above these thresholds are required to confirm a bullish trend. The third resistance of $108,500 is the most notable, as a break above it would see Bitcoin trading at new all-time highs.

正如 EGRAG CRYPTO 所指出的那樣，比特幣可能會繼續構成看跌威脅，直到收盤高於幾個阻力位。這些阻力位位於 103,000 美元、106,400 美元和 108,500 美元，每日收盤價必須持續高於這些門檻才能確認看漲趨勢。第三個阻力位 108,500 美元是最值得注意的，突破該阻力位將使比特幣交易創下歷史新高。

However, according to EGRAG CRYPTO, current technical indicators suggest that the chances of a pump are low at the moment. For instance, Bitcoin has now lost the support of the 21 EMA on the daily candlestick timeframe, and sentiment is now in a neutral zone on the Fear and Greed Index.

然而，根據 EGRAG CRYPTO 的說法，目前的技術指標表明，目前上漲的可能性很低。例如，比特幣現在在每日燭台時間框架上失去了 21 EMA 的支撐，恐懼和貪婪指數的情緒現在處於中性區域。

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Under Threat: $12,000 Void Opens Up Possibility Of Crash Toward $75,000

相關閱讀：比特幣價格面臨威脅：12,000 美元的空虛開啟了崩盤至 75,000 美元的可能性

As it stands, the biggest factor that could see bullish momentum return to Bitcoin is the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20th and the anticipated crypto-positive policies that during the new administration. EGRAG CRYPTO notes that the event could either trigger a short-term rally or exacerbate the ongoing decline. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $94,400.

目前來看，比特幣看漲勢頭回歸的最大因素是唐納德·川普即將於 1 月 20 日就職，以及新政府期間預期的加密貨幣積極政策。 EGRAG CRYPTO 指出，該事件可能引發短期反彈或加劇持續下跌。截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 94,400 美元。