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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)价格动作最近以图表上的死亡十字架为标志,该技术信号通常是在市场波动提高之前

2025/03/30 10:11

比特币(BTC)的价格行动最近以图表上的死亡十字架为标志,该技术信号通常是在市场波动提高之前之前的。

比特币(BTC)价格动作最近以图表上的死亡十字架为标志,该技术信号通常是在市场波动提高之前

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action has recently been marked by a Death Cross on the charts, a technical signal that often precedes periods of heightened market volatility.

比特币(BTC)的价格行动最近以图表上的死亡十字架为标志,这一技术信号通常是在市场波动率提高之前。

This pattern occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses below the 200-day moving average, signaling a loss of short-term price momentum in relation to long-term trends.

当50天移动平均线(MA)越过200天移动平均线时,这种模式发生在这表明与长期趋势有关的短期价格动量损失。

The Death Cross is a bearish signal that is typically associated with market corrections, which has led to analysts anticipating that Bitcoin price is likely to dip towards $74,000 before a potential rally to $200,000.

死亡十字架是一个看跌信号,通常与市场校正有关,这导致分析师预计比特币价格可能会降至74,000美元,然后潜在的集会至200,000美元。

As the chart above shows, the Death Cross pattern has been forming many times since Bitcoin and this time it happened in the years of 2019, 2021 and 2022 where Bitcoin followed suit and experienced massive price movements.

如上图所示,自比特币以来,死亡交叉模式已经形成了很多次,这一次发生在2019年,2021年和2022年,比特币遵循并经历了大量的价格运动。

Currently, the market is experiencing the same signal, and traders are cautious. While the Death Cross may suggest further bearish price movement, it does not necessarily guarantee a prolonged downtrend.

目前,市场正在经历相同的信号,交易者谨慎。虽然死亡十字架可能暗示进一步的看跌价格运动,但它并不一定保证了长期下降趋势。

Historically, Bitcoin has shown resilience after these signals, with the price often bouncing back to higher levels after the market corrects.

从历史上看,比特币在这些信号之后表现出弹性,在市场纠正后,价格通常会回到更高的水平。

Moreover, analyst TedPillows explained the market can fall to $74,000 before Bitcoin starts touching the roadmap to $200,000.

此外,分析师Tedpillows解释说,在比特币开始接触路线图至200,000美元之前,市场可以降至74,000美元。

According to his analysis, the apex cryptocurrency needs to close about $89,000 on a weekly basis for the next leg up.

根据他的分析,Apex加密货币每周需要每周收盘约89,000美元。

As for what traders can keep an eye on, the analyst stated that the market is entering "Reversal Phase" which will be completed after the final lower lows point.

至于交易者可以关注的情况,分析师表示,市场将进入“逆转阶段”,该阶段将在最终的下低点之后完成。

In not such a long time, according to CryptoNobler – the other market analyst, BTC price is getting near a powerful Reversal Phase.

Cryptonobler表示,在很长一段时间内 - 另一个市场分析师,BTC的价格正接近强大的逆转阶段。

CryptoNobler compares the current price action to Bitcoin value in 2017. Here is his view on the pattern which appears to be in the likeness of consolidation and pullback ahead of Bitcoin’s big surge in 2017 bull market.

Cryptonobler在2017年将当前的价格动作与比特币价值进行了比较。这是他对这种模式的看法,在2017年牛市比特币在2017年牛市的巨大激增之前,似乎与合并和回溯相似。

According to the analyst, after this final dip, Bitcoin could surge towards the $200,000 mark, initiating what many expect to be the beginning of altcoin season.

根据分析师的说法,在最后的下跌之后,比特币可能会朝着200,000美元的成绩飙升,从而启动了许多人期望成为Altcoin季节的开始。

The idea of a Bitcoin rally to $200,000 also aligns with a broader market sentiment that is anticipating the beginning of a new bull cycle.

比特币集会至200,000美元的想法也与更广泛的市场情绪保持一致,这预计新的公牛周期的开始。

If this forecast holds true, Bitcoin could lead the way for altcoins to follow in its path, marking the beginning of a new growth in the cryptocurrency market.

如果此预测成立,则比特币可能会导致Altcoins沿着其道路迈进,这标志着加密货币市场的新增长的开始。

According to the latest data from Global Macro, despite the flat net liquidity flow, increased Global M2 money supply could be positive for Bitcoin since historically there was a correlation of M2 growing in price.

根据来自全球宏的最新数据,尽管净流动性流量流了,但全球M2货币供应的增加可能是比特币的阳性,因为历史上,M2价格的增长相关。

Macro liquidity which indicates how easily capital flows into risk assets like Bitcoin, has not increased as rapidly in comparison to previous cycles. 

宏流动性表明,与以前的周期相比,与比特币这样的风险资产之类的风险资产流入诸如比特币之类的风险资产。

Despite this, Analyst Colin Talks Crypto claims that it’s possible to see a Bitcoin rally beginning on May 1, due to historical patterns associated with liquidity factors.

尽管如此,分析师Colin谈到加密货币声称,由于与流动性因素相关的历史模式,有可能在5月1日开始进行比特币集会。

Michael Saylor, Strategy Chairman and Bitcoin advocate is still very optimistic. Speaking at the DC Blockchain Summit, Saylor also predicted that Bitcoin’s market capitalization could surpass $500 trillion soon.

战略主席兼比特币倡导者迈克尔·塞勒(Michael Saylor)仍然非常乐观。在DC区块链峰会上,Saylor还预测,比特币的市值很快可能会超过500万亿美元。

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