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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)在3月19日的华尔街开放式开放式公开赛中将84,000美元递给了美国美联储利率的决定。

2025/03/19 22:15

Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据显示,Bitstamp的本地高点为84,358美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) passed $84,000 into the March 19 Wall Street open as markets geared up for the US Federal Reserve interest-rate decision.

比特币(BTC)在3月19日的华尔街开放式开放式公开赛中将84,000美元递给了美国美联储利率的决定。

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC/1小时图表。资料来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin, risk-assets lack “tailwinds” into FOMC

比特币,风险资源缺乏FOMC中的“逆风”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed local highs of $84,358 on Bitstamp.

Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据显示,Bitstamp的本地高点为84,358美元。

Risk assets were on edge ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with the Fed expected to hold rates steady until at least June, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议之前,风险资产处于边缘状态,根据CME Group的FedWatch工具的数据,美联储预计将保持稳定,直到至少6月。

Fed target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group

喂养目标率概率(屏幕截图)。资料来源:CME组

The nature of subsequent commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell was of more concern to traders. Already hawkish, Powell faces pressure from US trade tariffs as inflation markets only just begin to fall.

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)随后的评论的性质更引起交易者的关注。鲍威尔已经霍克什(Hawkish)面临美国贸易关税的压力,因为通货膨胀市场才开始下降。

“Tonight's FOMC meeting is highly likely hold rates steady. However, we will be watching closely for any dovish shifts, particularly on growth and inflation expectations,” trading firm QCP Capital wrote in its latest bulletin to Telegram channel subscribers on the day.

贸易公司QCP Capital在当天的最新公告中写道:“今晚的FOMC会议很可能会稳定稳定。

While holding above $80,000 throughout the week, Bitcoin’s fate hung in the balance as US stocks saw notable downside.

在整个星期的持有超过80,000美元的同时,比特币的命运持续了余额,因为美国股票显着的不利之处。

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index traded down 4% and 8.7% year-to-date at the time of writing compared to 10% for BTC/USD.

标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合指数在撰写本文时以4%和8.7%的股份下跌了4%和8.7%,而BTC/USD则为10%。

“TC has found some support at the $80k, but that seems tenuous at best amid broader macro weakness,” QCP continued.

QCP继续说:“ TC在$ 8.0万美元中找到了一些支持,但在更广泛的宏观弱点中,这似乎很脆弱。”

Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter identified a potential silver lining in the form of increasing equities allocation by US retail investors.

贸易资源Kobeissi信件以美国零售投资者增加的股票分配形式确定了潜在的银行馆。

“Retail net inflows into Nasdaq 100 index stocks as a percentage of market cap have reached 0.1%, the highest in at least a year. Retail flows have DOUBLED in just a few weeks,” it wrote in a post on X.

它在X上的一篇文章中写道:“零售净净流入纳斯达克100指数股票的占市值的百分比已达到0.1%,至少一年内最高。零售流量在短短几周内翻了一番。”

US stocks retail flows data. Source: The Kobeissi Letter/X

美国库存零售数据。资料来源:Kobeissi Letter/X

Bad FOMC result risks $76,000 BTC price drop

FOMC结果不良风险$ 76,000 BTC价格下跌

Analyzing BTC price action, popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital hoped that the upside gap in CME’s Bitcoin futures market would be fully “filled” with a spike to $87,000.

对BTC价格行动进行分析,受欢迎的交易员和分析师Rekt Capital希望CME的比特币期货市场的上行差距将完全“填充”,达到87,000美元。

Related: Bitcoin futures 'deleveraging' wipes $10B open interest in 2 weeks

相关:比特币期货“去杠杆化”湿透了$ 10B开放利息2周

Such gaps, as Cointelegraph reported, continue to act as short-term price magnets.

正如Cointelegraph所报道的那样,这种差距继续充当短期价格磁铁。

“Bitcoin continues to successfully retest the CME Gap as support (orange box, $78k-$80.7k),” Rekt Capital explained alongside an illustrative chart.

Rekt Capital在说明性图表的同时解释说:“比特币继续成功地重新测试CME差距(Orange Box,$ 78K- $ 80.7K)。”

CME Bitcoin futures 1-day chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

CME比特币期货1天图表。资料来源:Rekt Capital/X

Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, meanwhile suggested that a dovish Powell could have a clear impact on price momentum.

交易资源材料指标的联合创始人基思·艾伦(Keith Alan)与此同时建议,肮脏的鲍威尔(Powell)可能会对价格势头产生明显影响。

“A dovish tone that reduces recessionary fears could send Bitcoin price above the 200-Day and 21-Day MAs, and avert what seemed like an imminent death cross between those two key MAs,” part of an X post stated.

X帖子的一部分说:“降低经济衰退恐惧的肮脏语调可能会使比特币价格高于200天和21天的MAS,并避免这两个关键MAS之间即将发生的死亡交叉。”

Alan referred to two nearby simple moving averages, with the 200-day and 21-day MA sitting at $84,995 and $84,350, respectively.

艾伦(Alan)提到了附近的两个简单移动平均值,200天和21天的MA分别为84,995美元和84,350美元。

BTC/USD 1-day chart with 21, 200MA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC/USD 1天图表,21,200MA。资料来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bad news, on the other hand, could spark a retest of multimonth lows at $76,000, he warned.

他警告说,另一方面,坏消息可能会以76,000美元的价格再次重新测试多个月的低点。

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